Russia has been laying the groundwork for a fake invasion of Belarus by NATO saying that would justify a nuclear response.

source t.me/dva_majors/5...

Two things to keep an eye on if this plan gains traction. First are 'buffer zones' that Russia may push for along the border between the two countries. Second are restrictions on the Ukrainian military following a peace deal. 3/

Putin's proposed plan would see them keep all occupied territories of Ukraine (to possibly include portions of Kharkiv) and Ukraine would not join NATO. 2/

Appreciate that!

"Therefore, it is not a question of allowing the Ukrainian regime to strike Russia with these weapons or not. It is a question of making a decision about whether NATO countries are directly involved in a military conflict or not" 6/

Putin: "The Ukrainian army is not capable of striking with modern high-precision long-range systems of Western manufacture." 5/