David
banner
puca.bsky.social
David
@puca.bsky.social
Wolkenjägerblicker
Full video out now, showing the rocket launch.
bsky.app/profile/spec...
Detailed video of the failed launch of a Russian missile, likely a UR-100N, from the Yasny launch site near Orenburg.
November 28, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Thanks!

I had a quick look back at FlightRadar24 playback and it looks like there were only diverted flights around the NOTAM areas on 23rd of November - 25 & 26 seemed to be normal.
November 28, 2025 at 5:04 PM
How that NOTAM roughly looks next to the NASA FIRMS data.
November 28, 2025 at 3:39 PM
And that what Ireland built, was due in huge part due to benefits that came with membership of the European Union.

That today Ireland's European neighbours have valid concerns about the lack of defensive capabilities.

To realise that maybe now is a good time to quit gambling on a forever peace.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
But there needs to be understanding of where Ireland came from, the poverty & the impact of The Troubles & everything that came with that.

The focus should not be on NATO membership - but Ireland's responsibilities as a state to protect what it has; what Ireland has built slowly from independence.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
I get Ireland's lack of capability makes no sense from the outside, as one Finnish official put it: “Please explain to me why Ireland is celebrating a centenary of its independence from the UK, yet, to defend that sovereignty, relies almost entirely on the UK?”
www.irishtimes.com/news/world/e...
Finnish officials highly sceptical about Ireland’s ability to defend its territory
State needs to triple military spending to stand chance of defending itself, says general
www.irishtimes.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
In my opinion, the conversation about NATO membership should be left to one side - the fundamental issue is about Ireland acquiring & maintaining a capability to effectively monitor & defend its EEZ and its own airspace.

Ireland should stop leaning so heavily on the UK & stand on its own two feet.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Ireland is, belatedly, waking up to this reality - basic, baseline capabilities are finally being procured, like primary radar & sonar.

But the most fundamental issue facing the Defence Forces is recruitment and retention in what is a highly competitive jobs market; again not an issue in the 1980s.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
To go from that to, today - or as the FT article puts it: “They are basically freeloading on the rest of us, especially the UK, which have much less money to spend,” says one former senior European diplomat.

That is is a seismic shift - it's not Ireland that is broke; it's Ireland's neighbours.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
In the Cold War, Britain yielded a (comparatively) vast military & Ireland had practically nothing to spend, even if it wanted to, that would contribute meaningfully to European collective security.

Ireland's problems were internal & they were many. Everyone knew this. The situation was accepted.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
In retrospect - it was a bloody brilliant gamble.

One that has lead us directly to where we are today; no longer dependent on agriculture, no longer with high unemployment and gaping budget deficits - a hub of IT, of pharmaceutical manufacturing, budget surpluses and full employment.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Ireland spent the bare minimum, as Dr. TK Whitaker put it:
"As the years go by, all that money that would have been spent on defence would be available to invest in infrastructure, social services and creating employment. It is a gamble, if you like, on peace.”
www.irishtimes.com/opinion/a-ga...
‘A gamble on peace’ – Dorcha Lee on TK Whitaker and defence spending
An Irishman’s Diary
www.irishtimes.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
That spending was necessitated not because of a Soviet threat, it was because of the situation in the North.

Anyone who grew up in Ireland in 80s/90s remembers soldiers on the streets during cash escorts or prisoner transfers. The army was in many ways like a gendarme - armed internal security.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
In the early 1980s Ireland was spending an average of 1.8% of GDP on defence - compared with the "quarter of 1 per cent of GDP" currently.

How many main battle tanks, fighter aircraft, primary radars, submarines did this buy?

Zero. Because it was 1.8% of nothing.
The country was broke.
November 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM
📸
November 24, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Certainly not a great spot to drag an anchor ;)
November 24, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Russian flagged cargo vessel Stargazer / RCC Stargazer (273259700) currently on its way to the Irish Sea from the south, has slowed right down - possibly due to sea conditions.
November 24, 2025 at 11:14 AM
And that's that for tonight.
November 23, 2025 at 9:40 PM
KAYI03 & 04 at either side of the NOTAM area.
November 23, 2025 at 9:01 PM