Adam Isacson
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Adam Isacson
@adamisacson.com
He/Him. I work on security, borders, and migration at the Washington Office on Latin America (my views, not necessarily theirs). I'm also at wola.org, adamisacson.com, borderoversight.org, Mastodon elefanti.co/@adam
Latin America-Related Events in Washington and Online This Week

6 events about Latin America this week, that I know about, that can be attended in person in Washington or online anywhere.
Latin America-Related Events in Washington and Online This Week - Adam Isacson
6 events about Latin America this week, that I know about, that can be attended in person in Washington or online anywhere.
adamisacson.com
January 17, 2026 at 2:22 PM
Reposted by Adam Isacson
DELETED

After lying about this baby they gassed and almost killed in their own neighborhood, DHS deleted their post
January 16, 2026 at 7:17 PM
Yes—Trump’s suspension of asylum stopped asylum seekers from coming after last January, so that was an unnatural decrease. Still, the numbers stopped declining briefly and bumped up in the spring.
January 17, 2026 at 1:32 AM
I'll take "Headlines I'm completely not used to seeing" for $800, Alex.
January 16, 2026 at 11:29 PM
CBP has updated its dataset through December. It points to a winter decline in migration at the US-Mexico border.

Past patterns suggest a further drop in January, followed by sharp increases in March-April.

Here's Border Patrol apprehensions, at my table-generating site cbpdata.adamisacson.com :
January 16, 2026 at 11:22 PM
"cuck chair in the corner I know, I know, it's serious"
January 16, 2026 at 10:59 PM
2026, when news photos of Colombian guerrillas and U.S. law enforcement are virtually indistinguishable.
January 16, 2026 at 6:26 PM
In a hearing yesterday, Sen. Kaine (D-VA) said some enigmatic things, referring to classified briefings, about whether the Trump admin really cared about whether there were drugs aboard the boats being struck in the Caribbean and Pacific.

About 1:25 into the video here: bit.ly/4aZ0YYw
January 16, 2026 at 6:05 PM
Looks like ICE deportation flights to Venezuela have resumed.
An ICE Air deportation flight is en route to Venezuela from Phoenix, Arizona. This is the first deportation flight to Caracas since Dec 10, and previously flights had been operating twice a week (Wednesdays and Fridays)
January 16, 2026 at 1:06 PM
They killed the *60 Minutes* CECOT torture story, but waved this one right on through.
CBS News report on ICE officer’s injuries drew ‘huge internal concern’
Anonymously sourced report that Jonathan Ross ‘suffered internal bleeding’ after killing Renee Good faced skepticism inside CBS newsroom
www.theguardian.com
January 16, 2026 at 3:22 AM
A bit out of character for him to correctly accent the í in “María” 3 times.
Trump: “It was my Great Honor to meet María Corina Machado, of Venezuela, today. She is a wonderful woman who has been through so much. María presented me with her Nobel Peace Prize for the work I have done. Such a wonderful gesture of mutual respect. Thank you María!”
January 16, 2026 at 2:34 AM
Did he at least let her have the FIFA peace prize
January 15, 2026 at 10:11 PM
(It's janky and built on old software, but you can search the "Noche y Niebla" database of over 46,000 cases, which the Jesuit group CINEP still maintains, at www.nocheyniebla.org?page_id=1372 .)
January 15, 2026 at 2:01 AM
“Bank evidence for future prosecutions…”

During the worst years of Colombia’s conflict, human rights groups kept databases and archives of abuses.

That’s where we are now.

Later, when a Truth Commission and special tribunal could hold abusers accountable, those archives were essential evidence.
Gov. Walz to Minnesotans: “Donald Trump wants more violence on our streets … We must remain peaceful …You have an absolute right to peacefully record ICE agents … Help us bank evidence for future prosecutions.“
January 15, 2026 at 1:53 AM
Whether sprinting away from the J6 rioters, trying to ambush me in a hearing this time last year (bit.ly/4sCwnXb), or chickening out and changing his vote today, Josh Hawley is just an especially hot mess during the month of January.
January 15, 2026 at 1:39 AM
The Venezuela War Powers resolution failed to move forward, by a 50-51 vote. Though Republicans have a 53-47 majority, JD Vance had to break the tie.
January 15, 2026 at 1:39 AM
Consideration of the Venezuela War Powers resolution has begun on the Senate floor:
U.S. Senate: Floor Proceedings
Floor Activity
www.senate.gov
January 14, 2026 at 10:07 PM
In Latin America, a big step in 1980s/90s transitions from military dictatorship to civilian rule was to stop trying civilians in military courtrooms.

This isn’t exactly that, but having civilians prosecuted by people in uniform is a big step toward Latin America's "bad old days"—here in the US.
Pentagon to dispatch dozens of military lawyers to Minneapolis amid immigration crackdown | CNN Politics
The Pentagon is working to surge dozens of military lawyers to Minneapolis to assist in federal prosecutions amid an immigration enforcement crackdown there, according to two officials familiar with t...
www.cnn.com
January 14, 2026 at 8:39 PM
This thread as a single post: adamisacson.com/the-perils-o...

Longer video explanation, with transcript: adamisacson.com/video-dont-s...
January 14, 2026 at 7:38 PM
Re-upping this thread because the Venezuela War Powers resolution is before the Senate today.

- The list of potential armed opponents is long.
- Plausible scenarios exist for "boots on the ground."
- Congress must assert itself because we haven't seen any plan for these scenarios.
From @wola-org.bsky.social:

The Trump administration has not ruled out having military “boots on the ground” in Venezuela.

What would that entail? Shouldn’t Congress have a say? That’s what the War Powers Resolution, up for a Senate vote this week, is all about. 🧵

(1/12)
January 14, 2026 at 7:22 PM
FYI this House Foreign Affairs Dems #Venezuela briefing is scheduled to start livestreaming in 2 minutes:
A Special Meeting on Venezuela
YouTube video by House Foreign Affairs Committee Democrats
www.youtube.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Another view on this cursed sentence in the OLC opinion:
It’s the “not war by virtue of not planning” theory of constitutional war powers
January 14, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Murphy will hold firm, but we need 41 Dems and Dem-caucusing independents (minus any Republican defections) to hold firm. Only 39 did in November.
January 14, 2026 at 3:45 AM
People at reception facilities in Latin America say deported people routinely tell them they had phones, valuables, and cash taken from them and don’t know how to recover them. This “sold phone” thing could be an alarming clue.
January 14, 2026 at 2:52 AM
I paid my first and only visit to Venezuela 20 years ago this month.

I wrote a blog entry about it (it was the heyday of blogs). I was in listening mode, but because I work on demilitarization, I was skeptical.

From the Internet Archive:
democracyarsenal.org: Notes on my weekend in Venezuela
web.archive.org
January 14, 2026 at 2:22 AM