Tobias Harris
@tobiasharris.bsky.social
Japanese politics analyst; author of The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan; Chicago-born Cubs fan now living in DC; marathoner; RHP + IF ⚾
Substack: Observingjapan.substack.com.
Business: www.japanforesight.com
Substack: Observingjapan.substack.com.
Business: www.japanforesight.com
I can't say that this provides any clarity as to why they think there are profits to be made letting rural Japan have it their way.
November 18, 2025 at 11:46 PM
I can't say that this provides any clarity as to why they think there are profits to be made letting rural Japan have it their way.
Willoughby was so reprehensible that Fellers was able to fly under the radar as the most vile member of the GHQ staff.
November 18, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Willoughby was so reprehensible that Fellers was able to fly under the radar as the most vile member of the GHQ staff.
I've updated my public opinion moving average. The numbers settled back into their previous level as new polls join the sample, diluting the impact of the outlier JNN poll.
Unadjusted Takaichi polling
APPROVE 67.63%
DISAPPROVE 15.25%
Adjusted for bias
APPROVE 70.13%
DISAPPROVE 17.9%
Unadjusted Takaichi polling
APPROVE 67.63%
DISAPPROVE 15.25%
Adjusted for bias
APPROVE 70.13%
DISAPPROVE 17.9%
November 18, 2025 at 4:50 AM
I've updated my public opinion moving average. The numbers settled back into their previous level as new polls join the sample, diluting the impact of the outlier JNN poll.
Unadjusted Takaichi polling
APPROVE 67.63%
DISAPPROVE 15.25%
Adjusted for bias
APPROVE 70.13%
DISAPPROVE 17.9%
Unadjusted Takaichi polling
APPROVE 67.63%
DISAPPROVE 15.25%
Adjusted for bias
APPROVE 70.13%
DISAPPROVE 17.9%
One last Kokkai view for the road.
November 15, 2025 at 7:24 AM
One last Kokkai view for the road.
This is the future that liberals want
November 15, 2025 at 12:58 AM
This is the future that liberals want
11.14.33, day of Reichstag elections and plebiscite on the League of Nations
...
On Sunday I voted “No” in the plebiscite, and I also wrote “No” on the Reichstag ballot paper...the whole world expects the secrecy of the ballot to be violated...I do not believe that it really was infringed...
...
On Sunday I voted “No” in the plebiscite, and I also wrote “No” on the Reichstag ballot paper...the whole world expects the secrecy of the ballot to be violated...I do not believe that it really was infringed...
November 14, 2025 at 11:58 AM
11.14.33, day of Reichstag elections and plebiscite on the League of Nations
...
On Sunday I voted “No” in the plebiscite, and I also wrote “No” on the Reichstag ballot paper...the whole world expects the secrecy of the ballot to be violated...I do not believe that it really was infringed...
...
On Sunday I voted “No” in the plebiscite, and I also wrote “No” on the Reichstag ballot paper...the whole world expects the secrecy of the ballot to be violated...I do not believe that it really was infringed...
More Kokkai views
November 14, 2025 at 6:33 AM
More Kokkai views
Netflix-branded snack tie-up at 7-Eleven. I'll admit that these chips look pretty good.
November 14, 2025 at 2:26 AM
Netflix-branded snack tie-up at 7-Eleven. I'll admit that these chips look pretty good.
An important building in modern Japanese history, but I just liked the view.
November 12, 2025 at 5:24 AM
An important building in modern Japanese history, but I just liked the view.
People have misunderstood Kamiya. He's really just complaining about these machines.
November 11, 2025 at 11:54 PM
People have misunderstood Kamiya. He's really just complaining about these machines.
Bluesky going to Bluesky
(Guess the subject of this post)
(Guess the subject of this post)
November 10, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Bluesky going to Bluesky
(Guess the subject of this post)
(Guess the subject of this post)
Mission accomplished. 🍠
November 10, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Mission accomplished. 🍠
I love getting free books but I especially love getting a free book when it's a friend's highly anticipated forthcoming book. Congrats for this @wdavidmarx.bsky.social!
November 6, 2025 at 12:07 PM
I love getting free books but I especially love getting a free book when it's a friend's highly anticipated forthcoming book. Congrats for this @wdavidmarx.bsky.social!
It's the headquarters of the LDP but there aren't any huge banners of the leader's face. Are they even trying?
November 6, 2025 at 3:04 AM
It's the headquarters of the LDP but there aren't any huge banners of the leader's face. Are they even trying?
@dfeds.bsky.social, received this flyer from protestors outside the Diet.
November 6, 2025 at 2:59 AM
@dfeds.bsky.social, received this flyer from protestors outside the Diet.
Genius marketing decision by Suntory to name a non-alcoholic beer after what someone trying to order another round might sound like after having perhaps a few too many regular beers.
November 4, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Genius marketing decision by Suntory to name a non-alcoholic beer after what someone trying to order another round might sound like after having perhaps a few too many regular beers.
I've started reading Jon Grinspan's history of the Wide Awakes and I like how he frames this (which seems relevant).
November 3, 2025 at 11:45 AM
I've started reading Jon Grinspan's history of the Wide Awakes and I like how he frames this (which seems relevant).
I still think that the Japanese-style election poster I made for a photo of Warren Harding is some of my best design work.
November 3, 2025 at 1:37 AM
I still think that the Japanese-style election poster I made for a photo of Warren Harding is some of my best design work.
There are worse ways of spending a Sunday morning.
November 2, 2025 at 3:01 PM
There are worse ways of spending a Sunday morning.