Tom Crowley
@tomiscrowley.bsky.social
ABC federal political reporter
The millennial disdain for the Coalition got even worse in 2025, according to the first glimpse of the Australian election study.
A primary of 21 and a 2PP of 64-36 is an “existential” problem as the party debates net zero, says Simon Jackman.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
A primary of 21 and a 2PP of 64-36 is an “existential” problem as the party debates net zero, says Simon Jackman.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
New figures show only one in five millennials voted for the Coalition in 2025
As Liberals prepare to fly to Canberra to hash out their net zero stance, results from the Australian Election Study suggest those under 45 have continued to drift away from the Coalition.
www.abc.net.au
November 10, 2025 at 8:07 PM
The millennial disdain for the Coalition got even worse in 2025, according to the first glimpse of the Australian election study.
A primary of 21 and a 2PP of 64-36 is an “existential” problem as the party debates net zero, says Simon Jackman.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
A primary of 21 and a 2PP of 64-36 is an “existential” problem as the party debates net zero, says Simon Jackman.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Going in deep on the troubled HAFF. It will shake the tag that it hasn’t built any new homes (from scratch) eventually. But it’ll still be an excruciating process, like building anything in Australia.
Loads of never-before-seen detail to chew on:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
Loads of never-before-seen detail to chew on:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
The PM wants to build homes like the one he grew up in. These days, it's harder
It takes a long time to build anything at all in Australia's dysfunctional housing market, even for the federal government, but Labor's social housing fund is inching towards an impact.
www.abc.net.au
October 4, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Going in deep on the troubled HAFF. It will shake the tag that it hasn’t built any new homes (from scratch) eventually. But it’ll still be an excruciating process, like building anything in Australia.
Loads of never-before-seen detail to chew on:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
Loads of never-before-seen detail to chew on:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
More details this morning from Treasury’s briefing headings, including the full set on housing for you to read for yourself. Among the opportunities identified: reviewing Commonwealth Rent Assistance
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Support payment for renters on Treasury's housing options list
Labor has been given several policy options to expand on its housing agenda after Jim Chalmers acknowledged yesterday its signature target was not on track.
www.abc.net.au
July 14, 2025 at 10:33 PM
More details this morning from Treasury’s briefing headings, including the full set on housing for you to read for yourself. Among the opportunities identified: reviewing Commonwealth Rent Assistance
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
A rare insight into what Treasury really thinks, all thanks to an email mishap.
Raise taxes and cut spending if you want to fix the budget. Your housing target won’t be met. And be prepared for a US dollar crisis.
My report with Dan Ziffer:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Raise taxes and cut spending if you want to fix the budget. Your housing target won’t be met. And be prepared for a US dollar crisis.
My report with Dan Ziffer:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Treasury advises Labor to consider higher taxes and a new housing target
A series of subheadings accidentally sent to the ABC by Treasury reveals extensive detail about its frank advice to the re-elected Albanese government.
www.abc.net.au
July 13, 2025 at 8:26 PM
A rare insight into what Treasury really thinks, all thanks to an email mishap.
Raise taxes and cut spending if you want to fix the budget. Your housing target won’t be met. And be prepared for a US dollar crisis.
My report with Dan Ziffer:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Raise taxes and cut spending if you want to fix the budget. Your housing target won’t be met. And be prepared for a US dollar crisis.
My report with Dan Ziffer:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
It’s no small thing that the treasurer sees a window of opportunity to reform tax, and there is no shortage of problems he could fix. But he must be willing to create losers, and that’s always been the hard part. My analysis for your Saturday morning.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...
Jim Chalmers wants to pick a fight on tax — and time is of the essence
There was no mistaking the impression that the treasurer is emboldened by the election result and wants to seize his moment.
www.abc.net.au
June 20, 2025 at 10:32 PM
It’s no small thing that the treasurer sees a window of opportunity to reform tax, and there is no shortage of problems he could fix. But he must be willing to create losers, and that’s always been the hard part. My analysis for your Saturday morning.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...
I’m thinking of getting involved in some discords, are there good ones floating around? I vaguely recall some being mentioned in these circles.
June 14, 2025 at 12:20 AM
I’m thinking of getting involved in some discords, are there good ones floating around? I vaguely recall some being mentioned in these circles.
A number of markers laid by Bragg in his interview with me, which you can both read and watch here. A very substantial shift underway on housing and a quiet but firm rinsing of the Sukkar strategy.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
Liberals to shift housing focus from buyer incentives and urban sprawl
Andrew Bragg also promises a focus on small businesses and private sector investment in his newly created productivity and deregulation shadow portfolios.
www.abc.net.au
May 29, 2025 at 11:13 PM
A number of markers laid by Bragg in his interview with me, which you can both read and watch here. A very substantial shift underway on housing and a quiet but firm rinsing of the Sukkar strategy.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
A close look at the suburban results. In mid-affluent areas, massive primary swings towards Labor, not just where they won but in Cook, Mitchell, Berowra. In outer suburban areas, Dutton's all-consuming obsession, third party splintering did not help him a jot.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
Liberals on brink of near-total wipe-out in Australia's suburbs
The election result is a tale of two cities — Labor has picked up healthy swings on first preferences in affluent areas but there are signs of discontent in the outer suburbs.
www.abc.net.au
May 5, 2025 at 12:15 AM
A close look at the suburban results. In mid-affluent areas, massive primary swings towards Labor, not just where they won but in Cook, Mitchell, Berowra. In outer suburban areas, Dutton's all-consuming obsession, third party splintering did not help him a jot.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
This was a real pleasure!
Today’s podcast is my last pre-election episode, with @peterbrent.bsky.social and @tomiscrowley.bsky.social. We discuss how a hung parliament might play out, Tom’s experience on the campaign bus and the seat of Werriwa #ausvotes
Podcast #147: What might a hung parliament look like?
Ben is joined by Peter Brent and the ABC’s Tom Crowley for the final pre-election episode of the 2025 federal election campaign. We discuss how a hung parliament might play out and the experi…
www.tallyroom.com.au
April 30, 2025 at 3:43 AM
This was a real pleasure!
Updates on about 60 seats here with sentiment from across the camps. The baseline expectation is a moderate Labor loss in Victoria and a wash elsewhere.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
Here's the state of play in dozens of seats that could decide the election
While there is broad agreement that Peter Dutton has a narrower path to victory than Anthony Albanese, campaigners are bracing for the unexpected.
www.abc.net.au
April 27, 2025 at 10:53 PM
Updates on about 60 seats here with sentiment from across the camps. The baseline expectation is a moderate Labor loss in Victoria and a wash elsewhere.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
The list of seats where work from home is likely to be most prevalent reads like a shopping list of marginals
My anatomy of a backflip:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
My anatomy of a backflip:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
How Dutton's work-from-home crackdown came undone
Jane Hume joked that the private sector might follow the Liberals in cracking down on work from home, but the party ran into trouble when voters came to fear the same.
www.abc.net.au
April 7, 2025 at 9:48 PM
The list of seats where work from home is likely to be most prevalent reads like a shopping list of marginals
My anatomy of a backflip:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
My anatomy of a backflip:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
Reposted by Tom Crowley
Nice chart from Macrobond putting tomorrow's tariffs in historical perspective. Eight decades worth of trade liberalisation efforts already binned by Trump.
April 2, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Nice chart from Macrobond putting tomorrow's tariffs in historical perspective. Eight decades worth of trade liberalisation efforts already binned by Trump.
My take from last night’s budget coverage on the fiscal big picture after a full term of Labor budgets.
March 25, 2025 at 9:24 PM
My take from last night’s budget coverage on the fiscal big picture after a full term of Labor budgets.
Suffice it to say I was less than impressed by the tone of estimates this week, even by estimates standards. So I wrote about it.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...
Treasury came armed with a warning. Politicians dragged them into the mud
Frank and fearless advice about how Australia should navigate Trump's tariffs was lost in the din of election season.
www.abc.net.au
March 2, 2025 at 6:49 AM
Suffice it to say I was less than impressed by the tone of estimates this week, even by estimates standards. So I wrote about it.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...
My contribution to the ABC’s series Untangling the Housing Crisis is an examination of the hard evidence. A solution is not as far away as many think.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02...
A fix to the housing crisis could be close. Can politics deliver it?
However desperate the situation might seem, cities around the world have shown that a housing crisis can be solved quickly with sufficient political will.
www.abc.net.au
February 10, 2025 at 8:43 PM
My contribution to the ABC’s series Untangling the Housing Crisis is an examination of the hard evidence. A solution is not as far away as many think.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02...
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02...
Solid haul at the Lifeline Book Fair
February 8, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Solid haul at the Lifeline Book Fair
Technodeudalism 🤟🏽
February 6, 2025 at 3:59 AM
Technodeudalism 🤟🏽
Anybody seen a good long read on why hyper online left young people get feverish about random things and deify them a la Putricia? Not sneering at it, just feel there’s some insight there that eludes me. Like why is the PROTECT HER AT ALL COSTS bit so left coded? No reason why it has to be but it is
January 24, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Anybody seen a good long read on why hyper online left young people get feverish about random things and deify them a la Putricia? Not sneering at it, just feel there’s some insight there that eludes me. Like why is the PROTECT HER AT ALL COSTS bit so left coded? No reason why it has to be but it is
What Caught My Eye going to be an all-timer in Rd 1
January 20, 2025 at 1:26 AM
What Caught My Eye going to be an all-timer in Rd 1
Lot of very cursed ads kicking around on The Other Website these days, but this gentleman wants to make sure you're familiar with your major thirds and minor sixths.
January 18, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Lot of very cursed ads kicking around on The Other Website these days, but this gentleman wants to make sure you're familiar with your major thirds and minor sixths.
Upon further reflection this movie would also have been improved by casting everyone except Ralph Fiennes as a muppet
Saw conclave. Needed an electoral analyst type. What were the preference flows from Adeyemi? How crucial was the orthodox bloc with the different hats. Etc.
January 16, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Upon further reflection this movie would also have been improved by casting everyone except Ralph Fiennes as a muppet
Saw conclave. Needed an electoral analyst type. What were the preference flows from Adeyemi? How crucial was the orthodox bloc with the different hats. Etc.
January 11, 2025 at 11:07 PM
Saw conclave. Needed an electoral analyst type. What were the preference flows from Adeyemi? How crucial was the orthodox bloc with the different hats. Etc.
Jobs vacancies tick up in November, with most of it in the private sector (yes, seasonally adjusted)
www.abs.gov.au/statistics/l...
www.abs.gov.au/statistics/l...
Job Vacancies, Australia, November 2024
Results of the quarterly Job Vacancies Survey containing estimates of job vacancies classified by industry, sector and state/territory.
www.abs.gov.au
January 8, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Jobs vacancies tick up in November, with most of it in the private sector (yes, seasonally adjusted)
www.abs.gov.au/statistics/l...
www.abs.gov.au/statistics/l...
Labor's candidate for Leichhardt doubling down on The Repacholi Stratagem (preselect Big Units). Could be a game changer.
January 7, 2025 at 2:13 AM
Labor's candidate for Leichhardt doubling down on The Repacholi Stratagem (preselect Big Units). Could be a game changer.