Pollwatcher345
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polleatcher345.bsky.social
Pollwatcher345
@polleatcher345.bsky.social
Goodbye Elon. And go f--k yourself.
I have no idea how ppl can still think we’re heading for anything other than a massive D environment
A quite startling overperformance for Democrats in tonight's special election for a state Senate seat in Kentucky:

Democrat Gary Clemons won 72% to 25%.

He was defending a Dem-held seat where Kamala Harris beat Trump by 5% last year.
December 17, 2025 at 12:38 AM
As a resident of VA I can say without fear of hyperbole this man is a complete boob.
"Senate Democrats manipulated the American people" -- Glenn Youngkin claims Virginia swung hard to the left last month because of the government shutdown 🙃
December 13, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Emerson has been pretty consistently R leaning lately. I’ll just say this: if Ohio is a toss up GOP is in for a loooooong night in November
Emerson poll | 12/6-12/8 RV

Ohio Governor
🟦Amy Acton 46% (+7)
🟥Vivek Ramaswamy 45% (-4)
Undecided 9% (-3)

Ohio Senate
🟥Jon Husted 49% (-1)
🟦Sherrod Brown 44% (no change)
Undecided 7% (no change)

(Previous poll | August 2025)

emersoncollegepolling.com/ohio-2026-po...
Ohio 2026 Poll: Democrats Make Gains in Races for Governor and US Senate - Emerson Polling
Trump Approval Underwater Among Ohio Voters A new Emerson College Polling survey of Ohio voters…Full Release & Results
emersoncollegepolling.com
December 11, 2025 at 2:35 PM
I think the Democrats would be very happy to have Trump more visible in an election cycle where he’s sitting at 35% approval.
December 10, 2025 at 12:04 PM
This fucking guy…..
Y’all talked too much about the TN-7 race, turned it high salience, juiced turnout, and wrecked Dems’ chances of sneaking in a win.
December 3, 2025 at 1:54 AM
I don’t know if this sinks it but good for this guy.
November 29, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Oh good. Because Jim’s never been pathetically wrong about anything…..
November 26, 2025 at 12:07 AM
I happily eat my words
I knew at some point the Chiefs were gonna have a year that was gonna crash and burn. I honestly thought it was gonna be last year. But this year is looking like it’s finally hit. I hope to God I’m eating my words in two hours.
November 23, 2025 at 9:38 PM
They are just unserious morons.
Bessent: "You know the best way to bring your inflation rate down? Move from a blue state to a red state. Blue state inflation is half a percent higher."
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 PM
An incumbent sitting at 41% is a red flag.
November 22, 2025 at 4:54 PM
I mean it’s an outlier but my guess is this is closer to truth than the GBs that have it at 1 or 2.
Marist poll - 2026 Generic ballot

🔵 Democrat 55%
🔴 Republicans 41%

maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/a-look...
November 19, 2025 at 2:26 PM
November 18, 2025 at 4:22 PM
One thing that has been consistent even with the first Trump Regime was the “who ya gonna believe? Me or your lying eyes” crap.
Rep. Keith Self on Newsmax: "If you saw Fox News just recently, groceries, gas, inflation in general is down under President Trump. Now, the mainstream media won't tell you that. But those are the actual numbers. We just have to get the American people understanding."
November 17, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Yeah no world exists where November 4th happened and the GB is 1%. Come on.
Reuters/Ipsos poll | 11/7-11/12

Generic congressional ballot (RV)
🔵 Democratic 41%
🔴 Republican 40%

President Trump approval (Adults)
Disapprove 58% (+1)
Approve 40% (no change)

www.reuters.com/world/us/dem...
www.reuters.com
November 16, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Doubt it’s that large of a lead but I definitely think this one can flip.
Iowa - 3rd House Polling:

🔵 Garriott: 53%
🔴 Nunn: 40%*

Change Research / Oct 27, 2025

(Garriott internal)
November 15, 2025 at 5:09 PM
I keep saying Ohio is in play. Especially if this current environment is here next November
Ohio - Senate Polling:

🔵 Brown: 48%
🔴 Husted: 45%

Hart Research / Sept 22, 2025 - (Released today)
November 12, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Oh good bc co-signers never get screwed….
Bessent on Argentina: "The way to think about it is maybe for your first loan, your parents co-signed for it. We basically co-signed."
November 12, 2025 at 1:22 PM
This is at its core, about getting something done before the holidays. Because absolutely nothing gets shitty politicians to cave more than fucking with their vacations.
"Is there a more feckless, spineless opposition party anywhere in the democratic world? Why do Democrats insist on repeatedly snatching defeat from the jaws of victory?"

Me for Zeteo's First Draft this morning on the Democratic surrender in the Senate:
🏳️ BREAKING: Democrats Surrender. Again
Mehdi's Monday morning update on the senators voting to reopen the government without a guarantee on heathcare; the BBC rolling over for Donald Trump; and Kathy Hochul's clash with Zohran Mamdani.
zeteo.com
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
You got the feeling that even she didn’t believe the shit that was coming out of her mouth.
LISA McCLAIN: Voter turnout from Republicans was not high. But I think part of that reason is because Republicans for the most part are happy with what's happening

TAPPER: Using that argument, your voters could be so happy that Democrats retake the House next year
November 7, 2025 at 2:11 AM
This might be a 8-1 decision honestly. (Probably 7-2)
Gorsuch finally speaks, and oh yeah, he's against Trump. Alito also sounded skeptical, which is surprising to me. Regardless, there will plainly be a lopsided majority to strike down the tariffs.

The government better start working on its Plan B...
November 5, 2025 at 4:30 PM
November 5, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Probably a pretty good sign for Jones.
Loudoun County, in northern Virginia, was the sign of apocalypse twelve months ago for Democrats.

Most of the vote just came in. (AP estimates 79%.)

Spanberger up 26%. (And Jay Jones up 15%.)

Four years ago, McAuliffe won it by just 11% on his way to a 2% loss.
November 5, 2025 at 12:42 AM
November 3, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Wow. This shit started early.
November 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Primary this jackass.
November 2, 2025 at 10:02 PM