Mark G. Sheppard
@markgsheppard.com
Inequality/Mobility. Researcher @NBER.org.
3rd Year Econ PhD, The Graduate Center.
2nd Lt., U.S. National Guard.
Former Congressional Staff.
3rd Year Econ PhD, The Graduate Center.
2nd Lt., U.S. National Guard.
Former Congressional Staff.
I modified the #SahmRule, by @claudia-sahm.bsky.social, creating 3.2k spacial Sahm Rules, which show that #recession exposure can differ by place/time.
The bellwether of recessions are rich/white counties but they're slow; the fastest indicators are poor/black counties, but they're noisy.
The bellwether of recessions are rich/white counties but they're slow; the fastest indicators are poor/black counties, but they're noisy.
October 16, 2025 at 12:37 AM
I modified the #SahmRule, by @claudia-sahm.bsky.social, creating 3.2k spacial Sahm Rules, which show that #recession exposure can differ by place/time.
The bellwether of recessions are rich/white counties but they're slow; the fastest indicators are poor/black counties, but they're noisy.
The bellwether of recessions are rich/white counties but they're slow; the fastest indicators are poor/black counties, but they're noisy.