@mulboyne.bsky.social
Mission accomplished.
November 25, 2025 at 5:41 AM
Mission accomplished.
Ooh...where and how?
November 25, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Ooh...where and how?
We know each other from the other place. Can't recall you ever coming across that way then, and you aren't now.
November 24, 2025 at 11:41 AM
We know each other from the other place. Can't recall you ever coming across that way then, and you aren't now.
The trouble is that, to the political question, "Do foreigners commit more crimes than Japanese", an answer of "Define your terms", or "Depends what you mean" seems evasive when someone has a bullhorn shouting "Yes!".
November 24, 2025 at 11:19 AM
The trouble is that, to the political question, "Do foreigners commit more crimes than Japanese", an answer of "Define your terms", or "Depends what you mean" seems evasive when someone has a bullhorn shouting "Yes!".
I stopped to take a call. I've heard of multi-tasking but not yet mastered the concept.
November 24, 2025 at 11:13 AM
I stopped to take a call. I've heard of multi-tasking but not yet mastered the concept.
Oh definitely. Of course, that's not the kind of detail Sanseito wants, even it brings the denominator down, as it introduces nuance when the issue needs to be black and white.
November 24, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Oh definitely. Of course, that's not the kind of detail Sanseito wants, even it brings the denominator down, as it introduces nuance when the issue needs to be black and white.
Hi there. The chain of events is Sanseito published unbalanced data and got pushback-> Ohtsu asked the NPA for clarification on a subset of the data-> Ohtsu says that answer supports the original claim.
November 24, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Hi there. The chain of events is Sanseito published unbalanced data and got pushback-> Ohtsu asked the NPA for clarification on a subset of the data-> Ohtsu says that answer supports the original claim.
There's also the issue of opportunity. A two week overseas visitor has less than 4% of the time of a resident, Japanese or otherwise, to commit a crime in Japan. It is possible to adjust the data but that's not an avenue politicians like Ohtsu generally want to explore.
November 24, 2025 at 10:41 AM
There's also the issue of opportunity. A two week overseas visitor has less than 4% of the time of a resident, Japanese or otherwise, to commit a crime in Japan. It is possible to adjust the data but that's not an avenue politicians like Ohtsu generally want to explore.
There are also crimes that only certain groups can commit. It is a legal requirement for foreign residents to carry ID but not for Japanese residents. Japanese children are legally required to attend school but foreign children are not.
November 24, 2025 at 10:29 AM
There are also crimes that only certain groups can commit. It is a legal requirement for foreign residents to carry ID but not for Japanese residents. Japanese children are legally required to attend school but foreign children are not.
Namely, there are fewer children, chronically ill, disabled and elderly, which are groups with much lower crime rates than the general population. There are proportionately more adult males, which is a groups which usually skews to higher crime rates than the general population.
November 24, 2025 at 10:26 AM
Namely, there are fewer children, chronically ill, disabled and elderly, which are groups with much lower crime rates than the general population. There are proportionately more adult males, which is a groups which usually skews to higher crime rates than the general population.
One of the issues with comparative crime data is that it depends what you are trying to measure, and how you are trying to measure it. As Ohtsu's Twitter community notes point out, foreign resident populations in Japan have a different demographic composition to the resident Japanese population.
November 24, 2025 at 10:21 AM
One of the issues with comparative crime data is that it depends what you are trying to measure, and how you are trying to measure it. As Ohtsu's Twitter community notes point out, foreign resident populations in Japan have a different demographic composition to the resident Japanese population.
In short, Ohtsu asked the NPA a specific question about a subset of foreign crime in Japan, published a table of date to social media which did not represent the answer the NPA gave, and then referred to the subset data as if was representative of all foreigners in Japan.
November 24, 2025 at 10:09 AM
In short, Ohtsu asked the NPA a specific question about a subset of foreign crime in Japan, published a table of date to social media which did not represent the answer the NPA gave, and then referred to the subset data as if was representative of all foreigners in Japan.
In his tweet on the 20th of November, Ohtsu said the data isn't conclusive proof an increasing number of foreigners are a threat to public safety but sheds light on the situation. This is almost criminally disingenuous.
November 24, 2025 at 10:04 AM
In his tweet on the 20th of November, Ohtsu said the data isn't conclusive proof an increasing number of foreigners are a threat to public safety but sheds light on the situation. This is almost criminally disingenuous.
Ohtsu had used the left hand part of a table posted in March by party leader Sohei Kamiya. However, the crime totals for the individual national populations there, include both residents and visitors, which is why crime rate numbers seems inflated.
November 24, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Ohtsu had used the left hand part of a table posted in March by party leader Sohei Kamiya. However, the crime totals for the individual national populations there, include both residents and visitors, which is why crime rate numbers seems inflated.
Ohtsu realized this doesn't make for a very good argument, so he asked police for crime data on just the foreign resident population. On his Twitter account, he published this table, which was quickly community noted as misleading.
November 24, 2025 at 9:50 AM
Ohtsu realized this doesn't make for a very good argument, so he asked police for crime data on just the foreign resident population. On his Twitter account, he published this table, which was quickly community noted as misleading.
So, if you tot up the number of foreign residents and visitors committing crimes, then you can only work out a crime rate by using a denominator of total foreign residents and visitors. With the 40 million, that's now a very large number, so the resulting rate looks small.
November 24, 2025 at 9:26 AM
So, if you tot up the number of foreign residents and visitors committing crimes, then you can only work out a crime rate by using a denominator of total foreign residents and visitors. With the 40 million, that's now a very large number, so the resulting rate looks small.
However, the total number of annual visitors to Japan is now approaching 40 million. While some many might block bus aisles with their suitcases, and do no-shows at restaurants, the vast majority do nothing to warrant an arrest.
November 24, 2025 at 9:18 AM
However, the total number of annual visitors to Japan is now approaching 40 million. While some many might block bus aisles with their suitcases, and do no-shows at restaurants, the vast majority do nothing to warrant an arrest.
Whenever 外国人問題 comes up, the term covers everything from people drinking chuhai outside convenience stores to nuisance streamers, people leaving unpaid hospital bills, drug smuggling rings, and shoplifting gangs. Foreigners here, means both visitors and residents.
November 24, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Whenever 外国人問題 comes up, the term covers everything from people drinking chuhai outside convenience stores to nuisance streamers, people leaving unpaid hospital bills, drug smuggling rings, and shoplifting gangs. Foreigners here, means both visitors and residents.
Murder convictions have been handed down in cases where the evidence is circumstantial. Masumi Hayashi was given the death penalty for the 1998 Wakayama curry poisoning. Her son is still campaigning for a rettrial. www.france24.com/en/live-news...
Family fights for death-row retrial under Japan's 'snail-paced' system
Since his teenage years, Koji Hayashi has dreaded one thing: his stubborn, once-vivacious mother being hanged for murder after failing to win her long campaign for a retrial.
www.france24.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Murder convictions have been handed down in cases where the evidence is circumstantial. Masumi Hayashi was given the death penalty for the 1998 Wakayama curry poisoning. Her son is still campaigning for a rettrial. www.france24.com/en/live-news...