Tomasz Woźniak
@tomaszwozniak.bsky.social
a Bayesian econometrician developing methodology for empirical macroeconomic analyses and programming in 𝗥 and 𝗰𝗽𝗽.
See my 𝗥 packages 𝗯𝘀𝘃𝗮𝗿𝘀 and 𝗯𝘀𝘃𝗮𝗿𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝘀!
https://bsvars.org/
@bsvars.org
#bsvars #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #econsky
See my 𝗥 packages 𝗯𝘀𝘃𝗮𝗿𝘀 and 𝗯𝘀𝘃𝗮𝗿𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝘀!
https://bsvars.org/
@bsvars.org
#bsvars #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #econsky
Pinned
Tomasz Woźniak
@tomaszwozniak.bsky.social
· Oct 10
👽 There it is! 👾 Our new and shiny paper for the Journal of Econometrics! 🤖 doi.org/10.1016/j.je... 🚀
In this paper:
✅ we provide general conditions for partial identification of Structural VARs through heteroskedasticity
👇
#econometrics #1000hofComputations #itwaswothit
In this paper:
✅ we provide general conditions for partial identification of Structural VARs through heteroskedasticity
👇
#econometrics #1000hofComputations #itwaswothit
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
"Russia wanted to make sure that we freeze, so a lot of Ukrainians stayed home and tried to stay warm by any means, and so by intensively staying warm during such difficult times it actually gave a formula how you can have more Ukrainians." For those who want a little pick-me-up today 😊
Kyiv of Mine : Chapter 3 – Holding onto the summer
YouTube video by KyivOfMine
www.youtube.com
November 17, 2025 at 7:24 PM
"Russia wanted to make sure that we freeze, so a lot of Ukrainians stayed home and tried to stay warm by any means, and so by intensively staying warm during such difficult times it actually gave a formula how you can have more Ukrainians." For those who want a little pick-me-up today 😊
These are my heroes 💙💛
Ukrainian poets turn frontline soldiers to defend their country from Russia’s invasion.
🧵 1/16 ⬇️
🧵 1/16 ⬇️
November 16, 2025 at 11:01 AM
These are my heroes 💙💛
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
Congratulations to my student, Maggie Ma, for publishing her first #rstats package {ggincerta} on CRAN 🥳
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
November 16, 2025 at 4:51 AM
Congratulations to my student, Maggie Ma, for publishing her first #rstats package {ggincerta} on CRAN 🥳
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
Excellent video - watch!
Al Gore speaks at COP30 in Brazil.
Al Gore speaks at COP30 in Brazil.
Former U.S. VP Al Gore Reveals Shocking Data on Global Warming and Extreme Climate Events | AC1N
YouTube video by DRM News
youtu.be
November 13, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Excellent video - watch!
Al Gore speaks at COP30 in Brazil.
Al Gore speaks at COP30 in Brazil.
That’s a presentation of our bsvarSIGNs 📦 for Workshops for Ukraine 🇺🇦
Hey hey! 🖤🩷
The video on macro analyses using the R package bsvarSIGNs by @adamwang15.bsky.social is now publicly available! Have a look!
Thank you @dariia.bsky.social and Workshops for Ukraine! 💙💛
🎦 youtu.be/zjjM0l2r6gM
#bsvarSIGNs #bsvars #rstats #IsupportUkraine
The video on macro analyses using the R package bsvarSIGNs by @adamwang15.bsky.social is now publicly available! Have a look!
Thank you @dariia.bsky.social and Workshops for Ukraine! 💙💛
🎦 youtu.be/zjjM0l2r6gM
#bsvarSIGNs #bsvars #rstats #IsupportUkraine
Introduction to Empirical Macroeconomics with R
YouTube video by Dariia Mykhailyshyna
youtu.be
November 12, 2025 at 11:34 PM
That’s a presentation of our bsvarSIGNs 📦 for Workshops for Ukraine 🇺🇦
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
I’d like to share with you an excerpt from the book "Hemingway Knows Nothing" by Ukrainian Defender, poet, writer Artur Dron.
November 9, 2025 at 11:01 PM
I’d like to share with you an excerpt from the book "Hemingway Knows Nothing" by Ukrainian Defender, poet, writer Artur Dron.
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
Dear @albomp.bsky.social , Australia can't possibly be supporting Russia to bypass trade sanctions, can it? That would be despicable.
‘Loophole’ in sanctions allowing russian oil to be imported to Australia through port part-owned by Macquarie Bank
by Luca Ittimani
Australia’s sanctions allow purchases via third countries
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
by Luca Ittimani
Australia’s sanctions allow purchases via third countries
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
‘Loophole’ in sanctions allowing Russian oil to be imported to Australia through port part-owned by Macquarie Bank
Australia stopped buying fuel directly from Russia after its invasion of Ukraine but has imported more than 3m tonnes of its oil products since 2023
www.theguardian.com
November 9, 2025 at 6:34 AM
Dear @albomp.bsky.social , Australia can't possibly be supporting Russia to bypass trade sanctions, can it? That would be despicable.
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
❗️Our next workshop will be on Nov 13 6 pm CET titled Building & Customising Stat Models with Stan and R: Introduction to Bayesian Inference by @mlisi.bsky.social
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
November 7, 2025 at 8:41 AM
❗️Our next workshop will be on Nov 13 6 pm CET titled Building & Customising Stat Models with Stan and R: Introduction to Bayesian Inference by @mlisi.bsky.social
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
Oleksandra Matviichuk, head of the Center for Civil Liberties, spoke at De Balie in Amsterdam about the role of citizens in war, Russian aggression, and the fact that occupation is not peace.
📹 Center for Civil Liberties/Facebook
📹 Center for Civil Liberties/Facebook
November 2, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Oleksandra Matviichuk, head of the Center for Civil Liberties, spoke at De Balie in Amsterdam about the role of citizens in war, Russian aggression, and the fact that occupation is not peace.
📹 Center for Civil Liberties/Facebook
📹 Center for Civil Liberties/Facebook
I welcome recommendations of solid news/journalism sources about Australian economy. No drama queens pls 🤩
November 1, 2025 at 10:26 PM
I welcome recommendations of solid news/journalism sources about Australian economy. No drama queens pls 🤩
It's definitely a possibility! 🤷♂️ The bond yield curve models for the monthly data are set on the CUT, but weekly data models and other specifications indicate a HOLD decision. The former usually forecasts more precisely, and therefore it's a CUT. But I'm not certain 🤷
#rstats #cashrate #forecast
#rstats #cashrate #forecast
October 29, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
Amazing things happening on Italian television — Senator Carlo Calenda: "Putin is an aggressive imperial fascist" who blackmailed Europe through energy dependence on Russia by enlisting heads of governments like Merkel and Schröder as Kremlin assets.
October 24, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Amazing things happening on Italian television — Senator Carlo Calenda: "Putin is an aggressive imperial fascist" who blackmailed Europe through energy dependence on Russia by enlisting heads of governments like Merkel and Schröder as Kremlin assets.
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
In her monumental work, Darya Tsymbalyuk insists the world must reckon with the full cost of the destruction in Ukraine — not just in hectares lost or tons of grain burned, but in the severed roots that once tied generations to the land they called home.
New book exposes Russia’s ecocide as a war against Ukraine’s land – and memory
When Russia destroyed Ukraine’s Kakhovka Hydroelectric Dam in June 2023, unleashing catastrophic floods across the country’s south, it seemed like such a blatant act of environmental and humanitarian ...
kyivindependent.com
October 14, 2025 at 4:19 PM
In her monumental work, Darya Tsymbalyuk insists the world must reckon with the full cost of the destruction in Ukraine — not just in hectares lost or tons of grain burned, but in the severed roots that once tied generations to the land they called home.
👽 There it is! 👾 Our new and shiny paper for the Journal of Econometrics! 🤖 doi.org/10.1016/j.je... 🚀
In this paper:
✅ we provide general conditions for partial identification of Structural VARs through heteroskedasticity
👇
#econometrics #1000hofComputations #itwaswothit
In this paper:
✅ we provide general conditions for partial identification of Structural VARs through heteroskedasticity
👇
#econometrics #1000hofComputations #itwaswothit
October 10, 2025 at 3:03 AM
👽 There it is! 👾 Our new and shiny paper for the Journal of Econometrics! 🤖 doi.org/10.1016/j.je... 🚀
In this paper:
✅ we provide general conditions for partial identification of Structural VARs through heteroskedasticity
👇
#econometrics #1000hofComputations #itwaswothit
In this paper:
✅ we provide general conditions for partial identification of Structural VARs through heteroskedasticity
👇
#econometrics #1000hofComputations #itwaswothit
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
On October 16th I will be presenting material from my book in the Workshops for Ukraine online workshop series. Details here 👇👇
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
#EconSky #RStats #TeachBE
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
#EconSky #RStats #TeachBE
Dariia Mykhailyshyna - Workshops for Ukraine
Feedback on the past workshops (if you want to learn how to make wordclouds, check out Text Data Analysis workshop below)
sites.google.com
September 14, 2025 at 3:58 PM
On October 16th I will be presenting material from my book in the Workshops for Ukraine online workshop series. Details here 👇👇
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
#EconSky #RStats #TeachBE
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
#EconSky #RStats #TeachBE
Perfect! This is just what I was looking for! Thanks 💙💛
Chapter Ukraine is a new interactive platform by Chytomo showcasing Ukrainian books in translation and connecting readers, libraries, and bookstores worldwide.
🧵 1/4 ⬇️
🧵 1/4 ⬇️
October 7, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Perfect! This is just what I was looking for! Thanks 💙💛
Hey, that's my paper! 😍
⚠️ Publication alert! ⚠️ The methodological paper for the bsvars package has just been accepted for publication in the Journal of Econometrics! 📄 Here's it's author's accepted manuscript: doi.org/10.48550/arX...
Watch this space! 👀 Lot's of goodies coming up! 🌟
#bsvars #rstats
Watch this space! 👀 Lot's of goodies coming up! 🌟
#bsvars #rstats
October 3, 2025 at 7:13 AM
Hey, that's my paper! 😍
Reposted by Tomasz Woźniak
🥳 When did that happen! 🎉
Our package bsvarSIGNs has just reached 5K downloads! 🚀
Thank you and stay with us!
#rstats #bsvarSIGNs
Our package bsvarSIGNs has just reached 5K downloads! 🚀
Thank you and stay with us!
#rstats #bsvarSIGNs
September 29, 2025 at 12:40 PM
🥳 When did that happen! 🎉
Our package bsvarSIGNs has just reached 5K downloads! 🚀
Thank you and stay with us!
#rstats #bsvarSIGNs
Our package bsvarSIGNs has just reached 5K downloads! 🚀
Thank you and stay with us!
#rstats #bsvarSIGNs
🐨 Join me on Monday for an in-person and online workshop on 🐋 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🦘 taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji @wombat.numbat.space
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto... 🕷️
#rstats #rcpp
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto... 🕷️
#rstats #rcpp
September 27, 2025 at 4:32 AM
🐨 Join me on Monday for an in-person and online workshop on 🐋 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🦘 taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji @wombat.numbat.space
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto... 🕷️
#rstats #rcpp
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto... 🕷️
#rstats #rcpp
🐨 Last chance to register! 🦘
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
September 27, 2025 at 4:26 AM
🐨 Last chance to register! 🦘
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
🐨 Last chance to register! 🦘
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
WOMBAT 2025
The Annual Workshop Organised by the Monash Business Analytics Team will be held on the 29th and 30th September 2025 at Monash University (downtown), Melbourne, Australia.
wombat2025.numbat.space
September 27, 2025 at 4:23 AM
🐨 Last chance to register! 🦘
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
🐋 For my Monday in-person and online workshop on 🦈 Getting Started with C++ for Faster Statistical Modelling in R 🕷️ taking place during the WOMBAT workshop #NoWombatEmoji
🕸️ Program and registrations at: wombat2025.numbat.space/program/tuto...
#rstats #rcpp
👾 Only a few hours left 🤖
Join me this afternoon for the online 💙 Workshop for Ukraine 💛 organised by the fantastic @dariia.bsky.social!
👽 We aim at making #rstats coders also C++ coders for R applications to speed up their algos! #Rcpp
🕡 Thu, 25 Sep, 6 pm CEST
🌐 Registrations: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Join me this afternoon for the online 💙 Workshop for Ukraine 💛 organised by the fantastic @dariia.bsky.social!
👽 We aim at making #rstats coders also C++ coders for R applications to speed up their algos! #Rcpp
🕡 Thu, 25 Sep, 6 pm CEST
🌐 Registrations: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
September 25, 2025 at 6:12 AM
👾 Only a few hours left 🤖
Join me this afternoon for the online 💙 Workshop for Ukraine 💛 organised by the fantastic @dariia.bsky.social!
👽 We aim at making #rstats coders also C++ coders for R applications to speed up their algos! #Rcpp
🕡 Thu, 25 Sep, 6 pm CEST
🌐 Registrations: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Join me this afternoon for the online 💙 Workshop for Ukraine 💛 organised by the fantastic @dariia.bsky.social!
👽 We aim at making #rstats coders also C++ coders for R applications to speed up their algos! #Rcpp
🕡 Thu, 25 Sep, 6 pm CEST
🌐 Registrations: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Not this time! No doubt the RBA is on a slide down with the cash rate. However, my forecasts are firmly centred around the HOLD decision this month. I interpret this as the markets accepting the RBA's pace of interest rate cuts. My forecasts are available at: forecasting-cash-rate.github.io
#rstats
#rstats
September 24, 2025 at 12:20 PM
Not this time! No doubt the RBA is on a slide down with the cash rate. However, my forecasts are firmly centred around the HOLD decision this month. I interpret this as the markets accepting the RBA's pace of interest rate cuts. My forecasts are available at: forecasting-cash-rate.github.io
#rstats
#rstats