Thank you!

Thanks very much!

Thanks Chris!

Thanks Lucy!

Overall, housing is a central and growing cleavage in politics, challenging class dealignment story. Relying on occupation risks mischaracterising the class basis of politics - we must update how we think about this to reflect era of asset-based capitalism

7/7

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Looking at more detailed housing market groups further highlights this. House value is especially significant. Again, housing is more important in predicting centre-right and radical left support than occupation, income or education.

6/7

Tenure is now a central predictor of support for these parties. For the centre-right, it has displaced (middle-class) occupation in this respect. This marks a big shift in their coalitions, but does not imply that they have become less affluent (as class voting lit tends to find).

5/7

Housing cleavages have grown significantly over time, driven largely by centre-right and radical left electorates becoming increasingly structured by housing tenure.

4/7

To integrate housing into these debates, I conduct the first systematic cross-national study of how housing market groups vote, looking at 14 countries over the past 40 yrs

Tenure groups vote differently: owners significantly more likely to vote centre-right and renters radical left.

3/7

I argue asset price inflation and financialisation have made housing an increasingly central driver of social inequality. However, debates around political sociology and class voting still tend to think about voters' economic circumstances in terms of occupation or labour market positions

2/7

No no don't talk silly, no conflict! (Though your mum's info was wrong, it was far later on)

Something to do with rounders?

Interesting that this would suggest they underperform their national polling in Wales? (Given UKIP outperformed their 2016 national result in Caerphilly by about 10 points)

No, and as it says they had a councillor elected in Eye. I do suspect this is the effect of large landowners influence though (as v powerful figures) and not particularly broad support. My pet theory is nonconformism (and Liberal link) played a big role in limiting fascist success in rural Britain

they were given short shrift by the villagers (at least if my nan was to be believed!). Think its a bit of a myth they had much support beyond that - it was a strong Liberal area largely due to noncomformism still having a good foothold

I grew up in a village in north Suffolk where the fascists turned up to support a local farmer who had refused to pay tithes in resisting bailiffs (there's still a memorial to the animals seized in the 'tithe wars). There was certainly some support for the NUF from large landowners/farmers but

Yes potentially kind of inflating the Reform numbers twice over (2024 voters for left leaning parties + women underrepresented in the non-DK sample). Just all the more reason to normalise publishing don't know figures up front!