Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️
@leftiestats.bsky.social
www.statsforlefties.com
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
📊 Estimated seats on latest Lord Ashcroft poll:
➡️ REF – 289 (+284)
🟢 GRN – 77 (+73)
🟠 LD – 77 (+5)
🔵 CON – 76 (-45)
🟡 SNP – 45 (+36)
🔴 LAB – 41 (-370)
Based on @LordAPolls poll, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs GE24)
➡️ REF – 289 (+284)
🟢 GRN – 77 (+73)
🟠 LD – 77 (+5)
🔵 CON – 76 (-45)
🟡 SNP – 45 (+36)
🔴 LAB – 41 (-370)
Based on @LordAPolls poll, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs GE24)
November 24, 2025 at 10:16 AM
📊 Estimated seats on latest Lord Ashcroft poll:
➡️ REF – 289 (+284)
🟢 GRN – 77 (+73)
🟠 LD – 77 (+5)
🔵 CON – 76 (-45)
🟡 SNP – 45 (+36)
🔴 LAB – 41 (-370)
Based on @LordAPolls poll, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs GE24)
➡️ REF – 289 (+284)
🟢 GRN – 77 (+73)
🟠 LD – 77 (+5)
🔵 CON – 76 (-45)
🟡 SNP – 45 (+36)
🔴 LAB – 41 (-370)
Based on @LordAPolls poll, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs GE24)
📊 NEW | Reform lead by 6pts
‼️ Greens tied with Labour
➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
‼️ Greens tied with Labour
➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
November 24, 2025 at 10:16 AM
📊 NEW | Reform lead by 6pts
‼️ Greens tied with Labour
➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
‼️ Greens tied with Labour
➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
📊 Voting intention amongst Jewish Brits:
🔴 LAB – 30% (-14)
🔵 CON – 28% (-4)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+9)
➡️ REF – 11% (+8)
🟠 LD – 9% (+1)
Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)
🔴 LAB – 30% (-14)
🔵 CON – 28% (-4)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+9)
➡️ REF – 11% (+8)
🟠 LD – 9% (+1)
Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)
November 21, 2025 at 11:09 AM
📊 Voting intention amongst Jewish Brits:
🔴 LAB – 30% (-14)
🔵 CON – 28% (-4)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+9)
➡️ REF – 11% (+8)
🟠 LD – 9% (+1)
Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)
🔴 LAB – 30% (-14)
🔵 CON – 28% (-4)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+9)
➡️ REF – 11% (+8)
🟠 LD – 9% (+1)
Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)
📊 NEW | As Labour launches crackdowns on refugees and trans people, Starmer's approval hits new low.
✅ Favourable – 19% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1)
Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)
✅ Favourable – 19% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1)
Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)
November 20, 2025 at 11:26 AM
📊 NEW | As Labour launches crackdowns on refugees and trans people, Starmer's approval hits new low.
✅ Favourable – 19% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1)
Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)
✅ Favourable – 19% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1)
Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)
📊 NEW | Ex-North of Tyne Mayor Jamie Driscoll has confirmed he will not be joining "Your Party".
Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".
Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".
November 19, 2025 at 2:38 PM
📊 NEW | Ex-North of Tyne Mayor Jamie Driscoll has confirmed he will not be joining "Your Party".
Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".
Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".
🗳️ Projected seat totals:
➡️ REF: 318 seats (+313)
🟠 LD: 87 seats (+15)
🟢 GRN: 61 seats (+57)
🔴 LAB: 60 seats (-351)
🟡 SNP: 46 seats (+37)
🔵 CON: 32 seats (-89)
🟢 PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
Based on @YouGov poll, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs GE2024)
➡️ REF: 318 seats (+313)
🟠 LD: 87 seats (+15)
🟢 GRN: 61 seats (+57)
🔴 LAB: 60 seats (-351)
🟡 SNP: 46 seats (+37)
🔵 CON: 32 seats (-89)
🟢 PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
Based on @YouGov poll, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs GE2024)
November 18, 2025 at 10:12 AM
🗳️ Projected seat totals:
➡️ REF: 318 seats (+313)
🟠 LD: 87 seats (+15)
🟢 GRN: 61 seats (+57)
🔴 LAB: 60 seats (-351)
🟡 SNP: 46 seats (+37)
🔵 CON: 32 seats (-89)
🟢 PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
Based on @YouGov poll, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs GE2024)
➡️ REF: 318 seats (+313)
🟠 LD: 87 seats (+15)
🟢 GRN: 61 seats (+57)
🔴 LAB: 60 seats (-351)
🟡 SNP: 46 seats (+37)
🔵 CON: 32 seats (-89)
🟢 PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
Based on @YouGov poll, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs GE2024)
📊 NEW | Greens hit 17% with YouGov
➡️ REF: 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 19% (-)
🟢 GRN: 17% (+2)
🔵 CON: 17% (-1)
🟠 LD: 13% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)
➡️ REF: 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 19% (-)
🟢 GRN: 17% (+2)
🔵 CON: 17% (-1)
🟠 LD: 13% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)
November 18, 2025 at 10:11 AM
📊 NEW | Greens hit 17% with YouGov
➡️ REF: 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 19% (-)
🟢 GRN: 17% (+2)
🔵 CON: 17% (-1)
🟠 LD: 13% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)
➡️ REF: 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 19% (-)
🟢 GRN: 17% (+2)
🔵 CON: 17% (-1)
🟠 LD: 13% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)
📊 NEW | As Labour announces fresh crackdown on refugees, their approval falls to an all-time low.
✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1)
❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1)
❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
November 17, 2025 at 2:16 PM
📊 NEW | As Labour announces fresh crackdown on refugees, their approval falls to an all-time low.
✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1)
❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1)
❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
📊 Ipsos poll suggests Reform landslide:
➡️ REF – 400 seats (+395)
🟠 LD – 78 seats (+6)
🟡 SNP – 46 seats (+37)
🟢 GRN – 43 seats (+39)
🔴 LAB – 31 seats (-380)
🔵 CON – 11 seats (-110)
🟢 PLAID – 7 seats (+3)
Based on @IpsosUK poll, Nov 2025 (+/- vs GE24)
➡️ REF – 400 seats (+395)
🟠 LD – 78 seats (+6)
🟡 SNP – 46 seats (+37)
🟢 GRN – 43 seats (+39)
🔴 LAB – 31 seats (-380)
🔵 CON – 11 seats (-110)
🟢 PLAID – 7 seats (+3)
Based on @IpsosUK poll, Nov 2025 (+/- vs GE24)
November 16, 2025 at 11:06 AM
📊 Ipsos poll suggests Reform landslide:
➡️ REF – 400 seats (+395)
🟠 LD – 78 seats (+6)
🟡 SNP – 46 seats (+37)
🟢 GRN – 43 seats (+39)
🔴 LAB – 31 seats (-380)
🔵 CON – 11 seats (-110)
🟢 PLAID – 7 seats (+3)
Based on @IpsosUK poll, Nov 2025 (+/- vs GE24)
➡️ REF – 400 seats (+395)
🟠 LD – 78 seats (+6)
🟡 SNP – 46 seats (+37)
🟢 GRN – 43 seats (+39)
🔴 LAB – 31 seats (-380)
🔵 CON – 11 seats (-110)
🟢 PLAID – 7 seats (+3)
Based on @IpsosUK poll, Nov 2025 (+/- vs GE24)
📊 NEW | Greens surge to 15% with Ipsos
➡️ REF – 33% (-1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 16% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 15% (+3)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
➡️ REF – 33% (-1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 16% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 15% (+3)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
November 16, 2025 at 11:05 AM
📊 NEW | Greens surge to 15% with Ipsos
➡️ REF – 33% (-1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 16% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 15% (+3)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
➡️ REF – 33% (-1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 16% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 15% (+3)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
📊 POLL | Reform lead Greens by 16pts
➡️ REF – 33% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (-1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)
➡️ REF – 33% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (-1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)
November 15, 2025 at 9:25 PM
📊 POLL | Reform lead Greens by 16pts
➡️ REF – 33% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (-1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)
➡️ REF – 33% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (-1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)
📊 POLL | Reform lead by 11pts
Projected majority = 46 seats
➡️ REF – 31% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (+2)
🔵 CON – 19% (-)
🟠 LD – 14% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (-)
Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)
Projected majority = 46 seats
➡️ REF – 31% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (+2)
🔵 CON – 19% (-)
🟠 LD – 14% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (-)
Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)
November 12, 2025 at 5:29 PM
📊 POLL | Reform lead by 11pts
Projected majority = 46 seats
➡️ REF – 31% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (+2)
🔵 CON – 19% (-)
🟠 LD – 14% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (-)
Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)
Projected majority = 46 seats
➡️ REF – 31% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (+2)
🔵 CON – 19% (-)
🟠 LD – 14% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (-)
Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)
🚨 NEW | Greens lead with young people (18-25)
🟢 GRN – 32% (+16)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-18)
➡️ REF – 20% (+7)
🔵 CON – 11% (-1)
🟠 LD – 9% (-3)
This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample.
Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)
🟢 GRN – 32% (+16)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-18)
➡️ REF – 20% (+7)
🔵 CON – 11% (-1)
🟠 LD – 9% (-3)
This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample.
Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)
November 12, 2025 at 9:40 AM
🚨 NEW | Greens lead with young people (18-25)
🟢 GRN – 32% (+16)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-18)
➡️ REF – 20% (+7)
🔵 CON – 11% (-1)
🟠 LD – 9% (-3)
This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample.
Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)
🟢 GRN – 32% (+16)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-18)
➡️ REF – 20% (+7)
🔵 CON – 11% (-1)
🟠 LD – 9% (-3)
This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample.
Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)
📊 POLL | Reform lead by 13pts
‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge
➡️ REF – 32% (-3)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+5)
🟠 LD – 13% (-1)
Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)
‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge
➡️ REF – 32% (-3)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+5)
🟠 LD – 13% (-1)
Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)
November 11, 2025 at 4:40 PM
📊 POLL | Reform lead by 13pts
‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge
➡️ REF – 32% (-3)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+5)
🟠 LD – 13% (-1)
Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)
‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge
➡️ REF – 32% (-3)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+5)
🟠 LD – 13% (-1)
Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)
🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 13pts
➡️ REF – 33% (+3)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
🟢 GRN – 11% (-1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+3)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
🟢 GRN – 11% (-1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)
November 9, 2025 at 4:28 PM
🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 13pts
➡️ REF – 33% (+3)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
🟢 GRN – 11% (-1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+3)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
🟢 GRN – 11% (-1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)
"Since 2024, Labour has lost almost 50% of its voters – representing 17pts in total. These defecting voters have split as follows:
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
November 7, 2025 at 7:54 PM
"Since 2024, Labour has lost almost 50% of its voters – representing 17pts in total. These defecting voters have split as follows:
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
🚨 POLL | Reform lead, Greens 2nd
➡️ REF – 33% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-1)
🟠 LD – 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-1)
🟠 LD – 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)
November 6, 2025 at 5:38 PM
🚨 POLL | Reform lead, Greens 2nd
➡️ REF – 33% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-1)
🟠 LD – 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-1)
🟠 LD – 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)
Projected seat totals:
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
November 5, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Projected seat totals:
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
🚨 NEW | Labour falls to 3rd place
➡️ REF – 31% (-2)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-3)
🟠 LD – 13% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)
➡️ REF – 31% (-2)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-3)
🟠 LD – 13% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)
November 5, 2025 at 10:07 AM
🚨 NEW | Labour falls to 3rd place
➡️ REF – 31% (-2)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-3)
🟠 LD – 13% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)
➡️ REF – 31% (-2)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-3)
🟠 LD – 13% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)
🚨 NOWCAST | Reform to win majority
➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354)
🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11)
🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339)
🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90)
🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36)
🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15)
This uses my NEW seat projection method.
➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354)
🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11)
🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339)
🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90)
🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36)
🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15)
This uses my NEW seat projection method.
November 4, 2025 at 5:53 PM
🚨 NOWCAST | Reform to win majority
➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354)
🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11)
🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339)
🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90)
🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36)
🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15)
This uses my NEW seat projection method.
➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354)
🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11)
🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339)
🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90)
🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36)
🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15)
This uses my NEW seat projection method.
🚨 BREAKING | Greens rocket to **2nd place**
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 16% (-)
🔵 CON – 16% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 16% (-)
🔵 CON – 16% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)
October 30, 2025 at 5:03 PM
🚨 BREAKING | Greens rocket to **2nd place**
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 16% (-)
🔵 CON – 16% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 16% (-)
🔵 CON – 16% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)
New York City polling averages:
🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48%
⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32%
🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17%
Based on polls conducted in October 2025
🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48%
⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32%
🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17%
Based on polls conducted in October 2025
October 29, 2025 at 2:48 PM
New York City polling averages:
🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48%
⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32%
🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17%
Based on polls conducted in October 2025
🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48%
⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32%
🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17%
Based on polls conducted in October 2025
🚨 NEW | Reform lead by 12pts
➡️ REF – 33% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 21% (-1)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 11% (+1)
Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 21% (-1)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 11% (+1)
Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)
October 29, 2025 at 10:11 AM
🚨 NEW | Reform lead by 12pts
➡️ REF – 33% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 21% (-1)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 11% (+1)
Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 21% (-1)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 11% (+1)
Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)
🚨 NEW | Greens at 16%, 1pt shy of Labour
➡️ REF – 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟢 GRN – 16% (+1)
🟠 LD – 15% (-)
Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟢 GRN – 16% (+1)
🟠 LD – 15% (-)
Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)
October 28, 2025 at 9:40 AM
🚨 NEW | Greens at 16%, 1pt shy of Labour
➡️ REF – 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟢 GRN – 16% (+1)
🟠 LD – 15% (-)
Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟢 GRN – 16% (+1)
🟠 LD – 15% (-)
Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)
🚨 Estimated seat totals:
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
October 27, 2025 at 10:24 AM
🚨 Estimated seat totals:
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct