Tim Stephens
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proftimstephens.bsky.social
Tim Stephens
@proftimstephens.bsky.social
Professor of International Law, University of Sydney Law School.

Former Councillor, Inner West Council, Sydney.

www.sydney.edu.au/law/about/our-people/academic-staff/tim-stephens.html

orcid.org/0000-0001-9678-2227
Pinned
Our edited collection on 'Geopolitical Change and the Antarctic Treaty System' will be out in January 2025.

A big thanks to co-editors Shirley Scott and Jeff McGee and to the contributors for making this project possible.

link.springer.com/book/9789819...
Geopolitical Change and the Antarctic Treaty System
This book explores all aspects of geopolitical considerations between key states of the Antarctica Treaty System (ATS) and lessons that can be gained.
link.springer.com
“The NSW Liberals have snubbed their federal colleagues and will retain the policy of net zero emissions by 2050.”

There is something very weird about the Libs federally.

www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw...
‘No will to walk away from net zero’: NSW Liberals defy federal colleagues
The NSW Liberals are not walking away from lower emissions, but will that be enough to save Opposition Leader Mark Speakman?
www.smh.com.au
November 18, 2025 at 9:25 AM
And bizarrely Ley’s climate policy is far worse than Howard’s (remember he promised an ETS in 2007):
Nothing says ‘new pathway’ better than turning up with John Howard 🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️ #auspol
November 18, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
#Morgan ALP 33 L-NP 27 Grn 12.5 ON 14 Ind/other 13.5

2PP 56.5 to ALP (-0.5) by respondent prefs
55 to ALP (-2) by last election

My conversion for these primaries 55.1 to ALP (-1.6)

n=5428, Oct 20 - Nov 16

www.roymorgan.com/findings/995...
In November, support for One Nation increased to its highest since 1998; ALP maintains two-party preferred lead - Roy Morgan Research
www.roymorgan.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
(New from us)
‘Now the Pacific is leading the way again. Island leaders have a bold plan to become the world’s first region powered entirely by renewables and energy storage.’ #ClimateCrisis #COP30

w/ @wesleymorgan.bsky.social @smartenergycouncil.bsky.social theconversation.com/how-pacific-...
How Pacific nations plan to go from spending up to 25% of GDP on fossil fuels to running on 100% renewables
Pacific nations spend billions each year importing fossil fuels for electricity. Now the region’s leaders are aiming for energy independence.
theconversation.com
November 13, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
The Liberals and News Corp show through their blatant opposition to climate action that they represent the interests of billionaires, and couldn’t care less if the earth become inhabitable. My analysis👇🏻

independentaustralia.net/politics/pol...
Liberals and News Corp in lock-step with interests of climate denying billionaires
Despite the spin, the Coalition and News Corp remain mouthpieces for billionaire interests bent on stalling climate action and truth alike.
independentaustralia.net
November 18, 2025 at 7:09 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Sussan Ley really took a beating on #abc730 after she didn’t even want to accept that energy experts are saying Renewables will be cheaper than Coal
Ferguson “Did you consult them before announcing this Pro Coal policy?”
Clearly not.🙄 Trainwreck.💥
November 17, 2025 at 9:38 PM
"Business and energy industry leaders have warned the Coalition that abandoning a net zero emissions target will not cut power bills, undermining the core promise of Sussan Ley’s signature new policy."

www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
Business and energy leaders warn Coalition dumping net zero won’t cut power bills and demand more detail
CEO of Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry calls Sussan Ley’s new policy ‘a bit of a plan not to have a plan’, echoing business scepticism
www.theguardian.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:48 PM
“South Korean decision to close all coal-fired power plants by 2040 sounds alarm for Australian exports.”

The fossil fuel era is indeed ending (though no way near fast enough).

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
South Korean decision to close all coal-fired power plants by 2040 sounds alarm for Australian exports
Decision announced at Cop30 climate conference signposts risks for Australia’s reliance on fossil fuel exports, analysts say
www.theguardian.com
November 17, 2025 at 7:41 PM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Pressed to outline how the LNP will reduce emissions with their new energy plan, Sussan Ley says they’ll rely on “breakthrough technologies” in about “25 years time”😳 - ones not invented yet & “we’re not talking about today”🤔
There you have it. As bonkers as it gets. #auspol
November 16, 2025 at 6:36 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Zoe Daniel has unleashed on Tim Wilson saying he’s now “compromised” after taking a Net Zero policy to the election & turning his back on the ppl of Goldstein
“To stay in the party at all, I think is really problematic.”
“He failed. He’s ineffective.”🔥 #Abc
November 17, 2025 at 7:44 AM
“The clean-energy transition is not a cultural argument but an economic one. Global capital has already moved, and nations that seize this moment will become export superpowers; those that treat it as a culture war will be left behind.”

www.smh.com.au/national/nsw...
A new Liberal leader won’t work. The problem is the horse, not the jockey
If the Liberal Party doesn’t reflect the country it wishes to lead, it will become a regional grievance party rather than a national governing force.
www.smh.com.au
November 17, 2025 at 8:37 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
During the #COP30 climate conference in Brazil, Australia's opposition party withdrew from the country's net-zero by 2050 target. It now sees net-zero as a potential 'welcome outcome' of using Australia's resources (coal, gas) plus new energy technologies. Reckless.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
November 17, 2025 at 6:30 AM
“The Liberals’ new policy is climate denialism masked as concern for affordability.”

www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
Weak Liberal Party ‘moderates’ as shameless as internal net zero opponents
Any moderate with a shred of self-respect would step off the frontbench in protest at what has unfolded.
www.smh.com.au
November 17, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Perhaps Ley could propose the introduction of an Emissions Trading System, as John Howard did in 2007.

www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
Ley, scrambling to save her job, turns to Howard for help on migration - and Pauline Hanson
A defiant Ley has ordered her shadow ministers to fast track a new migration policy as conservative and Nationals open up a new internal debate on population.
www.smh.com.au
November 17, 2025 at 6:12 AM
“Net Zero is about transferring your wealth into the hands of green energy grifters to pay for their wind and solar projects” - Andrew Hastie

It’s impossible to distinguish Hastie from One Nation.

If he becomes leader he’ll tank with the median voter.

www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
Sussan Ley, the travelling saleswoman, is spruiking Hastie’s wares
The backbencher is avoiding the hard questions Ley has faced as he writes newsletters that read like a mix of a Western Civilisation course and a combative TikTok feed.
www.smh.com.au
November 17, 2025 at 3:17 AM
“Are Australia’s electricity prices higher than in most other countries? The short answer is no.”

www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
Are Australians really paying more for electricity than other countries?
Australia’s electricity prices have gone up a long way over the past decade or so, but global energy trends have also pushed up bills in other countries
www.theguardian.com
November 16, 2025 at 8:06 PM
“Australia’s biggest energy companies have reinforced their support for the government’s 2050 net zero target and warned that failing to embrace renewables will only send power bills higher”

www.smh.com.au/business/the...
Energy giants back net zero as Coalition reignites climate war
Australia’s major power companies have reinforced support for net zero and a renewable-dominated grid, insisting it will be the cheapest option for consumers.
www.smh.com.au
November 16, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Have courage to create fossil fuel phaseout roadmap at Cop30, Brazilian minister urges #Climate
Have courage to create fossil fuel phaseout roadmap at Cop30, Brazilian minister urges
Marina Silva says contentious plan would be ‘ethical answer’ to climate crisis but does not commit Brazil to it
www.theguardian.com
November 16, 2025 at 7:39 PM
This is a very weird essay.
‘Ageing societies vote differently, consume differently and invest differently from more balanced societies. Older people are less likely to move house. They are more likely to worry about immigration.’

David Runciman on the depopulation problem:

www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v4...
David Runciman · Are we doomed? The End of the Species
Are we doomed to die out? We find ourselves at the only point in the history of the species when the rate of population...
www.lrb.co.uk
November 16, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
🚨 NEW: One Nation has climbed to a record 18% in the latest RedBridge poll, while the Coalition has fallen to 24%

Sussan Ley is losing to "neither" as preferred prime minister, with just 10% supporting her
November 16, 2025 at 10:11 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Well this is a lively one here. #Redbridge/Accent ALP 38 L-NP 24 Green 9 ON 18 (!) others 11

2PP 56-44 to ALP (My estimate off published primaries is 56.6)

Nov 7-13

www.afr.com/politics/fed...
One Nation closing in on Coalition as Ley’s rating hits record low
Voters are more disillusioned than ever with the Coalition after a week of infighting over climate policy, and as support for One Nation hits a new high.
www.afr.com
November 16, 2025 at 9:35 AM
“The Coalition’s decision to abandon its commitment to net zero emissions as part of a dramatic weakening of its energy policy has failed to arrest its slide in popularity, with a new poll showing support plummeting while the One Nation vote has continued to surge.”

www.afr.com/politics/fed...
One Nation closing in on Coalition as Ley’s rating hits record low
Voters are more disillusioned than ever with the Coalition after a week of infighting over climate policy, and as support for One Nation hits a new high.
www.afr.com
November 16, 2025 at 9:33 AM
“Australia’s commitment to net zero is not a political plaything or a virtue-signalling culture war trope. It is grounded in physics and is the compass that guides us towards a flourishing economy. Throwing it away has real consequences.”

#auspol #climatecrisis

www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
Yes, your energy bills have gone up. A phony culture war won’t bring them down
Some politicians may want to pretend that climate change isn’t happening. But the costs of not acting are only going to keep rising.
www.smh.com.au
November 16, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Australians cannot afford to keep paying the price of the Coalition’s climate infighting.

Let’s be clear, their plan now is to do nothing.
November 15, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Reposted by Tim Stephens
Penny Wong says the Liberal Party has gone from being a “serious mainstream political party” to one that’s “trying to outflank Pauline Hanson”
“What I’d say to Sussan Ley & to Andrew Hastie & to Angus Taylor is you can’t be more Pauline than Pauline.”🔥 #Abcinsiders
November 15, 2025 at 11:05 PM