Luis Ramiro
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ljramiro.bsky.social
Luis Ramiro
@ljramiro.bsky.social
570 followers 400 following 35 posts
Political Science Dept. UNED, Spain https://t.co/fH7XVoLcVY ([email protected]). European Political Science reviews editor.
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Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Test run for 2026. Here's what I wrote in the NY Times about the federal government potentially interfering with the 2026 elections and what we need to do about it. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/o...
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Really important work by @adambonica.bsky.social. The parallels between the US and Europe are striking. On the one side, tons of evidence that centrism (or anti-immigration) is not a vote-winner for the left. On the other, a center-left establishment that just does not want to believe it. 1/
Look. It would be great if there was one simple trick for winning elections. But 'just be more moderate' isn't it.

In fact, you can use the NYT's exact method to 'prove' a 'Progressive Advantage' of +1.4 pts.

This piece shows what's really going on: funded candidates do better than unfunded ones.
The New York Times’ “Moderation Advantage” Is a Statistical Illusion
After accounting for money and incumbency the supposed electoral bonus for moderate candidates vanishes entirely.
open.substack.com
Recomiendo Mañana matarán a Daniel, (de @aroamd.bsky.social felicidades), compleja novela sobre el delicado asunto de las víctimas, los victimarios y víctimas que son victimarios
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Italian Senator speaks the truth about European appeasement towards Putin after the annexation of Crimea.

Not so common in the Italian TV. I hope more politician will follow.
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
This is how you should speak to propagandists: you speak the truth. Call a lie a lie. Italian senator Carlo Calenda confronts Jeffrey Sachs.
Italian Senator left Jeffrey Sachs literally speechless and shocked by calling him a liar and a propagandist.

It happened on Prime Time Italian television.

Priceless 🤩

[ENG SUB]

(The 2nd part in the next tweet)
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
”//…//in short, a radicalisation spiral//…//”
The Conservatives plans to deport hundreds of thousands of legal residents of the UK are far more extreme than anything Donald Trump is proposing
Piece from me on the horror show of the right morphing into the far right

open.substack.com/pub/nickcohe...
"Respectable" racism and the mass deportation of our neighbours
How the British right out-Trumps Trump
open.substack.com
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Hi All, Just sent out my free weekend updates. This was the week when the Trump administration once again blocked the two most effective sanctions it could bring against Russia (Graham-Blumenthal and aid for Ukraine's ranged campaign). open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Weekend Update #156: Sanctions, Sanctions, Sanctions?
Ukrainian Ranged Sanctions are far more Effective, Russian Advances in October
open.substack.com
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Important and correct analysis of our present situation. We have to keep seeing the big picture and not be distracted by the differences in the pretexts. The pretexts all lead to a common goal.
Every unlawful exertion of executive power has been pretextual--e.g., DEI, crime in cities, drug trafficking, antisemitism, waste, fraud, abuse, indoctrination, autism, insurrection--the real motive is and has always been to consolidate autocratic rule.
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
The ‘white faces’ disease among the British right continues to spread.
Reform UK MP Sarah Pochin, “It drives me mad seeing adverts full of black people, full of Asian people, full of anything other than white"

Followed by that time Sarah Pochin said, "My kids say: mum, you're such a moron" 👀
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Retired intelligence analysts confirm what the political scientists are telling us — and what the world outside is telling us — the goal of these people is the end of law, the end of democracy, and the end of a recognizable republic.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
US ‘on a trajectory’ toward authoritarian rule, ex-officials warn
A network of former intelligence and security officers says democratic decline is accelerating under Trump’s rule
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Big year for photos of clergy enduring pain while protesting ICE.

· Rev. David Black, Chicago Sun-Times: chicago.suntimes.com/news/2025/10...

· Rev. Jorge Bautista, SF Chron: www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti...

· Rev. Hannah Kardon, Chicago Protest Photography: www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1...
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
From the people that pretend to be Christian, they hit a clergyman directly while protesting.

They’ve gone from attacking marginalized communities to attacking the community in general. Now they are openly attacking religious institutions.
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
The most Republican guy is the guy who owns the used car dealership, a tanning salon, and a boat in a place that has been economically decimated by deindustrialization

See, for instance:
Interested in immigration policy & in how conservative parties have evolved on this issue?
Interested in the evolution of conservative parties and how they confront competition from the radical right?
Look no further!
This speech by a Madrid regional MP from Spain’s conservative PP is pure gold!
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
🎯
Opinion | "The Conservatives, seemingly without even really realising it, have put forward one of the most extreme anti-immigration policies issued by any political party in British history", writes Ian Dunt trib.al/Eph9xPO
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Two questions to every Con MP, frontbencher and source should be:
1. Why do you have a Idi Amin style immigration policy more extreme than the BNP?
2. Why do you keep lying about having a Idi Amin style immigration policy more extreme than the BNP?
Cons claimed in both May and in October they had proposed "new powers" to revoke ILR

That is a misrepresentation: the bill simply strips anybody of ILR if they ever access any state support, or earn < £38k + says Home Sec can never allow ILR by discretion

www.conservatives.com/news/conserv...
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
I suspect when the fever on all this breaks, Katy Lam and her media advisors will come to regret having her name and image constantly associated with phrases like “mass deportation” and “Idi Amin”
"The result would be removals on an epic scale. The comparison with Idi Amin's expulsion of Ugandan Asians is not one many Tory MPs welcome. Some appear unaware their own policy was that monstrous, until Lam spelled it out in a newspaper interview"
- Guardian
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The Guardian view on Conservative immigration policy: the threat of mass expulsions is abhorrent | Editorial
Editorial: Tory plans to revoke indefinite leave to remain in pursuit of greater ‘cultural coherence’ resemble the most extreme ambitions of far-right fringe parties
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Now out in Party Politics 🎉

Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
Britain now has two major radical right parties. Thankfully they are competing for the same voters.
Almost nobody in the Cons Party or beyond it had noticed that the Shadow Home Secretary with two other frontbenchers and 5 backbenchers tabled a bill in May to deport 3 million people - stripping almost every pensioner, parent or nurse who did not take out citizenship of their right to live here
Reposted by Luis Ramiro
—It’s hard to get people riled up about abstract “Rule of Law”
—What about rampant bribery?
—Boring
—Masked men demand your papers?
—Routine
—Dead fishermen?
—Foreign
—Ongoing shutdown?
—Partisan bickering
—Uh, I rent an excavator and use it to literally demolish the White House?
—It’s complicated