Josh Goddard
@joshgoddard98.bsky.social
Political Science PhD student at UCL. Working on housing and electoral politics. Long-term #itfc sufferer. 🏳️🌈
Looking at more detailed housing market groups further highlights this. House value is especially significant. Again, housing is more important in predicting centre-right and radical left support than occupation, income or education.
6/7
6/7
November 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Looking at more detailed housing market groups further highlights this. House value is especially significant. Again, housing is more important in predicting centre-right and radical left support than occupation, income or education.
6/7
6/7
Tenure is now a central predictor of support for these parties. For the centre-right, it has displaced (middle-class) occupation in this respect. This marks a big shift in their coalitions, but does not imply that they have become less affluent (as class voting lit tends to find).
5/7
5/7
November 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Tenure is now a central predictor of support for these parties. For the centre-right, it has displaced (middle-class) occupation in this respect. This marks a big shift in their coalitions, but does not imply that they have become less affluent (as class voting lit tends to find).
5/7
5/7
Housing cleavages have grown significantly over time, driven largely by centre-right and radical left electorates becoming increasingly structured by housing tenure.
4/7
4/7
November 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Housing cleavages have grown significantly over time, driven largely by centre-right and radical left electorates becoming increasingly structured by housing tenure.
4/7
4/7
To integrate housing into these debates, I conduct the first systematic cross-national study of how housing market groups vote, looking at 14 countries over the past 40 yrs
Tenure groups vote differently: owners significantly more likely to vote centre-right and renters radical left.
3/7
Tenure groups vote differently: owners significantly more likely to vote centre-right and renters radical left.
3/7
November 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
To integrate housing into these debates, I conduct the first systematic cross-national study of how housing market groups vote, looking at 14 countries over the past 40 yrs
Tenure groups vote differently: owners significantly more likely to vote centre-right and renters radical left.
3/7
Tenure groups vote differently: owners significantly more likely to vote centre-right and renters radical left.
3/7
November 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
In the same way that Burton Albion target Jurgen Klopp
May 28, 2025 at 8:22 AM
In the same way that Burton Albion target Jurgen Klopp
As a good East Anglian I'm intrigued by just how Liberal EA was in the 19th century (see 1885 and 1892 election maps). Unlike the West Country though, this did not persist far into the 20th. Why did East Anglia become more like the rest of the south in its (Tory) voting behaviour ?
April 12, 2025 at 5:06 PM
As a good East Anglian I'm intrigued by just how Liberal EA was in the 19th century (see 1885 and 1892 election maps). Unlike the West Country though, this did not persist far into the 20th. Why did East Anglia become more like the rest of the south in its (Tory) voting behaviour ?
suffolk is looking particularly nice this morning
January 12, 2025 at 11:28 AM
suffolk is looking particularly nice this morning