Joel Suss
@joelsuss.ft.com
Data journalist, Financial Times | Visiting Fellow, London School of Economics
[email protected]
[email protected]
November 7, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Also remarkable: the polarisation of young UK voters. Top two parties supported now Reform and Greens
on.ft.com/4qKurLm Young Britons’ attitudes hardening on crime and welfare
on.ft.com/4qKurLm Young Britons’ attitudes hardening on crime and welfare
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Also remarkable: the polarisation of young UK voters. Top two parties supported now Reform and Greens
on.ft.com/4qKurLm Young Britons’ attitudes hardening on crime and welfare
on.ft.com/4qKurLm Young Britons’ attitudes hardening on crime and welfare
Remarkable and surprising data on hardening attitudes towards welfare recipients in UK, especially among younger cohorts. Why now?
on.ft.com/4qKurLm
on.ft.com/4qKurLm
November 3, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Remarkable and surprising data on hardening attitudes towards welfare recipients in UK, especially among younger cohorts. Why now?
on.ft.com/4qKurLm
on.ft.com/4qKurLm
But polarisation also has also seeped into corporate America. One result is that companies that are 'politically divergent' are much less likely to join forces
October 27, 2025 at 4:27 PM
But polarisation also has also seeped into corporate America. One result is that companies that are 'politically divergent' are much less likely to join forces
The economy suffers not just from the resulting dysfunction on capital hill stemming from ideological polarisation (witness the latest government shutdown, now nearing) its fifth week
October 27, 2025 at 4:27 PM
The economy suffers not just from the resulting dysfunction on capital hill stemming from ideological polarisation (witness the latest government shutdown, now nearing) its fifth week
Polarisation is rising rapidly in the US
The US is much more ideologically polarised today than in the 1970s, and Americans are far more distrusting and disliking of 'the other side' over the period
The US is much more ideologically polarised today than in the 1970s, and Americans are far more distrusting and disliking of 'the other side' over the period
October 27, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Polarisation is rising rapidly in the US
The US is much more ideologically polarised today than in the 1970s, and Americans are far more distrusting and disliking of 'the other side' over the period
The US is much more ideologically polarised today than in the 1970s, and Americans are far more distrusting and disliking of 'the other side' over the period
What is interesting is that there has not been such a wide gap this close to a Fed rate meeting between the market and superforecasters
Indeed, besides the pricing ructions around the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, they have not deviated to such a large degree -- see 2023 comparison 👇
Indeed, besides the pricing ructions around the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, they have not deviated to such a large degree -- see 2023 comparison 👇
October 16, 2025 at 9:21 AM
What is interesting is that there has not been such a wide gap this close to a Fed rate meeting between the market and superforecasters
Indeed, besides the pricing ructions around the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, they have not deviated to such a large degree -- see 2023 comparison 👇
Indeed, besides the pricing ructions around the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, they have not deviated to such a large degree -- see 2023 comparison 👇
The market should take note since superforecasters have consistently had the edge in anticipating what the FOMC will do
There is typically unanimity about the Fed decision -- the outperformance is instead based on superforecaster's higher confidence in the eventual outcome -- see 2025 fig👇
There is typically unanimity about the Fed decision -- the outperformance is instead based on superforecaster's higher confidence in the eventual outcome -- see 2025 fig👇
October 16, 2025 at 9:21 AM
The market should take note since superforecasters have consistently had the edge in anticipating what the FOMC will do
There is typically unanimity about the Fed decision -- the outperformance is instead based on superforecaster's higher confidence in the eventual outcome -- see 2025 fig👇
There is typically unanimity about the Fed decision -- the outperformance is instead based on superforecaster's higher confidence in the eventual outcome -- see 2025 fig👇
Then there is energy and food categories: both are rising and there are plausible narratives for continued increases, like electricity demand from data centre build-outs and labour shortages pushing up domestic food prices
October 6, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Then there is energy and food categories: both are rising and there are plausible narratives for continued increases, like electricity demand from data centre build-outs and labour shortages pushing up domestic food prices
Looking more carefully at the non-housing core services bucket (which is more than half the total inflation basket): in the words of the Dallas Fed: “further slowing . . . is not obvious”
October 6, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Looking more carefully at the non-housing core services bucket (which is more than half the total inflation basket): in the words of the Dallas Fed: “further slowing . . . is not obvious”
Also worrying for the Fed is that, while core goods being driven higher by supply effects, it is a demand-driven story on the core services side, perhaps due to loose financial conditions and AI investment boom
October 6, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Also worrying for the Fed is that, while core goods being driven higher by supply effects, it is a demand-driven story on the core services side, perhaps due to loose financial conditions and AI investment boom
📢New piece from me on US inflation today in the @financialtimes.com📢
It's not just (still modest) tariff-related effects boosting core goods and headline above target, core services excluding housing remain elevated
It's not just (still modest) tariff-related effects boosting core goods and headline above target, core services excluding housing remain elevated
October 6, 2025 at 9:35 AM
📢New piece from me on US inflation today in the @financialtimes.com📢
It's not just (still modest) tariff-related effects boosting core goods and headline above target, core services excluding housing remain elevated
It's not just (still modest) tariff-related effects boosting core goods and headline above target, core services excluding housing remain elevated
Social media use appears to have peaked everywhere but North America
on.ft.com/4gP83eW Have we passed peak social media?
on.ft.com/4gP83eW Have we passed peak social media?
October 3, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Social media use appears to have peaked everywhere but North America
on.ft.com/4gP83eW Have we passed peak social media?
on.ft.com/4gP83eW Have we passed peak social media?
Great reporting here on the political pressure affecting prosecutions of white-collar crime in the US
Featuring also great use of LLMs for structuring data 👇👇
on.ft.com/3VFYuW3
Featuring also great use of LLMs for structuring data 👇👇
on.ft.com/3VFYuW3
September 29, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Great reporting here on the political pressure affecting prosecutions of white-collar crime in the US
Featuring also great use of LLMs for structuring data 👇👇
on.ft.com/3VFYuW3
Featuring also great use of LLMs for structuring data 👇👇
on.ft.com/3VFYuW3
The Fed's decision to cut rates last week have been criticised with inflation above target
A dovish turn also risks making a frothy US market frothier, raising financial stability risk
My latest in the @financialtimes.com (free-to-read) 👉 on.ft.com/4gEiMZF
A dovish turn also risks making a frothy US market frothier, raising financial stability risk
My latest in the @financialtimes.com (free-to-read) 👉 on.ft.com/4gEiMZF
September 23, 2025 at 11:51 AM
The Fed's decision to cut rates last week have been criticised with inflation above target
A dovish turn also risks making a frothy US market frothier, raising financial stability risk
My latest in the @financialtimes.com (free-to-read) 👉 on.ft.com/4gEiMZF
A dovish turn also risks making a frothy US market frothier, raising financial stability risk
My latest in the @financialtimes.com (free-to-read) 👉 on.ft.com/4gEiMZF
Big gap in income gains for 65+ versus working age populations in UK and France, with the increased cost of pensions for governments sending fiscal debts to unsustainable levels and crowding out other spending priorities
on.ft.com/46AUDjd
on.ft.com/46AUDjd
September 14, 2025 at 12:45 PM
Big gap in income gains for 65+ versus working age populations in UK and France, with the increased cost of pensions for governments sending fiscal debts to unsustainable levels and crowding out other spending priorities
on.ft.com/46AUDjd
on.ft.com/46AUDjd
US CPI data is out: inflation continues rising, but the Fed will most likely cut next week due to labour market concerns
The tension between price stability and maximum employment will not ease quickly
More on the challenge facing the Fed, with lots of charts
Free-to-read: on.ft.com/41K2yIn
The tension between price stability and maximum employment will not ease quickly
More on the challenge facing the Fed, with lots of charts
Free-to-read: on.ft.com/41K2yIn
September 11, 2025 at 1:38 PM
US CPI data is out: inflation continues rising, but the Fed will most likely cut next week due to labour market concerns
The tension between price stability and maximum employment will not ease quickly
More on the challenge facing the Fed, with lots of charts
Free-to-read: on.ft.com/41K2yIn
The tension between price stability and maximum employment will not ease quickly
More on the challenge facing the Fed, with lots of charts
Free-to-read: on.ft.com/41K2yIn
Partly because both Trump and Manelson were close friends with Epstein?
on.ft.com/47D3G4e Peter Mandelson predicts fresh revelations about friendship with Jeffrey Epstein
on.ft.com/47D3G4e Peter Mandelson predicts fresh revelations about friendship with Jeffrey Epstein
September 10, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Partly because both Trump and Manelson were close friends with Epstein?
on.ft.com/47D3G4e Peter Mandelson predicts fresh revelations about friendship with Jeffrey Epstein
on.ft.com/47D3G4e Peter Mandelson predicts fresh revelations about friendship with Jeffrey Epstein
Hmm less good news for Thames Water customers like me and most Londoners, but I guess a price worth paying for all that sewage not going into the river now
September 10, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Hmm less good news for Thames Water customers like me and most Londoners, but I guess a price worth paying for all that sewage not going into the river now
It was only a matter of time I guess? The question is whether plunging share prices of these crypto hoarders will force crypto fire sales and push down crypto prices, potentially setting off further selling
www.ft.com/content/ad06...
www.ft.com/content/ad06...
September 10, 2025 at 8:43 AM
It was only a matter of time I guess? The question is whether plunging share prices of these crypto hoarders will force crypto fire sales and push down crypto prices, potentially setting off further selling
www.ft.com/content/ad06...
www.ft.com/content/ad06...
It was only a matter of time I guess? Question is whether the plunging shares of these crypto hoarders will force crypto fire sales and push down crypto prices
September 10, 2025 at 8:41 AM
It was only a matter of time I guess? Question is whether the plunging shares of these crypto hoarders will force crypto fire sales and push down crypto prices
We’ve constructed this @ FT Monetary Policy Radar not to make the point that the news as reported in the FT is mostly bad news, but rather how bad the news is in relative terms which is useful to know -- below is correlation with the Vix index
professional-monetary-policy-radar.ft.com
professional-monetary-policy-radar.ft.com
September 9, 2025 at 9:18 AM
We’ve constructed this @ FT Monetary Policy Radar not to make the point that the news as reported in the FT is mostly bad news, but rather how bad the news is in relative terms which is useful to know -- below is correlation with the Vix index
professional-monetary-policy-radar.ft.com
professional-monetary-policy-radar.ft.com
We're calling it the FT “macro mood” -- the figure shows average weekly sentiment since 1982, which is generally negative, with sentiment troughs highlighted
September 9, 2025 at 9:18 AM
We're calling it the FT “macro mood” -- the figure shows average weekly sentiment since 1982, which is generally negative, with sentiment troughs highlighted
Fascinating article on why demographic decline may not actually be good for the environment
One reason is that the decline in birth rates are concentrated amongst progressives, meaning the future may be more conservative
on.ft.com/47iURMX
One reason is that the decline in birth rates are concentrated amongst progressives, meaning the future may be more conservative
on.ft.com/47iURMX
August 29, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Fascinating article on why demographic decline may not actually be good for the environment
One reason is that the decline in birth rates are concentrated amongst progressives, meaning the future may be more conservative
on.ft.com/47iURMX
One reason is that the decline in birth rates are concentrated amongst progressives, meaning the future may be more conservative
on.ft.com/47iURMX
Ah ok sorry let me refer you to academic paper. Below and here figure 2 sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03881225...
August 24, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Ah ok sorry let me refer you to academic paper. Below and here figure 2 sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03881225...