Oyster Analytics
@oysteranalytics.bsky.social
Two former college ballplayers modeling the next generation of MLB Talent. Made it to Bluesky!
Check out our shiny app: https://oysteranalytics.shinyapps.io/HitterProjections/
Check out our shiny app: https://oysteranalytics.shinyapps.io/HitterProjections/
Genao is displaying elite contact skills in the Dominican Winter League after a decent 2025 in AA. While he didn't rise quite as some hoped heading into last season, Genao had similar struggles in his A-Ball debut, but grew his game in the following season. Expect similar in '26!
November 25, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Genao is displaying elite contact skills in the Dominican Winter League after a decent 2025 in AA. While he didn't rise quite as some hoped heading into last season, Genao had similar struggles in his A-Ball debut, but grew his game in the following season. Expect similar in '26!
As we continue to showcase our Next Gen Oyster Model, take a look at this comparison between two toolshed prospects! We love them both, but De Vries has shown an improved ability to tap into his raw power.
November 21, 2025 at 10:39 PM
As we continue to showcase our Next Gen Oyster Model, take a look at this comparison between two toolshed prospects! We love them both, but De Vries has shown an improved ability to tap into his raw power.
The old model's thresholds on Jordan for context:
November 20, 2025 at 1:18 AM
The old model's thresholds on Jordan for context:
Check out Jordan's updated C/R/S percentages! For our soon-to-debut improved Oyster model, we retooled our WAR thresholds, going from .25/1/2.5 to .5/1.5/3. This, with our shift to measuring peak WAR, allows for aggressive and clearer evals. An article on the new model is coming!
November 20, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Check out Jordan's updated C/R/S percentages! For our soon-to-debut improved Oyster model, we retooled our WAR thresholds, going from .25/1/2.5 to .5/1.5/3. This, with our shift to measuring peak WAR, allows for aggressive and clearer evals. An article on the new model is coming!
Teasing the new model format with an unprotected prospect in Blaze Jordan. We love him; he makes our T100 with solid contact skills that give him a good ceiling. If he can turn some GB into LD or FB, he'll further boost his contact. Solid bench bat in year one, we'd pick him up!
November 19, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Teasing the new model format with an unprotected prospect in Blaze Jordan. We love him; he makes our T100 with solid contact skills that give him a good ceiling. If he can turn some GB into LD or FB, he'll further boost his contact. Solid bench bat in year one, we'd pick him up!
¡Jadher es un prospecto enorme con el techo altísimo! He's small and has a unique swing, but don't let it distract from his hype: he's got great contact skills and decent pop, and nearly never Ks. With a plus glove as well, he deserves real buzz! If the power grows more... whoa!
November 17, 2025 at 10:30 PM
¡Jadher es un prospecto enorme con el techo altísimo! He's small and has a unique swing, but don't let it distract from his hype: he's got great contact skills and decent pop, and nearly never Ks. With a plus glove as well, he deserves real buzz! If the power grows more... whoa!
The DUNOSAUR roars again! 4 dingers in 2 playoff games have turned around Duno's previously lukewarm fall, showcasing his top-end raw pop. An elite walker with great power and decent contact skills, Duno is a strong C and bilingual pitcher's pal behind the dish. One of our faves!
November 14, 2025 at 9:30 PM
The DUNOSAUR roars again! 4 dingers in 2 playoff games have turned around Duno's previously lukewarm fall, showcasing his top-end raw pop. An elite walker with great power and decent contact skills, Duno is a strong C and bilingual pitcher's pal behind the dish. One of our faves!
Our improved Oyster Model is still in production, but these two players are shining through! Tony Blanco Jr. has some of the best power/age/level of any prospect we've tracked, and William Bergolla has the best contact skills. Flawed? Sure. But the model believes!
November 11, 2025 at 12:44 AM
Our improved Oyster Model is still in production, but these two players are shining through! Tony Blanco Jr. has some of the best power/age/level of any prospect we've tracked, and William Bergolla has the best contact skills. Flawed? Sure. But the model believes!
Like most outlets, Florentino rocketed up our boards in '25. Our model loves his 50%+ FB rate but below 15% infield FB rate, and his plus power and discipline. Fears about K are diminished for us with his great contact rates for his power. If it travels to A+, he's T10 for sure!
November 7, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Like most outlets, Florentino rocketed up our boards in '25. Our model loves his 50%+ FB rate but below 15% infield FB rate, and his plus power and discipline. Fears about K are diminished for us with his great contact rates for his power. If it travels to A+, he's T10 for sure!
Nate George nearly cracks our T100 with his great contact skills and respectable power. Still extremely raw, George plays a good OF due to elite speed, but went an inefficient 50 for 75 in SB. He hits a ton of GB (47%), but flashed a line drive, 5 tool profile. Polarizing for sure!
November 5, 2025 at 12:48 AM
Nate George nearly cracks our T100 with his great contact skills and respectable power. Still extremely raw, George plays a good OF due to elite speed, but went an inefficient 50 for 75 in SB. He hits a ton of GB (47%), but flashed a line drive, 5 tool profile. Polarizing for sure!
The @marlins.com Starlyn Caba has lit up the AFL, hitting .327 in 67 PA, but our model is concerned with his contact. While BB are nice, they're devalued in R and A, and he's struggled to impact the game with the bat.
November 3, 2025 at 6:45 PM
The @marlins.com Starlyn Caba has lit up the AFL, hitting .327 in 67 PA, but our model is concerned with his contact. While BB are nice, they're devalued in R and A, and he's struggled to impact the game with the bat.
Anderson has been another AFL superstar in 2025, but our model holds his age against him. Despite a high power ceiling and good bat-to-ball, he put up his best work in AA as a 23YO, less than a year younger than league average. His '26 in AAA will see if the B2B can translate!
October 30, 2025 at 11:52 PM
Anderson has been another AFL superstar in 2025, but our model holds his age against him. Despite a high power ceiling and good bat-to-ball, he put up his best work in AA as a 23YO, less than a year younger than league average. His '26 in AAA will see if the B2B can translate!
It's not hot take Tuesday, but... Valdez has been the star of the AFL, clubbing 8 dingers with flattering metrics, but the Oyster model isn't entralled by his regular season work. The power is there for sure, but most of his power was at age 21 in a hitter's park in A+.
October 23, 2025 at 10:07 PM
It's not hot take Tuesday, but... Valdez has been the star of the AFL, clubbing 8 dingers with flattering metrics, but the Oyster model isn't entralled by his regular season work. The power is there for sure, but most of his power was at age 21 in a hitter's park in A+.
It's Wilder Dalis! The Rockies IF has shown the signs of a breakout: a decent A-Ball sample at age 18, doubles power and contact, good lift, and fantastic K and BB metrics. We're high on him, and while he's a deep cut, he's shown real flashes of a future regular!
October 22, 2025 at 12:04 AM
It's Wilder Dalis! The Rockies IF has shown the signs of a breakout: a decent A-Ball sample at age 18, doubles power and contact, good lift, and fantastic K and BB metrics. We're high on him, and while he's a deep cut, he's shown real flashes of a future regular!
For this #hottaketuesday, we have a mystery player! His closest comps are the solid company of Franklin Arias, Colt Emerson, and Miguel Vargas, and he's been a solid hitter at the R and A levels. Unheralded and unranked by most, we think he's got a great shot. Who is this player?
October 21, 2025 at 8:32 PM
For this #hottaketuesday, we have a mystery player! His closest comps are the solid company of Franklin Arias, Colt Emerson, and Miguel Vargas, and he's been a solid hitter at the R and A levels. Unheralded and unranked by most, we think he's got a great shot. Who is this player?
Farmelo is a rarity: an underappreciated power bat and good fielder with acceptable contact and discipline skills. Battling injuries, he had an above-average '25, but had his K-rate rise and avg fall. '26 will be key for Farmelo; can he raise his con% to a more sustainable level?
October 16, 2025 at 9:40 PM
Farmelo is a rarity: an underappreciated power bat and good fielder with acceptable contact and discipline skills. Battling injuries, he had an above-average '25, but had his K-rate rise and avg fall. '26 will be key for Farmelo; can he raise his con% to a more sustainable level?
The big swinging Mendez comps to Josh Naylor, and Mendez can learn from Naylor's success. Both guys had good contact, high EV, took BB (Mendez better), and hit too many GB (Mendez worse). Naylor has upped his game by trading GB for FB; if Mendez can do the same, bat is monstrous!
October 12, 2025 at 5:59 PM
The big swinging Mendez comps to Josh Naylor, and Mendez can learn from Naylor's success. Both guys had good contact, high EV, took BB (Mendez better), and hit too many GB (Mendez worse). Naylor has upped his game by trading GB for FB; if Mendez can do the same, bat is monstrous!
Walcott is a beast and one to watch in the AFL! He's a rare combo of well-rounded hitting and exceptional athleticism. He was an above-average hitter (111 wRC+) at AA at over 4 years younger than his competition, and had none of the flaws that plague young players (has pop+BB+low K). Future star!
October 8, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Walcott is a beast and one to watch in the AFL! He's a rare combo of well-rounded hitting and exceptional athleticism. He was an above-average hitter (111 wRC+) at AA at over 4 years younger than his competition, and had none of the flaws that plague young players (has pop+BB+low K). Future star!
This #hottaketuesday, we encourage you to remain higher than high on Franklin Arias! While his overall numbers weren't incredible, he held his own in A-AA with elite contact numbers. An 89.1% contact rate in '25 is standout, and with age comes power. Top 5 prospect potential!
October 7, 2025 at 10:31 PM
This #hottaketuesday, we encourage you to remain higher than high on Franklin Arias! While his overall numbers weren't incredible, he held his own in A-AA with elite contact numbers. An 89.1% contact rate in '25 is standout, and with age comes power. Top 5 prospect potential!
Playoff debuted DeLauter has been one of our fav prospects for a while; he was T20 for us until injuries stalled his dev in 2025. He's a rare breed of player who walks, hits HR, and has solid contact ability. With an odd but powerful swing, we're excited to see him contribute in the playoffs!
October 1, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Playoff debuted DeLauter has been one of our fav prospects for a while; he was T20 for us until injuries stalled his dev in 2025. He's a rare breed of player who walks, hits HR, and has solid contact ability. With an odd but powerful swing, we're excited to see him contribute in the playoffs!
Who are your biggest prospect prediction wins and losses of the year? We loved Jacob Wilson more than most before his great '25, and had Daylen Lile as a top 60 prospect! We missed on Drake Baldwin, who we weren't sold on due to his slightly older debut age. How about y'all?
September 29, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Who are your biggest prospect prediction wins and losses of the year? We loved Jacob Wilson more than most before his great '25, and had Daylen Lile as a top 60 prospect! We missed on Drake Baldwin, who we weren't sold on due to his slightly older debut age. How about y'all?
The youngest of the Salases, Andrew had a tough 2025, hitting only .186 with a poor .564 OPS. Why do we still like him? He was the youngest player in Single-A, has a respectable K-Rate, and pulls the ball well. As he adds strength, we expect him to become a well-rounded player!
September 25, 2025 at 7:50 PM
The youngest of the Salases, Andrew had a tough 2025, hitting only .186 with a poor .564 OPS. Why do we still like him? He was the youngest player in Single-A, has a respectable K-Rate, and pulls the ball well. As he adds strength, we expect him to become a well-rounded player!
A teaser on tomorrow's piece with @downonthefarm.bsky.social focuses on Luis Peña, who is likely our best prediction from our preseason rankings. We had him at 11th overall before he cracked mainstream T100 ranks, and it was his gap power that was a big reason why!
September 17, 2025 at 11:18 PM
A teaser on tomorrow's piece with @downonthefarm.bsky.social focuses on Luis Peña, who is likely our best prediction from our preseason rankings. We had him at 11th overall before he cracked mainstream T100 ranks, and it was his gap power that was a big reason why!
Our model has waffled on new call-up Bryce Eldridge, but he's settled in the back of our T50. He has immense power and good contact skills, a rarity. The model is a bit spooked by his sub 10% BB% and 30.8% K% in a high-elevation AAA league. Raw skills are there, excited to see him hit bombs!
September 15, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Our model has waffled on new call-up Bryce Eldridge, but he's settled in the back of our T50. He has immense power and good contact skills, a rarity. The model is a bit spooked by his sub 10% BB% and 30.8% K% in a high-elevation AAA league. Raw skills are there, excited to see him hit bombs!
Here's what we thought of Martinez headed into '25. The model loved his power output, but seeing a power first no walk prospect get popped for roids had us a bit concerned about his future. He's had a poor '25, struggling at a level he dominated in '24. Blame it on his juice!
September 12, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Here's what we thought of Martinez headed into '25. The model loved his power output, but seeing a power first no walk prospect get popped for roids had us a bit concerned about his future. He's had a poor '25, struggling at a level he dominated in '24. Blame it on his juice!