Raj Rajnarayanan
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rajlabn.bsky.social
Raj Rajnarayanan
@rajlabn.bsky.social
@Rajlabn in Twitter | My posts are my own
Canada could face ‘worst kind’ of flu season as experts warn evolving strain may be mismatch for vaccine

H/T @laurenpelley.bsky.social

www.cbc.ca/news/health/...
Canada could face ‘worst kind’ of flu season as experts warn evolving strain may be mismatch for vaccine | CBC News
With flu cases now rising in Canada, medical experts are bracing for a difficult influenza season linked to the global spread of an evolving H3N2 strain that could be a mismatch for this year’s vaccin...
www.cbc.ca
November 12, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Note: My initial dashboard missed a few sequences with missing nucleotides. Thanks to @josetteschoenma.bsky.social and @siamosolocani.bsky.social for nucleotide queries which pick up all BA.3.2* as of now.
November 9, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Pango issue, spotting & designation history:
github.com/cov-lineages...
November 9, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Do you remember BA.3—the weakling cousin of BA.1 & BA.2 that seemed to take the worst from each & had weaker ACE2 binding than even the ancestral Wuhan Virus?

After three years, BA.3 is back.

And it is transmitting.

Who saw this coming?
1/13
November 9, 2025 at 6:41 PM
BA.3.2 exhibits robust antibody evasion + low ACE2-binding capability (Guo et al, 2025; thelancet.com/journals/lan...
November 9, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Status of #COVID19 in #NewYork (#Bellwether State)

XFG.2, XFG.14.1, XFG.3.4.1, XFG.3 and XFG.4.2 are the top circulating #SARSCoV2 lineages in NY

#COVID19 hospitalizations - trending down| #WasteWater #SARSCoV2 -no recent update |
@HealthNYGov

2/n
November 8, 2025 at 7:09 AM
Thanks to all the countries that are supporting #SARSCoV2 testing & rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters (> 100 Seqs w/ collection dates in the last 30 days): #UnitedKingdom #Canada #USA #France #Spain #Germany #Netherlands #Australia #Slovenia

3/n
November 5, 2025 at 4:08 AM
This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to
@GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 10/04/2025 (3,862 sequences)

Note: 171,095 SARSCoV2 seqs w/ collection dates on or after 01/01/2025 are available in GISAID/NCBI

2/n
November 5, 2025 at 4:07 AM
Thanks to all the countries that are supporting #SARSCoV2 testing & rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters (> 100 Seqs w/ collection dates in the last 30 days): #UnitedKingdom #USA #France #Canada #Spain #Netherlands #Australia #Germany #Italy

3/n
October 27, 2025 at 5:27 AM
This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to @GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 09/25/2025 (4,684 sequences)

Note: 164,341 SARSCoV2 seqs w/ collection dates on or after 01/01/2025 are available in GISAID/NCBI

2/n
October 27, 2025 at 5:26 AM
These are sequences with sample collection dates in the last 30 days - I can check if this is missing some seqs
October 17, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Following BA.3.2.2* in #WesternAustralia closely

4/n
October 17, 2025 at 5:11 AM
Thanks to all the countries that are supporting #SARSCoV2 testing & rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters (> 100 Seqs w/ collection dates in the last 30 days): #Canada #USA #UnitedKingdom #Spain #France #Australia #Netherlands #Italy #Germany

3/n
October 17, 2025 at 5:11 AM
This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to
@GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 09/16/2025 (5,714 sequences)

Note: 157,144 SARSCoV2 seqs w/ collection dates on or after 01/01/2025 are available in GISAID/NCBI

2/n
October 17, 2025 at 5:10 AM
This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to @GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 08/29/2025 (4,212 sequences)

Note: 146,261 seqs w/ collection dates on or after 01/01/2025 are available in GISAID/NCBI

2/n
October 6, 2025 at 6:30 AM
XFG* mutations under watch

Spike K529T is worth watching (its one of the signature mutations of XFG.14 lineage)
September 15, 2025 at 4:11 AM
Status of #COVID19 in #California

XFG.3, XFG, XFG.2 and PQ.2 are the top circulating #SARSCoV2 lineages in CA |[🚨Low sequence count]

#COVID19 hospitalizations -low | #WasteWater #SARSCoV2 - Very High | @capublichealth.bsky.social
September 15, 2025 at 4:10 AM