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Dems could still pick up 2 seats in Virginia even without redistricting
Spanberger carried VA-1 and VA-2
VA-2 is swingy and flipped last 5 administrations
VA-1 has trended blue and Dems seriously contesting for first time
Neither certain to flip, but also not safe
Dems could still pick up 2 seats in Virginia even without redistricting
Spanberger carried VA-1 and VA-2
VA-2 is swingy and flipped last 5 administrations
VA-1 has trended blue and Dems seriously contesting for first time
Neither certain to flip, but also not safe
Court finds 3 reasons referendum cannot move forward
1. Legislature didn’t follow own rules
2. Election was already underway
3. Notices weren’t posted for 90 days
IMO decent chance VA Supreme Court reverses 1 and 2
3 wildcard
This will almost certainly appealed to the Virginia Supreme Court
GOP brought the case in deep red part of Virginia
I’ll review opinion and give some thoughts little later
www.virginiascope.com/wp-content/u...
Court finds 3 reasons referendum cannot move forward
1. Legislature didn’t follow own rules
2. Election was already underway
3. Notices weren’t posted for 90 days
IMO decent chance VA Supreme Court reverses 1 and 2
3 wildcard
With @weathersullivan.bsky.social (gift):
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
1. Likely outcome: Conservatives (CDU) take back the chancellorship. They'll need a partner for a majority; likely a 'grand coalition' with the SPD.
2. AfD at highest level. But also underperforming polls + down from when Vance + Musk intervened.
3. Die Linke surged in final weeks.
1. Likely outcome: Conservatives (CDU) take back the chancellorship. They'll need a partner for a majority; likely a 'grand coalition' with the SPD.
2. AfD at highest level. But also underperforming polls + down from when Vance + Musk intervened.
3. Die Linke surged in final weeks.
The VP Vance just supported Musk's tweet.
The VP Vance just supported Musk's tweet.
He's following the playbook of Hungary’s Viktor Orbán to crush democracy, silence dissent & entrench his own power.
Those who lived it say there’s a window to act now. Here’s how we fight back. ⬇️
He's following the playbook of Hungary’s Viktor Orbán to crush democracy, silence dissent & entrench his own power.
Those who lived it say there’s a window to act now. Here’s how we fight back. ⬇️
MAGA
Right Wing Propaganda
Far right
NFT/AI/Crypto
More NFT/AI/Crypto
British Bigots
Nazis
Content Scrapers
MAGA
Right Wing Propaganda
Far right
NFT/AI/Crypto
More NFT/AI/Crypto
British Bigots
Nazis
Content Scrapers
TLDR Dems should have at least 48 seats in Harris +10% seats
Would need just 3 more for majority
They have a lot of options to get there
GOP would have to win a Harris +8% district
bluevirginia.us/2024/11/2025...
TLDR Dems should have at least 48 seats in Harris +10% seats
Would need just 3 more for majority
They have a lot of options to get there
GOP would have to win a Harris +8% district