For advanced questions, I think you've got to go with the paid models. They're so much better.

Granted, the search-user-facing one leaves a lot to be desired. Gemini is amazing at probabilistic programming, tough. GPT5.1, too.

Yes, but treatment effect heterogeneity determines how well we can learn an average effect (so it seems worthy of thinking of and perhaps modeling).

What models are you using? Gemini is extremely good at advanced statistics (let alone simpler things).

Holy shit.

The President has put tariffs on the whole economy in an effort to revive manufacturing.

It's not working.

Here's what worries the Fed (and me!): The unemployment rate is slowly drifting up. This is a clear sign of an unhealthy economy. And it's happening slowly enough that it hasn't attracted many headlines. But it really matters.

Ah, it's cool you'll be able to answer so many more nuanced questions.

Grok is brilliant everybody! 😂