Jeffrey H. Michaels
@jmichael424.bsky.social
Affiliated with King's College London, Oxford CCW, RAND Europe, and the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies.
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
Deterring with words? It’s cheaper, faster—and just as vital.
A new guide by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores how NATO and others have used (and misused) verbal warnings, from WWI to Ukraine.
📝 Read more:
hcss.nl/news/new-rep...
A new guide by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores how NATO and others have used (and misused) verbal warnings, from WWI to Ukraine.
📝 Read more:
hcss.nl/news/new-rep...
New report | Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO - HCSS
Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels explores how the success or failure of deterrence often...
hcss.nl
June 4, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Deterring with words? It’s cheaper, faster—and just as vital.
A new guide by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores how NATO and others have used (and misused) verbal warnings, from WWI to Ukraine.
📝 Read more:
hcss.nl/news/new-rep...
A new guide by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores how NATO and others have used (and misused) verbal warnings, from WWI to Ukraine.
📝 Read more:
hcss.nl/news/new-rep...
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
Not the most important point, but in the spirit of social media self-promotion going to note that cool stuff happens @maxwellsu.bsky.social & the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs even in the summer.
Great piece @michaelwilliams.bsky.social & @jmichael424.bsky.social
Great piece @michaelwilliams.bsky.social & @jmichael424.bsky.social
What if China doesn’t invade Taiwan the way we expect?
A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,
warontherocks.com
October 9, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Not the most important point, but in the spirit of social media self-promotion going to note that cool stuff happens @maxwellsu.bsky.social & the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs even in the summer.
Great piece @michaelwilliams.bsky.social & @jmichael424.bsky.social
Great piece @michaelwilliams.bsky.social & @jmichael424.bsky.social
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
Current Taiwan wargames may be preparing for the wrong war.
A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,
warontherocks.com
October 9, 2025 at 4:00 AM
Current Taiwan wargames may be preparing for the wrong war.
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
@thewavellroom.bsky.social kindly published my article on small arms and the challenges facing those British Army officers working on replacing SA80 as part of Project GRAYBURN.
wavellroom.com/2025/06/11/t...
wavellroom.com/2025/06/11/t...
The false promise of new technology: the British Army and the (new) calibre debate
Ammunition calibre. Should bullets be larger or smaller? It's key debate for thinking about warfare. Read one expert view .
wavellroom.com
June 11, 2025 at 11:27 AM
@thewavellroom.bsky.social kindly published my article on small arms and the challenges facing those British Army officers working on replacing SA80 as part of Project GRAYBURN.
wavellroom.com/2025/06/11/t...
wavellroom.com/2025/06/11/t...
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
🚨 The latest HCSS report by strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social is recommended by Retd Army Major General @warinthefuture.bsky.social Mick Ryan as one of the top five war and national security reads of the week:
The Big Five - 8 June edition
My regular update on global conflict. This week, a Pacific-focus with the Trump-Xi call, Chinese spies in Taiwan and a detailed look at Taiwan’s evolving version of Ukraine’s drone wall concept.
buff.ly
June 11, 2025 at 7:03 AM
🚨 The latest HCSS report by strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social is recommended by Retd Army Major General @warinthefuture.bsky.social Mick Ryan as one of the top five war and national security reads of the week:
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
🚨 Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said.
New report by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores the power—and pitfalls—of deterrence warning messages.
📘 Read more:
hcss.nl/report/deter...
New report by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores the power—and pitfalls—of deterrence warning messages.
📘 Read more:
hcss.nl/report/deter...
Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO - HCSS
Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels explores how the success or failure of deterrence often...
hcss.nl
June 3, 2025 at 8:12 AM
🚨 Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said.
New report by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores the power—and pitfalls—of deterrence warning messages.
📘 Read more:
hcss.nl/report/deter...
New report by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores the power—and pitfalls—of deterrence warning messages.
📘 Read more:
hcss.nl/report/deter...
I'm delighted to share my latest paper - "Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO" - published by @hcss.bsky.social
hcss.nl/wp-content/u...
@shashj.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social @ldfreedman.bsky.social @nktpnd.bsky.social @osinga.bsky.social @warmatters.bsky.social
hcss.nl/wp-content/u...
@shashj.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social @ldfreedman.bsky.social @nktpnd.bsky.social @osinga.bsky.social @warmatters.bsky.social
hcss.nl
June 2, 2025 at 2:22 PM
I'm delighted to share my latest paper - "Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO" - published by @hcss.bsky.social
hcss.nl/wp-content/u...
@shashj.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social @ldfreedman.bsky.social @nktpnd.bsky.social @osinga.bsky.social @warmatters.bsky.social
hcss.nl/wp-content/u...
@shashj.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social @ldfreedman.bsky.social @nktpnd.bsky.social @osinga.bsky.social @warmatters.bsky.social
Reposted by Jeffrey H. Michaels
🚨 Words matter: from WWI to Ukraine, poorly delivered warnings have often led to deterrence failure.
Coming this week: a new HCSS report by @jmichael424.bsky.social shows how NATO can get deterrence right—starting with communication.
Coming this week: a new HCSS report by @jmichael424.bsky.social shows how NATO can get deterrence right—starting with communication.
June 1, 2025 at 6:30 PM
🚨 Words matter: from WWI to Ukraine, poorly delivered warnings have often led to deterrence failure.
Coming this week: a new HCSS report by @jmichael424.bsky.social shows how NATO can get deterrence right—starting with communication.
Coming this week: a new HCSS report by @jmichael424.bsky.social shows how NATO can get deterrence right—starting with communication.
News agencies swarming to Bolivia to get a comment from Edward Luttwak!
If you declare martial law & several hours later the country’s principal news agency has as its main headline that parliament has repealed your martial law, and none of the provisions of that law have been enforced, then your coup has failed.
December 3, 2024 at 7:40 PM
News agencies swarming to Bolivia to get a comment from Edward Luttwak!
Another corker from Andrew Lambert
www.the-tls.co.uk/history/mode...
www.the-tls.co.uk/history/mode...
The Navy’s vital role in Britain’s past and future
The third and final instalment of N. A. M. Rodger’s erudite, engaging naval history of the British Isles places the Royal Navy at the centre of national
www.the-tls.co.uk
November 21, 2024 at 8:26 PM
Another corker from Andrew Lambert
www.the-tls.co.uk/history/mode...
www.the-tls.co.uk/history/mode...
