Tom MacDonald
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tscmacdonald.bsky.social
Tom MacDonald
@tscmacdonald.bsky.social
Energy & decarbonisation by way of physical chemistry and spin stuff. Sometimes folk music and dance.
Emissions will fall rapidly because renewable energy growth will accelerate. Renewable growth will accelerate because that's needed to deliver rapidly falling emissions.

This is teleology - comforting just-so stories replacing awkward empiricism - and you see it everywhere right now.
December 8, 2025 at 10:06 PM
Kind of makes me wonder how support for the NHS will hold up over the long term - it still seems a sacred institution to those born in the 20th century, but younger generations will see more cost for less benefit as demographics deteriorate.
Does public health eventually become old vs young, too?
November 30, 2025 at 8:20 AM
I think they basically have died, in many cases? Government is weird and different, but I applied for a bunch of positions and had quite a few interviews earlier this year without writing any - I think most apps allowed a letter attachment but only required a cv
November 21, 2025 at 1:29 AM
Had a bit of a lightbulb moment for the last job and decided almost no application was worth writing a cover letter for. It's basically all going to be AI assessors reading AI submissions - no way it's worth the time to write something thoughtful for an openly advertised role.
November 19, 2025 at 11:36 PM
Reposted by Tom MacDonald
Some explicitly say the AI recommended they contact us. That makes sense, the models scrape our work and cite us as a reputable source, so the AI has inadvertently become part of the referral pathway for people spiralling down a rabbit hole.
November 19, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Even for a temporary visa, the guy's been living here for at least a few years. I think it's reasonable to expect a more clearly defined set of criteria than "don't catch the minister's attention" for punting people out of the country once they're resident.
November 17, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Looks like those numbers are inclusive of major crimes etc which I think are a bit more clearcut than cancellations on noncriminal bad vibes (if still touchy for the reasons you mention).
November 17, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Cheers, and whew - that's far more cancellations than I'd have expected. Would be fascinating to learn more about how the power's being used, although I get your point that it'd be hard to gather the info
gars.ro
November 17, 2025 at 7:02 AM
Is that actually the case? Committing crimes can definitely get your visa revoked, but the point is I don't *think* this guy has actually broken the law.
If there's a sane way to make it illegal to be a nazi without spilling over into proscribing all sorts of other stuff, great - let's do that.
November 17, 2025 at 6:51 AM
Got recent examples? I wouldn't be at all shocked if you're right, but the only comparisons that come to mind are visa denials (not cancellation) for the Kanyes of the world and a few ISIS-ish deportations that I *think* had actually committed crimes.
November 17, 2025 at 6:47 AM
Not sure "the Minister can cancel visas and send people home if he doesn't like their politics" is necessarily a good precedent for the left - what do you reckon?
November 17, 2025 at 6:27 AM
Reposted by Tom MacDonald
Something highly unusual about the Redbridge/Accent poll is that the ON vote is so enormous that Labor would get just under half of 2PP preferences. L-NP and ON would win seats from behind on preferences, and perhaps win more such seats combined than ALP.
November 17, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Any thoughts on where the threshold(s?) would be for 2PP to start breaking down under a ONP ascendency? I assume we're not particularly close...
November 17, 2025 at 6:23 AM
The emissions reductions objective is vague - if anything, AEMO is more at risk of overplaying it (e.g. to motivate implausible ISP scenarios).
If private owners won't close plants, and government refuses to take action to force the issue, what's an independent market operator meant to do?
November 16, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Not great!
November 10, 2025 at 8:58 PM
I haven't seen any very convenient free sources, but I think NEMOSIS is reasonably effective at automating the pull and reformat from AEMO's clunky MMS files
November 4, 2025 at 10:56 AM