Paul Mainwood
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paulmainwood.bsky.social
Paul Mainwood
@paulmainwood.bsky.social
(Often thought it was odd that they didn't recognise it during COVID when those NHS stats actually *were* market moving for a few months.)
November 27, 2025 at 12:51 PM
I assume that's why ONS are the main exception: they so often publish market-moving statistics. Simple approach would be to spend ten minutes on the phone with their head of IT - or - as you say, just about any public company.
November 27, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Given about 4,000 women a year die of cervical cancer in the US, I would say "unignorable divergence" but that would underestimate various people's ability to ignore things - even deaths - when their status depends on ignoring them.
November 26, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Even worse than US news is its direction of travel. Within the administration, the CDC, and in US media's bile-inducingly sympathetic portrayal of the anti-vaccine cults (NYT - not linking).

Direction vs rest of world horribly clear. Only question whether it'll outlast the current administration.
November 26, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Am planning to hand out side-quests to anyone passing by.
November 24, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Gregor Samsa’s on Bluesky, I see.
November 24, 2025 at 10:35 AM
I was excluding papers on a) the off-chance that they could be legitimate, b) to avoid casting aspersion on their students, who sound as though they’ve had to put up with a lot already.
November 22, 2025 at 9:27 PM
“This is less a question than a cormorant…”
November 22, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Might be worth going for a different simile, given the allegations involve using a sledgehammer to crack a spine.
November 20, 2025 at 4:32 PM
If interested, my LLM analogy (or, less an analogy than what they actually tried to do, manually, one word at a time) is to the "linguistic turn" and in particular the ordinary-language analytic philosophy of the mid-20th Century. paulmainwood.substack.com/p/a-plea-for...
A plea for Large Language Models
ChatGPT as the ultimate analytic philosopher
paulmainwood.substack.com
November 20, 2025 at 9:13 AM
There’s a good case that Senator Bill Cassidy - a medical doctor who voted to confirm Kennedy, and brought his colleagues with him on the strength of his qualifications - has done more damage by that idiotic move than anyone not named Elon Musk.

bsky.app/profile/eliz...
Apparently RFK Jr. promised Senator Bill Cassidy that he wouldn’t remove the statement

“Vaccines do not cause autism” from the CDC website.

So what RFK Jr. did instead is spit in his face by leaving the statement there and adding this:
November 20, 2025 at 6:27 AM
Damage - unlike other effects of this administration - will be long lasting. If you’re rich and kids are healthy, you’ll probably be OK. If you’re poor or immune suppressed, with some dependence on herd immunity to keep you safe, then this is the start of a much riskier few decades.
November 20, 2025 at 5:48 AM