Stephan Maurer
@stephanmaurer.bsky.social
Economist by day, Civil War historian by night. University of Edinburgh, UPF-BSM, and CEP. Author of "Die Schlacht von Gettysburg": amzn.eu/d/epEJdVz
Personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/stephanernstmaurer/
Personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/stephanernstmaurer/
Yes, Lincoln still needed to win the '64 election, but with the situation as it was after Chattanooga, the Confederates would have needed something close to a miracle to stop Sherman from taking Atlanta (and thus ensuring Lincoln's victory).
November 25, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Yes, Lincoln still needed to win the '64 election, but with the situation as it was after Chattanooga, the Confederates would have needed something close to a miracle to stop Sherman from taking Atlanta (and thus ensuring Lincoln's victory).
Happy birthday!
November 25, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Happy birthday!
Reposted by Stephan Maurer
📆 ¡Hoy organizamos un evento de celebración! 🎉
🗨️ Además de la presentación del libro, contamos con la presencia de @monicambravo.bsky.social y #AntónCostas en un coloquio sobre los 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐬 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨́𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬, 𝐬𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐲 𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢́𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬 que afrontamos como sociedad.
🗨️ Además de la presentación del libro, contamos con la presencia de @monicambravo.bsky.social y #AntónCostas en un coloquio sobre los 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐬 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨́𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬, 𝐬𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐲 𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢́𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬 que afrontamos como sociedad.
November 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
📆 ¡Hoy organizamos un evento de celebración! 🎉
🗨️ Además de la presentación del libro, contamos con la presencia de @monicambravo.bsky.social y #AntónCostas en un coloquio sobre los 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐬 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨́𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬, 𝐬𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐲 𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢́𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬 que afrontamos como sociedad.
🗨️ Además de la presentación del libro, contamos con la presencia de @monicambravo.bsky.social y #AntónCostas en un coloquio sobre los 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐬 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨́𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬, 𝐬𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐲 𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢́𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐬 que afrontamos como sociedad.
For Allemanic, we have Hebel's poems from the early 19th century, which are pretty similar to the dialect still spoken nowadays. Not 100%, as the spoken dialect went closer to standard German, but very similar. So I'm pretty sure I'd understand my 1815 ancestors :)
November 21, 2025 at 6:38 AM
For Allemanic, we have Hebel's poems from the early 19th century, which are pretty similar to the dialect still spoken nowadays. Not 100%, as the spoken dialect went closer to standard German, but very similar. So I'm pretty sure I'd understand my 1815 ancestors :)
Wouldn't the wings be a problem?
November 20, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Wouldn't the wings be a problem?
That's just SAPS telling you it doesn't know what is going on.
Did the doctor look confused when you asked for "just one ping, Vasili" im a Scottish accent?
Did the doctor look confused when you asked for "just one ping, Vasili" im a Scottish accent?
November 20, 2025 at 5:32 PM
That's just SAPS telling you it doesn't know what is going on.
Did the doctor look confused when you asked for "just one ping, Vasili" im a Scottish accent?
Did the doctor look confused when you asked for "just one ping, Vasili" im a Scottish accent?
I think the even more fundamental issue is that estimates relative to a counterfactual are very hard to explain to voters. It's hard to dispel "the economy grew by 15% over nine years, so it can't have been that bad" by "it would likely have grown by 21 -23%".
November 20, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Did you hear the singing?
November 20, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Did you hear the singing?
Reposted by Stephan Maurer
🎯 #EvaluaciónDeImpacto de una política activa de empleo local en la provincia de Barcelona a través de colaboraciones público-privadas
Apoyo personalizado e inserción en industria a las personas participantes
🛠️ #Matching + #DiD
⬆️ +3,4 pp en la probabilidad de encontrar empleo
Apoyo personalizado e inserción en industria a las personas participantes
🛠️ #Matching + #DiD
⬆️ +3,4 pp en la probabilidad de encontrar empleo
November 20, 2025 at 9:01 AM
🎯 #EvaluaciónDeImpacto de una política activa de empleo local en la provincia de Barcelona a través de colaboraciones público-privadas
Apoyo personalizado e inserción en industria a las personas participantes
🛠️ #Matching + #DiD
⬆️ +3,4 pp en la probabilidad de encontrar empleo
Apoyo personalizado e inserción en industria a las personas participantes
🛠️ #Matching + #DiD
⬆️ +3,4 pp en la probabilidad de encontrar empleo