Jason Nicholls
@jnmet.bsky.social
Lead International Forecaster/Senior Meteorologist/International forecasting manager @AccuWeather. Long range/global forecaster. NVU-Lyndon grad; proud dad
A cyclonic storm is likely to form in the Bay of Bengal later this week. Watching a low forming near #SriLanka & another low in the southern Andaman Sea. Varied solutions & tracks so details unclear but eventual impacts on eastern #India or #Bangladesh appear likely.
November 24, 2025 at 1:45 PM
A cyclonic storm is likely to form in the Bay of Bengal later this week. Watching a low forming near #SriLanka & another low in the southern Andaman Sea. Varied solutions & tracks so details unclear but eventual impacts on eastern #India or #Bangladesh appear likely.
Severe Tropical Cyclone #Fina is pushing into the northeast #Kimberley coast & will rapidly weaken over land Monday night & Tuesday, local time. However, areas of heavy rain are likely in the northeast Kimberley region through midweek.
November 24, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Severe Tropical Cyclone #Fina is pushing into the northeast #Kimberley coast & will rapidly weaken over land Monday night & Tuesday, local time. However, areas of heavy rain are likely in the northeast Kimberley region through midweek.
A TD, known as Verbena in the Philippines, has formed off NE #Mindanao. The depression will cross the southern and central #Philippines before reaching the South China Sea Tuesday night or Wednesday, local time.
November 24, 2025 at 8:19 AM
A TD, known as Verbena in the Philippines, has formed off NE #Mindanao. The depression will cross the southern and central #Philippines before reaching the South China Sea Tuesday night or Wednesday, local time.
A front will lead to locally strong thunderstorms from the Brazilian states of #Parana & #SaoPaulo to #MinasGerais & #RiodeJaneiro later Sunday & Monday. A subtropical low may form off Rio de Janeiro Tuesday or Wednesday.
November 23, 2025 at 3:12 PM
A front will lead to locally strong thunderstorms from the Brazilian states of #Parana & #SaoPaulo to #MinasGerais & #RiodeJaneiro later Sunday & Monday. A subtropical low may form off Rio de Janeiro Tuesday or Wednesday.
Low pressure organizing near #Palau will bring areas of heavy rain to portions of the #Philippines Monday through Wednesday, local time. The low can become a tropical storm around Visayas, the Sulu Sea or in the South China Sea early next week.
November 23, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Low pressure organizing near #Palau will bring areas of heavy rain to portions of the #Philippines Monday through Wednesday, local time. The low can become a tropical storm around Visayas, the Sulu Sea or in the South China Sea early next week.
Severe TC #Fina is in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and is a Cat 4 on the Australia scale or a Cat 3 hurricane equivalent on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Fina is expected to rapidly weaken near the Kimberley coast early next week but heavy rain and flooding will remain a threat.
November 23, 2025 at 8:46 AM
Severe TC #Fina is in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and is a Cat 4 on the Australia scale or a Cat 3 hurricane equivalent on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Fina is expected to rapidly weaken near the Kimberley coast early next week but heavy rain and flooding will remain a threat.
Low pressure over the southern Andaman Sea will intensify into a depression as it moves toward the southeast Bay of Bengal. The storm is expected to become a cyclonic storm before affecting eastern #India late next week or in early December.
November 22, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Low pressure over the southern Andaman Sea will intensify into a depression as it moves toward the southeast Bay of Bengal. The storm is expected to become a cyclonic storm before affecting eastern #India late next week or in early December.
A tropical low will form in the southern Andaman Sea this weekend, then gradually strengthen as it moves west-northwest. The low will likely strengthen to at least a cyclonic storm before impacting eastern #India late next week.
November 22, 2025 at 12:10 AM
A tropical low will form in the southern Andaman Sea this weekend, then gradually strengthen as it moves west-northwest. The low will likely strengthen to at least a cyclonic storm before impacting eastern #India late next week.
Raider Revolution handed these out to the substitute teachers at the high school today. Happy Substitute Teacher Appreciation Day to my fellow substitutes.
November 21, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Raider Revolution handed these out to the substitute teachers at the high school today. Happy Substitute Teacher Appreciation Day to my fellow substitutes.
For those making a fuss about Arabic numerals on social media. Arabic numerals, or more precisely, Hindu-Arabic numbers, were invented in India in the 5th century and then spread, becoming the numbers we use every day. Everyone in the US has been learning Arabic numbers since the nation's creation.
November 21, 2025 at 12:00 AM
For those making a fuss about Arabic numerals on social media. Arabic numerals, or more precisely, Hindu-Arabic numbers, were invented in India in the 5th century and then spread, becoming the numbers we use every day. Everyone in the US has been learning Arabic numbers since the nation's creation.
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) remaining stalled in phase 6 could result in tropical development in the vicinity of the #Philippines this weekend or early next week. Regardless there cane be areas of heavy rain in portions of the Philippines early next week.
November 20, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) remaining stalled in phase 6 could result in tropical development in the vicinity of the #Philippines this weekend or early next week. Regardless there cane be areas of heavy rain in portions of the Philippines early next week.
Strong piece of energy digging into the Mediterranean Sea next week does raise concerns for the possibility of a medicane late next week.
November 20, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Strong piece of energy digging into the Mediterranean Sea next week does raise concerns for the possibility of a medicane late next week.
A fresh low will form in the southeast Bay of Bengal this weekend and can strengthen to a cyclonic storm before possibly impacting eastern #India later next week.
November 20, 2025 at 10:45 AM
A fresh low will form in the southeast Bay of Bengal this weekend and can strengthen to a cyclonic storm before possibly impacting eastern #India later next week.
Moist onshore flow will continue to produce areas of heavy rain in south-central #Vietnam into Saturday, local time. The heaviest rain & severe flooding will continue in Binh Dinh, Phu Yen & Khanh Hoa provinces. Over 600 mm (24 inches) of rain has already fallen since Sunday.
November 19, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Moist onshore flow will continue to produce areas of heavy rain in south-central #Vietnam into Saturday, local time. The heaviest rain & severe flooding will continue in Binh Dinh, Phu Yen & Khanh Hoa provinces. Over 600 mm (24 inches) of rain has already fallen since Sunday.
Risk of tropical development in the western Philippine Sea this weekend or early next week. There is a risk of impacts in the #Philippines early next week. Potential for additional development near the Mariana Islands next weekend or early Dec.
November 19, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Risk of tropical development in the western Philippine Sea this weekend or early next week. There is a risk of impacts in the #Philippines early next week. Potential for additional development near the Mariana Islands next weekend or early Dec.
Area of low pressure near #Lakshadweep will remain weak as it drifts west. A fresh low will form in the southern Bay of Bengal this weekend & can strengthen to a cyclonic storm before approaching #AndhraPradesh later next week.
November 19, 2025 at 10:43 AM
Area of low pressure near #Lakshadweep will remain weak as it drifts west. A fresh low will form in the southern Bay of Bengal this weekend & can strengthen to a cyclonic storm before approaching #AndhraPradesh later next week.
TC Fina is north-northeast of #Darwin and is forecast to make landfall on Saturday which would make it the 2nd earliest landfalling TC into #Australia just behind Ines in 1973.
November 19, 2025 at 8:34 AM
TC Fina is north-northeast of #Darwin and is forecast to make landfall on Saturday which would make it the 2nd earliest landfalling TC into #Australia just behind Ines in 1973.
Tropical Cyclone #Fina has formed in northern #Australia and is forecast to make landfall in the #TopEnd on Saturday, local time. This would make Fina the second earliest landfalling cyclone in Australia since the satellite era began in 1970. TC Ines in 1973 is the earliest.
November 18, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Tropical Cyclone #Fina has formed in northern #Australia and is forecast to make landfall in the #TopEnd on Saturday, local time. This would make Fina the second earliest landfalling cyclone in Australia since the satellite era began in 1970. TC Ines in 1973 is the earliest.
Low pressure near the southern tip of India will enhance rain in far southern #India into Wednesday as it drifts into the southeast Arabian Sea. A new low will form in the southern Bay of Bengal this weekend, then can impact southern India next week.
November 18, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Low pressure near the southern tip of India will enhance rain in far southern #India into Wednesday as it drifts into the southeast Arabian Sea. A new low will form in the southern Bay of Bengal this weekend, then can impact southern India next week.
Tropical low 02U off northern #Australia is expected to strengthen to a tropical cyclone before making landfall in the Top End around Friday or Saturday, local time.
November 18, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Tropical low 02U off northern #Australia is expected to strengthen to a tropical cyclone before making landfall in the Top End around Friday or Saturday, local time.