Thomas Warrick
tomwarrickac.bsky.social
Thomas Warrick
@tomwarrickac.bsky.social
Atlantic Council Nonresident Senior Fellow in Middle East Programs and Director, Future of DHS Project.

Former State Department Senior Advisor, former DHS Deputy Assistant Secretary for Counterterrorism Policy.

Reposts do not imply endorsement.
If Russia tries to veto Trump’s Gaza peace resolution, who knows what would happen. Tomahawks for Ukraine, maybe? I don’t know. Here’s hoping Russia thinks twice—and abstains.
November 14, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Under the Russian draft, there is no relief for the people of Gaza nor security for anyone. Just a report. No wonder the US, Qatar, Egypt, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Jordan, and Türkiye all supported the draft US resolution.
usun.usmission.gov/joint-statem...
Joint Statement on the UN Security Council Resolution on Gaza
The United States, Qatar, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Jordan, and Türkiye express our joint support for the Security Council Resolution currently...
usun.usmission.gov
November 14, 2025 at 10:41 PM
This should be rejected by anyone who wants Gaza rebuilt, as it's clear Arab gov'ts will not contribute to reconstruction if Hamas keeps its weapons so it can attack Israel. The Israeli counterattack would destroy whatever was rebuilt.

www.israelhayom.com/2025/10/16/t...
Trump Gaza plan on verge of collapse, warns Saudi Arabia and UAE
Arab and American sources have confirmed that the Sunni axis, which also includes Bahrain, has warned the White House that the Trump Gaza plan is in danger of
www.israelhayom.com
November 14, 2025 at 10:41 PM
This is un-serious. Instead of the Board of Peace and a robust International Security Force to demilitarize Gaza, para. 2 proposes the SYG “identify options” and “provide” a “report to the Security Council”. Nothing about demilitarizing Gaza or disarming Hamas.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/14/w...
Russia Counters U.S. Plan for Gaza With Its Own Proposal at U.N. Security Council
www.nytimes.com
November 14, 2025 at 10:41 PM
3 of 3: (I skipped the rest of Annex 1, the Trump 20-point plan.) On paragraph 10, note that UNSCR 1031 (1995) for Bosnia also had a reporting requirement, so this is routine and does not put the Board of Peace under UN auspices.
November 13, 2025 at 8:00 PM
2 of 3: Note the change to paragraph 7 is to bring in relevant language from Trump plan paragraph 16, so it's less of a substantive change; it's giving the Trump plan language the force of an UNSCR.
November 13, 2025 at 8:00 PM
2 of 2: This includes who gets contracts, who controls tax revenues, and who gets key government appointments. Keeping the money out of Hamas’s hands is a key to peace.
November 7, 2025 at 10:20 PM
I got to point out that all science fiction stories about such people never turn out well.
October 31, 2025 at 12:51 AM
The Israeli reduction in aid into Gaza is not the greatest danger to the ceasefire right now, but if Hamas is living up to the deal, Trump seems prepared to keep Israel on track. Right now, though, Hamas is dangerously close to striking out.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Not turning over remains of almost all hostages in the next couple of days could be strike 1. Continuing executions could be strike 2. Not laying down weapons could be strike 3.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM
2/4 If Hamas does not live up to the terms of the Trump 20-point plan, Trump could let Israel resume attacking Hamas fighters. Hamas needs to understand what “three strikes and you’re out” means.
October 14, 2025 at 8:59 PM