Rory Johnston
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roryjohnston.bsky.social
Rory Johnston
@roryjohnston.bsky.social
oil market researcher
founder of https://CommodityContext.com
former bank economist
markets, code, barbecue
I’ve followed Francisco’s work for years and I was really excited to finally get the chance to speak with him at an especially important moment.

Listen to my full conversation with Francisco here: clearcommodity.net/podcasts/oil...
What's at Stake with Venezuela's Oil Industry as US Military Activities Escalate
The Trump Administration has gotten increasingly aggressive in its relations with Nicholas Maduro's government in Venezuela, accumulating a historic volume of US military capability in the Caribbean a...
clearcommodity.net
November 14, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Here's what the same scenario outlook looked like last month:
November 13, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Given that's how private/merchant tanks operate—buying in contango, selling in backwardation—what's the "strategic" differentiator of the SPR?

Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
November 10, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Given that's how private/merchant tanks operate—buying in contango, selling in backwardation—what's the "strategic" differentiator of the SPR?

Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
November 10, 2025 at 8:29 PM
I’m less excited by the prospect that they’ll do a weird lag-out of the data once publication resumes, putting out 2 weeks of data each week rather than just bulk-updating the whole history at once.

This is what happened last time and it was somehow worse than no data.
November 10, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Beautiful! I have dreams of adding the doors (which I have in my shed) and hardware (and some moulding/router work), but I’m calling it for this stage lol
November 9, 2025 at 8:57 PM