JB stan account
@johnbrownstan.bsky.social
Militant liberal. Aspiring re-education camp counselor. Filibuster abolition enjoyer.
Look down the game tree. What's at the end of all those off-equilibrium paths? DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
Look down the game tree. What's at the end of all those off-equilibrium paths? DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
This one... Not trying to suggest I was privy to high level conversations, I was just a cog, but JSOC in Afghanistan was pretty small community and I think if the big wigs were super pissed off about something it would have leaked out us regular folk. In reality, everyone was thrilled.
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
This one... Not trying to suggest I was privy to high level conversations, I was just a cog, but JSOC in Afghanistan was pretty small community and I think if the big wigs were super pissed off about something it would have leaked out us regular folk. In reality, everyone was thrilled.
I can tell you from personal experience that this is not true. It wasn't true for ops in Afghanistan, and is even less likely to be true for ops in Pakistan, unless they were worried specifically about getting out before daylight for *political* (not operational) reasons.
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
I can tell you from personal experience that this is not true. It wasn't true for ops in Afghanistan, and is even less likely to be true for ops in Pakistan, unless they were worried specifically about getting out before daylight for *political* (not operational) reasons.
This article was published in 2015. I believe in 2017 the government released all (or most) of the contents of the hard drive they took with them. So unless the CIA spent years faking hard drive contents, this one is verifiably false.
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
This article was published in 2015. I believe in 2017 the government released all (or most) of the contents of the hard drive they took with them. So unless the CIA spent years faking hard drive contents, this one is verifiably false.
... we couldn't go after them. If the ISI or whoever were willing to work with us, I think those people would have been dealt with.
The 2011 vintage Taliban gave exactly zero shits about Osama Bin Laden. Just totally different axes of power here.
The 2011 vintage Taliban gave exactly zero shits about Osama Bin Laden. Just totally different axes of power here.
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
... we couldn't go after them. If the ISI or whoever were willing to work with us, I think those people would have been dealt with.
The 2011 vintage Taliban gave exactly zero shits about Osama Bin Laden. Just totally different axes of power here.
The 2011 vintage Taliban gave exactly zero shits about Osama Bin Laden. Just totally different axes of power here.
Maybe some distant members of the royal family, but idk why they would care about pissing them off.
This one I can speak to a bit more personally: if this is true, I'd be absolutely shocked. There were a number of high-level Taliban guys where we knew exactly where they lived in Pakistan and...
This one I can speak to a bit more personally: if this is true, I'd be absolutely shocked. There were a number of high-level Taliban guys where we knew exactly where they lived in Pakistan and...
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Maybe some distant members of the royal family, but idk why they would care about pissing them off.
This one I can speak to a bit more personally: if this is true, I'd be absolutely shocked. There were a number of high-level Taliban guys where we knew exactly where they lived in Pakistan and...
This one I can speak to a bit more personally: if this is true, I'd be absolutely shocked. There were a number of high-level Taliban guys where we knew exactly where they lived in Pakistan and...
Not to say they don't give polygraphs. They do, because they are sometimes useful for getting people to say dumb shit. But they are aware they don't work lie detector tests.
I don't know what "the Saudis" means here, but the government hated bin Laden and wouldn't be financing him.
I don't know what "the Saudis" means here, but the government hated bin Laden and wouldn't be financing him.
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Not to say they don't give polygraphs. They do, because they are sometimes useful for getting people to say dumb shit. But they are aware they don't work lie detector tests.
I don't know what "the Saudis" means here, but the government hated bin Laden and wouldn't be financing him.
I don't know what "the Saudis" means here, but the government hated bin Laden and wouldn't be financing him.
Seymour Hersh is a glorified gossip columnist. He'll put almost anything to print.
I can't really say whether any of this is true, but here's some stuff that stuck out to me:
The CIA/military doesn't believe polygraphs work and wouldn't use this as a basis for vetting a source.
I can't really say whether any of this is true, but here's some stuff that stuck out to me:
The CIA/military doesn't believe polygraphs work and wouldn't use this as a basis for vetting a source.
November 23, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Seymour Hersh is a glorified gossip columnist. He'll put almost anything to print.
I can't really say whether any of this is true, but here's some stuff that stuck out to me:
The CIA/military doesn't believe polygraphs work and wouldn't use this as a basis for vetting a source.
I can't really say whether any of this is true, but here's some stuff that stuck out to me:
The CIA/military doesn't believe polygraphs work and wouldn't use this as a basis for vetting a source.
We're back baby
November 21, 2025 at 2:21 PM
We're back baby
These CRIMINALS keep demanding JURY TRIALS to establish whether they are, in fact, CRIMINALS. We must put an end to this
November 20, 2025 at 4:18 PM
These CRIMINALS keep demanding JURY TRIALS to establish whether they are, in fact, CRIMINALS. We must put an end to this
There are Judaism specific lessons in there, but Sarah could stand to read this passage from Dorothy Thompson's Who Goes Nazi
November 19, 2025 at 4:19 PM
There are Judaism specific lessons in there, but Sarah could stand to read this passage from Dorothy Thompson's Who Goes Nazi
The master race
November 19, 2025 at 3:55 AM
The master race
According to Getty these girls are 13 an 15. If you think it's okay for an adult man to have sex with one of these girls you should be stoned to death
November 15, 2025 at 5:44 PM
According to Getty these girls are 13 an 15. If you think it's okay for an adult man to have sex with one of these girls you should be stoned to death
I'm thinking of Composition VIII specifically
November 14, 2025 at 6:50 PM
I'm thinking of Composition VIII specifically
I see graphs like this all the time and they always make me laugh. Sometimes a simple curve-fitting exercise is better than your (supposedly) structural model.
The other context in which I have seen this a lot is interest rate or unemployment forecasts.
The other context in which I have seen this a lot is interest rate or unemployment forecasts.
November 14, 2025 at 6:31 PM
I see graphs like this all the time and they always make me laugh. Sometimes a simple curve-fitting exercise is better than your (supposedly) structural model.
The other context in which I have seen this a lot is interest rate or unemployment forecasts.
The other context in which I have seen this a lot is interest rate or unemployment forecasts.
I think it's Bad, Actually that unlimited toilet paper is special treatment
November 13, 2025 at 11:31 PM
I think it's Bad, Actually that unlimited toilet paper is special treatment
Lol, many such cases I'm guessing
November 12, 2025 at 4:54 PM
Lol, many such cases I'm guessing
Donnie Tee... 🤔
Wonder who Bubba is
Wonder who Bubba is
November 12, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Donnie Tee... 🤔
Wonder who Bubba is
Wonder who Bubba is
Jeffery Epstein hanging out in Trump Tower ~1 week after the 2016 election, cool cool
November 12, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Jeffery Epstein hanging out in Trump Tower ~1 week after the 2016 election, cool cool
I guess this implies (Ehud?) Barak hung out with Epstein?
November 12, 2025 at 4:21 PM
I guess this implies (Ehud?) Barak hung out with Epstein?
Clinton fully exonerated
November 12, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Clinton fully exonerated
Stay classy Larry
November 12, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Stay classy Larry