David
@puca.bsky.social
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puca.bsky.social
While we wait for some kind of news, a quick revisit of the visible aircraft activity off the coast of Pankovo, Novaya Zemlya on 14 August, with animations using Sentinel 2 bands 2, 3, 4 & 8, as suggested by @spacefromspace.com
puca.bsky.social
Thanks! Added in the wave height for the label now so it makes a bit more sense :)
puca.bsky.social
Had an idea of bringing in data from weather/wave buoys to get a better idea of conditions at sea in future.

First go at this, size/colour based on significant wave height.
puca.bsky.social
Well, you'd have to ask yourself what sort of test activity would require the allocation of 11+ vessels, 4+ aircraft (two of which are linked to Rosatom) for four months (and counting) to Novaya Zemlya.
puca.bsky.social
Updated Russian NOTAMs for the Barents Sea area.
Of note, resumption of both Burevestnik related NOTAMs from 13 OCT to 17 OCT. (none in effect today)
Possible SLBM launch NOTAM off Murmansk now for 13 OCT to 18 OCT.
puca.bsky.social
Stargazer wound up, not in Iskenderun, Turkey, but in Haifa, Israel instead.

I'm pretty sure it had listed Haifa initially, but for whatever reason it changed to Iskenderun by the time it was transiting the Irish sea 🙃
puca.bsky.social
It appears MV Gary Chouest hovered for a while outside of the Irish EEZ before the visit to Cork.

It was not the only interesting US visitor to these parts in recent weeks.
puca.bsky.social
Thanks! I wasn't sure how it would all line up as I was building the csv for vessel manually, line by line, copying the coordinates in, so glad it turned out ok 😅
puca.bsky.social
NOTAMs Q4142/25 & Q4144/25 have been published & will go into effect on 13 OCT to 17 OCT.

They are a repeat of the earlier ones & bring the NOTAM back into effect over the pad.

The pier may be gone, but the vessels are all still up there. Yauza has been drifting in the Kara sea for nearly a month.
puca.bsky.social
During its patrol earlier today, an Irish Air Corps C295 maritime surveillance aircraft (Reg: 284) appeared to take a look at the vessel "Optima" on its way to St. Petersburg from Aughinish.
Reposted by David
jjdroxford.bsky.social
🔺Northern Fleet - Heads up! 🚀

There is a realistic possibility Russian Navy Northern Fleet Pr.22350 SKR-456 “Admiral Golovko” will conduct a certification firing of the 3M22 Zircon hypersonic missile system (over max range at a littoral target ) on 12 October 2025.
Library image for illustration purposes only. Russian Military Press
Reposted by David
thelookout.bsky.social
A reminder that October is the month for annual nuclear exercises, both Russian and NATOs. On schedule = good.

This is normal and does not directly reflect tensions. Don't buy into fear mongering.

When Grom gets postponed, that's the time to get suspicious.
thelookout.bsky.social
Looks like we have the first indicator for Grom, between the 20th and 24th.

This PRIP is consistent with SS-N-23 from the Barents Sea to Kura.

H/T La_souris_DA on the other site.
puca.bsky.social
A new "TEMPO DANGER AREA" NOTAM from GND-UNL extending up along the west coast of Novaya Zemlya, with a small GND-UNL airspace closure on the NE coast of the Kanin Peninsula, for OCT 12.

@thelookout.bsky.social @jjdroxford.bsky.social @thomasnilsen.bsky.social
puca.bsky.social
For all the seismic shifts in Ireland and beyond over the last decade, I still have a hard time picturing the Defence Forces ever being properly equipped to defend the state.

Really hope I am wrong though and these potential moves toward real-world military capabilities come to pass.
Reposted by David
beijingpalmer.bsky.social
after careful study, I believe only people born between 1975 and 1995 should be allowed to use the internet
puca.bsky.social
Update on this: the NOTAMs associated with the possible SLBM test are still in place with the same dates, however the other curious NOTAM group have been removed.
puca.bsky.social
Some updates on Russian NOTAMs:
Possible SLBM launch apparently pushed back again, now to 9-12 OCT.

And a group of NOTAMs that I don't quite know what to make of.

Did these late yesterday and never got around to posting (hence date)

@jjdroxford.bsky.social @thelookout.bsky.social
Reposted by David
viper13.bsky.social
A most interesting flight path for RRR7209, Rivet Joint, RC-135W. I can't remember a Rivet Joint intelligence gathering aircraft taking this course in the past. After following almost all of the Norwegian coastline they flew through Finland and are proceeding through the Baltics.
A most interesting flight path for RRR7209, Rivet Joint, RC-135W. I can't remember a Rivet Joint intelligence gathering aircraft taking this course in the past. After following almost all of the Norwegian coastline they flew through Finland and are proceeding through the Baltics.
puca.bsky.social
I'm glad to see it has the bumps for a Defensive Aids Suite like the maritime variants.
puca.bsky.social
Some updates on Russian NOTAMs:
Possible SLBM launch apparently pushed back again, now to 9-12 OCT.

And a group of NOTAMs that I don't quite know what to make of.

Did these late yesterday and never got around to posting (hence date)

@jjdroxford.bsky.social @thelookout.bsky.social
puca.bsky.social
Goodbye Pankovo pier, for another year 🫡