Juraj Medzihorsky
@medzihorsky.bsky.social
Assistant Professor in Social Data Science at Durham U · Project Manager at V-Dem · Previously at LSE Methodology and U of Gothenburg · CEU PhD
Though the pollsters mostly agree on Mr Fico's Smer, they differ--sometimes widely--on Republika, towards which Smer seems to have bled a noticeable chunk of its 2023 voters.
Regardless, Smer and Hlas continue on the downwards trend that began shortly after the assassination attempt on Mr Fico
3/n
Regardless, Smer and Hlas continue on the downwards trend that began shortly after the assassination attempt on Mr Fico
3/n
November 20, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Though the pollsters mostly agree on Mr Fico's Smer, they differ--sometimes widely--on Republika, towards which Smer seems to have bled a noticeable chunk of its 2023 voters.
Regardless, Smer and Hlas continue on the downwards trend that began shortly after the assassination attempt on Mr Fico
3/n
Regardless, Smer and Hlas continue on the downwards trend that began shortly after the assassination attempt on Mr Fico
3/n
Under these vote %s, all at least somewhat viable hypothetical gov't coalitions need KDH (EPP).
2/n
2/n
November 20, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Under these vote %s, all at least somewhat viable hypothetical gov't coalitions need KDH (EPP).
2/n
2/n
Recent Ipsos analysis estimates that Republika now has about as many of the '23 voters of the gov't coalition as its own '23 voters.
4/n
4/n
November 12, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Recent Ipsos analysis estimates that Republika now has about as many of the '23 voters of the gov't coalition as its own '23 voters.
4/n
4/n
The center-/right bloc PS (RE) SaS (ECR) D (EPP) not breaking its record numbers, though D now more often above the 5% threshold.
3/n
3/n
November 12, 2025 at 3:19 PM
The center-/right bloc PS (RE) SaS (ECR) D (EPP) not breaking its record numbers, though D now more often above the 5% threshold.
3/n
3/n
Declining Smer and Hlas, buoyant Republika.
2/n
2/n
November 12, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Declining Smer and Hlas, buoyant Republika.
2/n
2/n
Incomplete use-case overlap though
November 8, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Incomplete use-case overlap though
The data: this crosstab by the EP.
More details on the survey: Eurobarometer 103.4 (2025) europa.eu/eurobaromete...
2/2
More details on the survey: Eurobarometer 103.4 (2025) europa.eu/eurobaromete...
2/2
November 7, 2025 at 10:53 AM
The data: this crosstab by the EP.
More details on the survey: Eurobarometer 103.4 (2025) europa.eu/eurobaromete...
2/2
More details on the survey: Eurobarometer 103.4 (2025) europa.eu/eurobaromete...
2/2
Being in the habit of having to run to catch public transport, that was indeed one of my first reactions.
October 28, 2025 at 10:01 PM
Being in the habit of having to run to catch public transport, that was indeed one of my first reactions.
Indeed.
One wonders whether the coalition parties did this assuming that in an aging society, and them being a bit stronger than the opposition is with the older cohorts, some members of their core voter groups may even appreciate it.
Still, it fits well with the tradition of clumsy lawmaking.
One wonders whether the coalition parties did this assuming that in an aging society, and them being a bit stronger than the opposition is with the older cohorts, some members of their core voter groups may even appreciate it.
Still, it fits well with the tradition of clumsy lawmaking.
October 28, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Indeed.
One wonders whether the coalition parties did this assuming that in an aging society, and them being a bit stronger than the opposition is with the older cohorts, some members of their core voter groups may even appreciate it.
Still, it fits well with the tradition of clumsy lawmaking.
One wonders whether the coalition parties did this assuming that in an aging society, and them being a bit stronger than the opposition is with the older cohorts, some members of their core voter groups may even appreciate it.
Still, it fits well with the tradition of clumsy lawmaking.
It seems that the lawmakers were aiming at preventing e-scooters from using sidewalks and saw curtailing pedestrians as acceptable collateral damage. They may have underestimated the amount of ridicule heading their way because of that.
October 28, 2025 at 7:11 PM
It seems that the lawmakers were aiming at preventing e-scooters from using sidewalks and saw curtailing pedestrians as acceptable collateral damage. They may have underestimated the amount of ridicule heading their way because of that.
Correct, it is a maximum.
October 28, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Correct, it is a maximum.