Tara Moriarty
@moriartylab.bsky.social
Associate Professor, University of Toronto. Bloodborne infections, Lyme disease, misinfo. COVID-19 Resources Canada. Defend journalism. Look for the helpers. Opinions mine. 🇨🇦🏳️🌈
Pinned
Un fil de discussion épinglé de nos liens importants, ainsi que des ressources, et prévisions passées ...
Reposted by Tara Moriarty
Hey everybody, COVID-19 Resources Canada, #C19RC , is hosting a Kitchen Table Conversation tonight at 8 pm.
Please feel free to join the conversation.
Registration Link below.
@moriartylab.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @jeweljam.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Please feel free to join the conversation.
Registration Link below.
@moriartylab.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @jeweljam.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: C19RC Kitchen Table Conversations. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the meeting.
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: C19RC Kitchen Table Conversations. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the meeting.
us06web.zoom.us
November 11, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Hey everybody, COVID-19 Resources Canada, #C19RC , is hosting a Kitchen Table Conversation tonight at 8 pm.
Please feel free to join the conversation.
Registration Link below.
@moriartylab.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @jeweljam.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Please feel free to join the conversation.
Registration Link below.
@moriartylab.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @jeweljam.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : NOV 8 - NOV 21, 2025
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.0 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 10.4 x🔺
-Décès : 12.2 x🔺
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.0 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 10.4 x🔺
-Décès : 12.2 x🔺
November 10, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : NOV 8 - NOV 21, 2025
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.0 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 10.4 x🔺
-Décès : 12.2 x🔺
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.0 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 10.4 x🔺
-Décès : 12.2 x🔺
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : NOV 8 - NOV 21, 2025
SÉVÈRE : AB
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, MB, NB, TNL, Nord, NÉ, QC, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CB, ON, ÎPÉ
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
SÉVÈRE : AB
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, MB, NB, TNL, Nord, NÉ, QC, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CB, ON, ÎPÉ
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
November 10, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : NOV 8 - NOV 21, 2025
SÉVÈRE : AB
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, MB, NB, TNL, Nord, NÉ, QC, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CB, ON, ÎPÉ
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
SÉVÈRE : AB
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, MB, NB, TNL, Nord, NÉ, QC, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CB, ON, ÎPÉ
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 118 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 10.1
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 583,200-806,200
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.6X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.0X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 10.4X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 12.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigcayvfpw3riiwc5ff4taetmai2egkpb4dyvp7ghhtvqirbpzm2vu@jpeg)
November 10, 2025 at 10:58 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
November 10, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 25 - NOV 7, 2025
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [en baisse]
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.3 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 13.3 x🔺
-Décès : 10.5 x🔺
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [en baisse]
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.3 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 13.3 x🔺
-Décès : 10.5 x🔺
October 27, 2025 at 10:36 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 25 - NOV 7, 2025
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [en baisse]
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.3 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 13.3 x🔺
-Décès : 10.5 x🔺
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [en baisse]
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.3 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 13.3 x🔺
-Décès : 10.5 x🔺
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 25 - NOV 7, 2025
SÉVÈRE : NB, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, TNL, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
SÉVÈRE : NB, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, TNL, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
October 27, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 25 - NOV 7, 2025
SÉVÈRE : NB, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, TNL, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
SÉVÈRE : NB, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, TNL, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 126 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH [decreasing] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 10.5
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 488,600-614,500
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.6X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.3X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 13.3X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 10.5X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
Who is HIGH RISK
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigpeacmqptud5mnrujlgjyoctxg3fsgkav53qkhotpgzuczwiq2yu@jpeg)
October 27, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
October 27, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted by Tara Moriarty
#C19RC
Hi folks, I'm sorry but we need to cancel our October 28th Science Journal Club meeting. We expect to be back for November 25th. All the best & #StillMasking!
@moriartylab.bsky.social @netgaines.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @wikisteff.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Hi folks, I'm sorry but we need to cancel our October 28th Science Journal Club meeting. We expect to be back for November 25th. All the best & #StillMasking!
@moriartylab.bsky.social @netgaines.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @wikisteff.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
October 27, 2025 at 4:45 PM
#C19RC
Hi folks, I'm sorry but we need to cancel our October 28th Science Journal Club meeting. We expect to be back for November 25th. All the best & #StillMasking!
@moriartylab.bsky.social @netgaines.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @wikisteff.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Hi folks, I'm sorry but we need to cancel our October 28th Science Journal Club meeting. We expect to be back for November 25th. All the best & #StillMasking!
@moriartylab.bsky.social @netgaines.bsky.social @battlingbeaver.bsky.social @wikisteff.bsky.social @allenescott.bsky.social
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 11-OCT 24, 2025
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 6.1 x🔺
-COVID longue : 5.9 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 11.3 x🔺
-Décès : 9.2 x🔺
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 6.1 x🔺
-COVID longue : 5.9 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 11.3 x🔺
-Décès : 9.2 x🔺
October 15, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 11-OCT 24, 2025
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 6.1 x🔺
-COVID longue : 5.9 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 11.3 x🔺
-Décès : 9.2 x🔺
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [stable]
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 6.1 x🔺
-COVID longue : 5.9 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 11.3 x🔺
-Décès : 9.2 x🔺
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 11 - OCT 24, 2025
SÉVÈRE : TNL, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, NB, Nord, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, ON, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
SÉVÈRE : TNL, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, NB, Nord, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, ON, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
October 15, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : OCT 11 - OCT 24, 2025
SÉVÈRE : TNL, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, NB, Nord, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, ON, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
SÉVÈRE : TNL, NÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, NB, Nord, ÎPÉ
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, ON, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 95 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 8.9
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 558,700-965,600
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 6.1X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.9X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 11.3X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 9.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigvlpwphipwsz3vxkdczvw35noac7v4tolew6ewwuawaqtki2h75i@jpeg)
October 15, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
October 15, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 27-OCT 10, 2025
GRAVE : aucun
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, TNL, NÉ, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, NB, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
GRAVE : aucun
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, TNL, NÉ, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, NB, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
September 30, 2025 at 3:20 AM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 27-OCT 10, 2025
GRAVE : aucun
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, TNL, NÉ, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, NB, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
GRAVE : aucun
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : MB, TNL, NÉ, SK
ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, NB, Nord, ON, ÎPÉ, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 27-OCT 10, 2025
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [en hausse]
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 5.8 x 🔺
-COVID longue : 5.7 x 🔺
-Hospitalisations : 9.2 x 🔺
-Décès : 7.5 x 🔺
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [en hausse]
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 5.8 x 🔺
-COVID longue : 5.7 x 🔺
-Hospitalisations : 9.2 x 🔺
-Décès : 7.5 x 🔺
September 30, 2025 at 2:57 AM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 27-OCT 10, 2025
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [en hausse]
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 5.8 x 🔺
-COVID longue : 5.7 x 🔺
-Hospitalisations : 9.2 x 🔺
-Décès : 7.5 x 🔺
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ [en hausse]
Environ 1 personne sur 60 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections : 5.8 x 🔺
-COVID longue : 5.7 x 🔺
-Hospitalisations : 9.2 x 🔺
-Décès : 7.5 x 🔺
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [increasing]
About 1 of every 60 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 5.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.7 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.2 x higher
-Deaths: 7.5 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [increasing]
About 1 of every 60 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 5.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.7 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.2 x higher
-Deaths: 7.5 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025 which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada.
Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change]
Canada’s COVID INDEX SCORE is 7.5
About 1 of every 60 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 628,250-983,000
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 5.8X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.7X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 9.2X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 7.5X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
"UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks"
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreignxatuszco73e5uhs6ptxykne5r3yldx3ifcvgfdwsyjmffwwnxq@jpeg)
September 30, 2025 at 2:50 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [increasing]
About 1 of every 60 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 5.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.7 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.2 x higher
-Deaths: 7.5 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [increasing]
About 1 of every 60 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 5.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.7 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.2 x higher
-Deaths: 7.5 x higher
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: MB, NL, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, ON, PEI, QC,
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 60 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: MB, NL, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, ON, PEI, QC,
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 60 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
September 30, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: MB, NL, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, ON, PEI, QC,
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 60 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: MB, NL, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, ON, PEI, QC,
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 60 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Responding to post from @michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social. It might take a few days.
@michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social other people post our Forecast on my account for me, and I'm not on social media anymore.
If I'd seen these threads earlier I could have helped make your review a bit more accurate.
@michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social other people post our Forecast on my account for me, and I'm not on social media anymore.
If I'd seen these threads earlier I could have helped make your review a bit more accurate.
Last time I covered the dashboard from Covid-19 Resources Canada (which I’ll call CRC).
I pointed out some truly mind-blowing estimates on excess deaths here:
bsky.app/profile/mich...
1/
I pointed out some truly mind-blowing estimates on excess deaths here:
bsky.app/profile/mich...
1/
(The last graph of deaths tells a pretty extraordinary story: CRC is estimating 200 deaths per week in Quebec resulting from Covid-19, about 14% of the typical 1,400 all-cause weekly deaths in Quebec. I will need another thread later to look into this!)
13/
13/
September 28, 2025 at 11:38 PM
Responding to post from @michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social. It might take a few days.
@michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social other people post our Forecast on my account for me, and I'm not on social media anymore.
If I'd seen these threads earlier I could have helped make your review a bit more accurate.
@michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social other people post our Forecast on my account for me, and I'm not on social media anymore.
If I'd seen these threads earlier I could have helped make your review a bit more accurate.
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 13-SEP 26, 2025
GRAVE: TNL, ÎPÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, NB, Nord, NÉ, ON
ÉLEVÉ: QC
MODÉRÉ: aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
GRAVE: TNL, ÎPÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, NB, Nord, NÉ, ON
ÉLEVÉ: QC
MODÉRÉ: aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
September 16, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 13-SEP 26, 2025
GRAVE: TNL, ÎPÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, NB, Nord, NÉ, ON
ÉLEVÉ: QC
MODÉRÉ: aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
GRAVE: TNL, ÎPÉ, SK
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, NB, Nord, NÉ, ON
ÉLEVÉ: QC
MODÉRÉ: aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 13-26, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH (no change)
About 1 in every 81 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~15X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH (no change)
About 1 in every 81 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~15X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
September 16, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 13-26, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH (no change)
About 1 in every 81 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~15X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH (no change)
About 1 in every 81 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~15X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 13-26, 2025
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ (stable)
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections ~12X 🔺
-COVID longue ~9X 🔺
-Hospitalisations ~15X 🔺
-Décès ~14X 🔺
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ (stable)
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections ~12X 🔺
-COVID longue ~9X 🔺
-Hospitalisations ~15X 🔺
-Décès ~14X 🔺
September 16, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : SEP 13-26, 2025
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ (stable)
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections ~12X 🔺
-COVID longue ~9X 🔺
-Hospitalisations ~15X 🔺
-Décès ~14X 🔺
CANADA
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ (stable)
Environ 1 personne sur 81 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections ~12X 🔺
-COVID longue ~9X 🔺
-Hospitalisations ~15X 🔺
-Décès ~14X 🔺
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
September 16, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : AOÛ 30-SEP 12, 2025
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ
Environ 1 personne 65 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections 7.2 supérieur
-COVID longue 7.7 supérieur
-Hospitalisations 10.7 supérieur
-Décès 10.9 supérieur
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ
Environ 1 personne 65 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections 7.2 supérieur
-COVID longue 7.7 supérieur
-Hospitalisations 10.7 supérieur
-Décès 10.9 supérieur
September 1, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : AOÛ 30-SEP 12, 2025
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ
Environ 1 personne 65 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections 7.2 supérieur
-COVID longue 7.7 supérieur
-Hospitalisations 10.7 supérieur
-Décès 10.9 supérieur
CANADA
ÉLEVÉ
Environ 1 personne 65 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections 7.2 supérieur
-COVID longue 7.7 supérieur
-Hospitalisations 10.7 supérieur
-Décès 10.9 supérieur
Canadian COVID Forecast Aug 30 - Sep 12 2025
CANADA
High [No change]
About 1 in 65 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7.2 higher
-Long COVID ~7.7 higher
-Hospitalizations ~10.7 higher
-Deaths ~10.9 higher
CANADA
High [No change]
About 1 in 65 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7.2 higher
-Long COVID ~7.7 higher
-Hospitalizations ~10.7 higher
-Deaths ~10.9 higher
September 1, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Aug 30 - Sep 12 2025
CANADA
High [No change]
About 1 in 65 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7.2 higher
-Long COVID ~7.7 higher
-Hospitalizations ~10.7 higher
-Deaths ~10.9 higher
CANADA
High [No change]
About 1 in 65 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7.2 higher
-Long COVID ~7.7 higher
-Hospitalizations ~10.7 higher
-Deaths ~10.9 higher