Andy Grabia
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agrabia.bsky.social
Andy Grabia
@agrabia.bsky.social
Stand-up Philosopher. King of Nightlandia. My thoughts are sporadic. Suffering from Cassandra Complex. 🦉
Reposted by Andy Grabia
Between April 1, 2024, and March 31, 2025,  the advocate’s office recorded 60 youth deaths and nine serious injuries among young people who had received child intervention services within the two years preceding their death.

apple.news/AyqEPphBWQAu...
'Gap in assessments': Alberta's child and youth advocate calls for better intervention — Edmonton Journal
Annual report highlights service gaps, substance-use risks, and missed assessments in the deaths and serious injuries among children connected to Alberta's intervention system
apple.news
November 28, 2025 at 5:38 AM
Kind of funny that neither the UCP or the NDP base want a new pipeline, yet both their leaders are out there advocating for it. Glad the finance bros in Calgary are being taken care of, at least.
The Smith-Carney bitumen pipeline accord would very probably get a better reception at an Alberta NDP convention than at a UCP convention.
That's where we're at now in Alberta politics.
November 29, 2025 at 12:16 AM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
After today's performance, the Eagles offense ranks 28th in success rate.

They are producing a positive play at a lower rate than offenses like the Saints and the Jets.

It's the worst offensive success rate for an Eagles team through Week 13 in the last 20 years.
November 28, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
This would be a war crime even if there were an actual war and these people were actual combatants, which there isn't and they weren't.

It's unquestionably an unlawful homicide under any form of law you wish to apply: military or civilian, domestic or international, federal or state. ...
Textbook war crime/extrajudicial killing

"Two survivors were clinging to the smoldering wreck. The Special Operations commander overseeing the Sept. 2 attack ... ordered a second strike to comply with Hegseth’s instructions."

Report by @alexhorton.bsky.social @ellenwapo.bsky.social o.bsky.social
Hegseth order on first Caribbean boat strike, officials say: Kill them all
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a verbal order to kill all crew members in the Sept. 2 strike on a suspected drug boat. Navy SEALs fired a second missile.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 28, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
They were always going to unleash full-on ethnic cleansing. They were just waiting for a plausible excuse.
Trump: “I will permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries … denaturalize migrants who undermine domestic tranquility, and deport any Foreign National who is a public charge, security risk, or non-compatible with Western Civilization.“
November 28, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
Another night to sleep on this and I'm solidifying this take

There is a reason industry/govt sees a bit win in trading the regulations that would have forced real emissions reductions (oil and gas cap and CER) for vauge future carbon pricing promises that some are claiming will achieve the same 1/
After some time for reflection I think this is one of the biggest open questions that has a big impact on how much climate action we will see in Canada -
unless I'm reading this wrong (?) it doesn't say the carbon floor will be $130 by April. It says there will be an agreement by April 1/
Where does it say $130 in April? it says they will by April agree on what the timeline and price increases are.
I would bet a very large sum of money it will not be $130 effective price in April.
November 28, 2025 at 4:17 PM
“Non-compatible with Western Civilization” is unadulterated white nationalism.
Trump: “I will permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries … denaturalize migrants who undermine domestic tranquility, and deport any Foreign National who is a public charge, security risk, or non-compatible with Western Civilization.“
November 28, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
Adam Radwanski does a good roundup of the climate policy implications here.

(I think I did a gift link?)

Anyway, my concern is less about phantom pipelines than it is the future of emissions reductions, renewables and clean tech in AB & BC.

www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/64d9ad7...
Carney’s new bargain: An end to Trudeau-era climate policies, and a big bet on industrial carbon pricing
New energy deal with Alberta brings Prime Minister’s approach to fighting climate change into full view
www.theglobeandmail.com
November 28, 2025 at 2:38 AM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
I do not hold out a whole lot of hope that the industrial carbon price will have the kind of coverage and stringency as to matter much.

I am just not hearing any indication that the GoC will use this economic tool to incentivize clean tech, diversify the economy or meaningfully reduce emissions.
People who care about climate change are “dreaming nostalgically about the past.” - Minister Hodgson

Gotcha. That explains a lot.
November 28, 2025 at 2:16 AM
Downers may think it’s a bad idea giving Danielle Smith a win right before her leadership review, and when her party is on the ropes with the public for privatizing health care and using the notwithstanding clause four times, but you don’t have the MENSA-level minds of Mark Carney and Naheed Nenshi.
All the assurances that this is somehow 5D chess are not reassuring.
In Alberta, we’ve got an openly corrupt Trumpian regime that’s blowing up public education, healthcare and human rights.
If there ever was a time for elbows up, it’s in dealing with Alberta.
November 28, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
All these rosy assumptions about Carney rest on him actually NOT wanting a pipeline built. On the contrary, he’s sounding very much in favour of it.
November 28, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
Giving Alberta an exemption to the Clean Electricity Standard means the policy is DOA.

There’s no way SK isn’t asking for the same thing, as they restart coal plants.

One Canadian economy? Nope. Likely scenario is no electricity regs at all, meaning we’re back to Harper-era policy.
November 28, 2025 at 12:03 AM
This article is great if you completely ignore the fact that it may cost Carney seats in B.C. and Quebec, that he’s given the Bloc and NDP new life, that he’s damaged relationships with the province of B.C. and the Haida Gwaii, and that Alberta may just decide to build the pipeline w/o private $.
November 27, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Oh, look. A principled politician. How novel.
Liberal MP Steven Guilbeault resigns from cabinet after Carney, Smith sign energy deal
Mr. Guilbeault is a career environmentalist who has been serving as the Minister of Canadian Identity and Culture
www.theglobeandmail.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:06 PM
UCP are pretty clear on what they think happened today.
November 27, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Again, how can you be in favour of more pipelines but oppose coal mining in the eastern slopes? How can you say you believe in climate change and then advocate further polluting the planet?

The calculus here is peeling people away from the UCP while abandoning your own voters and values. Shameful.
Nenshi responds to Canada-Alberta MOU
Engaging Albertans to build an economy for the future.
www.albertandpcaucus.ca
November 27, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
Other stuff I wont comment on thats outside my wheelhouse (impact of tankers etc). But on the whole very disappointing MOU that has a whole lot of backpedaling and climate delay. (Reminder that climate delay is the new climate denial and in 2025 leads in effect to the same outcome).
November 27, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
This is how Enron did its accounting (seriously)
On one side of the ledger, we have half a trillion dollars in operating losses expected over the next 5 years.

On the other side of the ledger, we have all the money we'll hypothetically make when the hypothetical technology we imagine comes into existence mostly on its own.

So it's net positive.
HSBC forecasts that OpenAI is going to have nearly a half trillion in operating losses until 2030
November 27, 2025 at 6:03 PM
I couldn’t even get to the pipeline stuff because I was so horrified and angry about the AI/data centre stuff.
November 27, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Reposted by Andy Grabia
The pipeline stuff will get the most attention, but the bottom line of the Ottawa-Alberta MOU policy-wise is that Carney is scrapping or softening most Trudeau-era climate-related regulations in favour of putting (almost) all his eggs in the industrial carbon pricing basket.
November 27, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Lots of people like to say there is no such thing as a Canadian identity. I don’t believe that, but even if it were true, I’d rather have no identity than the bullshit the Americans feed themselves.
Our 250 years of preserving liberty isn’t some nice holiday story that we recall dimly through the mists of time. It’s real. It can reassure and educate and inspire us. It’s something from which to derive hope and for which to give thanks. lnk.thebulwark.com/3Krlaaz
Turkey Day With a Turkey President
Trump’s fixation on personal flattery feeds his authoritarianism. It makes for bad diplomacy, too.
lnk.thebulwark.com
November 27, 2025 at 5:47 AM
Nature is foreshadowing.
November 27, 2025 at 5:04 AM
Christy Clark the former B.C. premier who set out five conditions before agreeing to a pipeline way back in 2012? The one who said there were “significant environmental risks” associated with Northern Gateway, and that there were “few benefits to British Columbia”?
"They can get it done without David Eby, it's gonna be tough but it's necessary."

Former B.C. premier Christy Clark says the northern pipeline would be a big win for Canada & argues Eby doesn’t “spend more than a minute a day” on the economy.

LISTEN: podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/c...
November 27, 2025 at 2:22 AM
👌. No notes.
Cruelty is the UCP playbook and Alberta is never ever prosperous enough to not be cruel enough
November 26, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Coen Brothers doing The Yiddish Policemen’s Union.
If you were a despotic president, what movie would you force Hollywood to make? I want to see Quentin's Star Trek movie or maybe Kill Bill Vol 3.
November 25, 2025 at 7:19 PM