*Referring to al-Sadr being unable to form a coalition in 2021-22

I don’t believe we have, have always been more of a lurker there even before Musk. Agreed re al-Sadr boycott. Additional interesting dimension is how US demands/pressure will clash with the unavoidable involvement of the Coordination Framework in government formation and how Sadrists react.

Yeah I think al-Sudani faces an uphill battle to secure a second term, his seat count has featured in a lot of headlines, but as you say th gains from the likes of al-Sadiqoun are arguably the bigger story