James Prentice
@jamespren.bsky.social
Researcher, likes data, graphs, infographics and telling stories with data. PhD in political analysis from Sussex uni - like all social science subjects. Mainly post about political analysis and my research within the Hastings & Rye area. Fabian member.
Reposted by James Prentice
🚨Data Update 🚨
We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP.
www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP.
www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
BES 2024 Random Probability Survey Release Note v1.0.1 - The British Election Study
www.britishelectionstudy.com
October 30, 2025 at 2:52 PM
🚨Data Update 🚨
We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP.
www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP.
www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
October 2, 2025 at 3:14 PM
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
September 30, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
Reposted by James Prentice
I'm pleased with the two books I bought today. Judith Dench is for book group. @jamespren.bsky.social author of Fixing Hastings and Rye, was busy at #hastingsbookfest hosted by the #ObserverBuilding
His insight and policy prescriptions for #Hastings and #Rye will be valuable to our community.
His insight and policy prescriptions for #Hastings and #Rye will be valuable to our community.
September 13, 2025 at 5:59 PM
I'm pleased with the two books I bought today. Judith Dench is for book group. @jamespren.bsky.social author of Fixing Hastings and Rye, was busy at #hastingsbookfest hosted by the #ObserverBuilding
His insight and policy prescriptions for #Hastings and #Rye will be valuable to our community.
His insight and policy prescriptions for #Hastings and #Rye will be valuable to our community.
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
September 12, 2025 at 2:49 PM
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
A short article I wrote on the housing crisis in Hastings & St Leonards. It goes through the latest data available (mostly obtained from HBC) and outlines the scale of the challenge the council faces.
www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
Fixing Hastings’ Housing crisis – a huge challenge.
Hastings Borough Council (HBC) has recently set out its desire to formulate a housing strategy that will address Hastings’ housing crisis. With an experienced and knowledgeable team forming to provide...
www.capturepolitics.co.uk
August 19, 2025 at 7:08 AM
A short article I wrote on the housing crisis in Hastings & St Leonards. It goes through the latest data available (mostly obtained from HBC) and outlines the scale of the challenge the council faces.
www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
June 25, 2025 at 7:50 AM
The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
Reposted by James Prentice
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-1)
LAB: 24% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 11-13 Jun.
Changes w/ 28-30 May.
RFM: 30% (-1)
LAB: 24% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 11-13 Jun.
Changes w/ 28-30 May.
June 17, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-1)
LAB: 24% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 11-13 Jun.
Changes w/ 28-30 May.
RFM: 30% (-1)
LAB: 24% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 11-13 Jun.
Changes w/ 28-30 May.
The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
June 13, 2025 at 9:05 AM
The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
Losing faith and giving up: voter turn out in the 2024 general election - UK in a changing Europe
James Prentice analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election.
ukandeu.ac.uk
June 10, 2025 at 8:39 AM
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
Reposted by James Prentice
Ahead of the government's Spending Review on Wednesday, the cost of living still comes top of British people's list of problems - both facing the country and them and their families.
At 23% Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives on 22% and Reform UK on 20% on best to deal with the issue.
At 23% Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives on 22% and Reform UK on 20% on best to deal with the issue.
June 9, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Ahead of the government's Spending Review on Wednesday, the cost of living still comes top of British people's list of problems - both facing the country and them and their families.
At 23% Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives on 22% and Reform UK on 20% on best to deal with the issue.
At 23% Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives on 22% and Reform UK on 20% on best to deal with the issue.
Reposted by James Prentice
"Turnout fell at the 2024 election. Across all constituencies, it declined by 7.6%, bringing it to a historic low of less than 65%."
✍️ @jamespren.bsky.social analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
✍️ @jamespren.bsky.social analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
Losing faith and giving up: voter turn out in the 2024 general election - UK in a changing Europe
James Prentice analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election.
ukandeu.ac.uk
June 9, 2025 at 10:42 AM
"Turnout fell at the 2024 election. Across all constituencies, it declined by 7.6%, bringing it to a historic low of less than 65%."
✍️ @jamespren.bsky.social analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
✍️ @jamespren.bsky.social analyses the reasons behind the record low level of voter turn out in the 2024 general election
ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith...
Reposted by James Prentice
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
Next week’s spending review must pass the ‘living standards test’, by ensuring key departments can raise incomes and reduce living costs.
Since the financial crisis, the rate of Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) growth has halved. 🧵
Next week’s spending review must pass the ‘living standards test’, by ensuring key departments can raise incomes and reduce living costs.
Since the financial crisis, the rate of Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) growth has halved. 🧵
June 6, 2025 at 9:00 AM
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
Next week’s spending review must pass the ‘living standards test’, by ensuring key departments can raise incomes and reduce living costs.
Since the financial crisis, the rate of Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) growth has halved. 🧵
Next week’s spending review must pass the ‘living standards test’, by ensuring key departments can raise incomes and reduce living costs.
Since the financial crisis, the rate of Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) growth has halved. 🧵
Reposted by James Prentice
Read Better off: A plan to improve living standards in one parliament, supported by @financialfairness.bsky.social 👇
Authored by:
@lukeraikes.bsky.social, @andrewharrop.bsky.social, @eloisesacares.bsky.social and @sasjkia.bsky.social
fabians.org.uk/publication/...
Authored by:
@lukeraikes.bsky.social, @andrewharrop.bsky.social, @eloisesacares.bsky.social and @sasjkia.bsky.social
fabians.org.uk/publication/...
Better off | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
fabians.org.uk
June 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Read Better off: A plan to improve living standards in one parliament, supported by @financialfairness.bsky.social 👇
Authored by:
@lukeraikes.bsky.social, @andrewharrop.bsky.social, @eloisesacares.bsky.social and @sasjkia.bsky.social
fabians.org.uk/publication/...
Authored by:
@lukeraikes.bsky.social, @andrewharrop.bsky.social, @eloisesacares.bsky.social and @sasjkia.bsky.social
fabians.org.uk/publication/...
Reposted by James Prentice
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
The last parliament saw living standards decline for the first time since records began.
Today we show how this government can do better than the last.
The last parliament saw living standards decline for the first time since records began.
Today we show how this government can do better than the last.
June 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
The last parliament saw living standards decline for the first time since records began.
Today we show how this government can do better than the last.
The last parliament saw living standards decline for the first time since records began.
Today we show how this government can do better than the last.
Reposted by James Prentice
Labour leaflet from 1951 c/o @markpackuk.bsky.social
June 5, 2025 at 7:38 AM
Labour leaflet from 1951 c/o @markpackuk.bsky.social
Reposted by James Prentice
No GP wants this, name another NHS service providing 20% more with 20% less funding, that gets as much flack & as little support
This is the problem
1/9 people waiting for hospital treatment
500k more people long term sick
2300 patients per GP - 500 more than 2016
20% less £
This is the problem
1/9 people waiting for hospital treatment
500k more people long term sick
2300 patients per GP - 500 more than 2016
20% less £
June 4, 2025 at 7:58 AM
No GP wants this, name another NHS service providing 20% more with 20% less funding, that gets as much flack & as little support
This is the problem
1/9 people waiting for hospital treatment
500k more people long term sick
2300 patients per GP - 500 more than 2016
20% less £
This is the problem
1/9 people waiting for hospital treatment
500k more people long term sick
2300 patients per GP - 500 more than 2016
20% less £
Only 1% of disadvantaged students in Hastings meet the higher standards in primary school testing, compared to 10+% across England. Needless to say that education outcomes for disadvantaged pupils in Hastings is generally poor. Early years inequality effects in education never ceases to amaze me.
June 4, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Only 1% of disadvantaged students in Hastings meet the higher standards in primary school testing, compared to 10+% across England. Needless to say that education outcomes for disadvantaged pupils in Hastings is generally poor. Early years inequality effects in education never ceases to amaze me.
The Conservatives lost their pro-Brexit coalition partly due to not being trusted to manage migration flows. Their decline sped up after the rise in small boat crossings and the decline in inflation. Labour doing poorly on the immigration issue could lose them leave voters they gained in 2024.
June 3, 2025 at 1:33 PM
The Conservatives lost their pro-Brexit coalition partly due to not being trusted to manage migration flows. Their decline sped up after the rise in small boat crossings and the decline in inflation. Labour doing poorly on the immigration issue could lose them leave voters they gained in 2024.
Reposted by James Prentice
Flows of support for parties since the election, via @markpack open.substack.com/pub/theweeki...
June 1, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Flows of support for parties since the election, via @markpack open.substack.com/pub/theweeki...
The pro-Brexit base the Conservatives secured in 2019 disintegrated across the last parliament. This shows just how difficult parties are finding to keep their support bases in tact in the UK. Therefore, Labour not retaining its 2024 base is a continuation of a longer term trend.
June 1, 2025 at 7:51 AM
The pro-Brexit base the Conservatives secured in 2019 disintegrated across the last parliament. This shows just how difficult parties are finding to keep their support bases in tact in the UK. Therefore, Labour not retaining its 2024 base is a continuation of a longer term trend.
Reposted by James Prentice
Voter movements visualised to May 2025
May 26, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Voter movements visualised to May 2025
Something I wrote about Labour's electoral strategy in the wake of the 2025 local election result was published by the @thefabians.bsky.social . I argue that Labour need to rethink its approach as the electoral landscape changes. #Reform #Labour #politics #election #UK #stratergy #analysis
High Stakes | Fabian Society
Fabian Society
fabians.org.uk
May 28, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Something I wrote about Labour's electoral strategy in the wake of the 2025 local election result was published by the @thefabians.bsky.social . I argue that Labour need to rethink its approach as the electoral landscape changes. #Reform #Labour #politics #election #UK #stratergy #analysis
People who voted in the the 2019 general election but chose not to participate in 2024 more often disapproved of all the party leaders. This displays a deep sense of apathy within the entire political system amongst those not voting. #voting #trust #politics #rating #party #Labour #Conservative
May 25, 2025 at 7:33 PM
People who voted in the 2019 UK general election but did not vote in 2024 more often felt No Party performed on the issues they most cared about (the economy and immigration). A lack of faith in government being able to deliver could be decreasing turnout. #Trust #Vote #politics #tunrout #graph
May 22, 2025 at 8:23 PM