Irish Polling Indicator
@irishpollingind.bsky.social
The Irish Polling Indicator combines all opinion polls into estimates of political support for Irish parties and Independents | Maintainer: @stefanmueller.bsky.social
https://pollingindicator.com
https://pollingindicator.com
Updated aggregated estimates:
Sinn Féin: 24% (22.5–25.5)
Fine Gael: 19.5% (18–20.5)
Fianna Fáil: 19% (18–20)
Ind/Oth: 13.5% (12–15)
Soc Dems: 7.5% (6.5–8.5)
Lab: 4.5% (4–5.5)
Aontú: 4% (3–5)
II: 3.5% (3–4.5)
SPBP: 2.5% (2–3)
GP: 2.5% (2–2.5)
➡️ pollingindicator.com
Sinn Féin: 24% (22.5–25.5)
Fine Gael: 19.5% (18–20.5)
Fianna Fáil: 19% (18–20)
Ind/Oth: 13.5% (12–15)
Soc Dems: 7.5% (6.5–8.5)
Lab: 4.5% (4–5.5)
Aontú: 4% (3–5)
II: 3.5% (3–4.5)
SPBP: 2.5% (2–3)
GP: 2.5% (2–2.5)
➡️ pollingindicator.com
October 26, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Updated aggregated estimates:
Sinn Féin: 24% (22.5–25.5)
Fine Gael: 19.5% (18–20.5)
Fianna Fáil: 19% (18–20)
Ind/Oth: 13.5% (12–15)
Soc Dems: 7.5% (6.5–8.5)
Lab: 4.5% (4–5.5)
Aontú: 4% (3–5)
II: 3.5% (3–4.5)
SPBP: 2.5% (2–3)
GP: 2.5% (2–2.5)
➡️ pollingindicator.com
Sinn Féin: 24% (22.5–25.5)
Fine Gael: 19.5% (18–20.5)
Fianna Fáil: 19% (18–20)
Ind/Oth: 13.5% (12–15)
Soc Dems: 7.5% (6.5–8.5)
Lab: 4.5% (4–5.5)
Aontú: 4% (3–5)
II: 3.5% (3–4.5)
SPBP: 2.5% (2–3)
GP: 2.5% (2–2.5)
➡️ pollingindicator.com
New blog post on party support, seven months after the general election: pollingindicator.com/blog/update-...
SF: 21.5% [20–23]
FF: 20.5% [19–21.5]
FG: 18% [16.5–19.5]
Ind/Oth: 15% [13.5–17]
SD: 7.5% [6.5–8.5]
LAB: 5% [4–5.5]
II: 4% [3–5]
AÚ: 3.5% [3–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2–3]
SF: 21.5% [20–23]
FF: 20.5% [19–21.5]
FG: 18% [16.5–19.5]
Ind/Oth: 15% [13.5–17]
SD: 7.5% [6.5–8.5]
LAB: 5% [4–5.5]
II: 4% [3–5]
AÚ: 3.5% [3–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2–3]
June 30, 2025 at 12:31 PM
New blog post on party support, seven months after the general election: pollingindicator.com/blog/update-...
SF: 21.5% [20–23]
FF: 20.5% [19–21.5]
FG: 18% [16.5–19.5]
Ind/Oth: 15% [13.5–17]
SD: 7.5% [6.5–8.5]
LAB: 5% [4–5.5]
II: 4% [3–5]
AÚ: 3.5% [3–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2–3]
SF: 21.5% [20–23]
FF: 20.5% [19–21.5]
FG: 18% [16.5–19.5]
Ind/Oth: 15% [13.5–17]
SD: 7.5% [6.5–8.5]
LAB: 5% [4–5.5]
II: 4% [3–5]
AÚ: 3.5% [3–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2–3]
The latest Irish Polling Indicator estimates, five months after the General Election:
SF: 24% [22.5–25.5]
FF: 22% [21–23]
FG: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Oth: 11.5% [10–13]
SD: 7% [6.5–8]
LAB: 4% [3.5–4.5]
II: 3.5% [3–4.5]
AÚ: 3.5% [2.5–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2.5–3]
➡️ pollingindicator.com
SF: 24% [22.5–25.5]
FF: 22% [21–23]
FG: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Oth: 11.5% [10–13]
SD: 7% [6.5–8]
LAB: 4% [3.5–4.5]
II: 3.5% [3–4.5]
AÚ: 3.5% [2.5–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2.5–3]
➡️ pollingindicator.com
![Graph showing most recent Irish Polling Indicator estimates:
SF: 24% [22.5–25.5]
FF: 22% [21–23]
FG: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Oth: 11.5% [10–13]
SD: 7% [6.5–8]
LAB: 4% [3.5–4.5]
II: 3.5% [3–4.5]
AÚ: 3.5% [2.5–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2.5–3]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cx6qyib4wwzztfs5mupqajth/bafkreidcbofqdvlw54stklqds472rlzc2ac4gfvamgaswvkqwez6oyepfa@jpeg)
April 29, 2025 at 11:13 AM
The latest Irish Polling Indicator estimates, five months after the General Election:
SF: 24% [22.5–25.5]
FF: 22% [21–23]
FG: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Oth: 11.5% [10–13]
SD: 7% [6.5–8]
LAB: 4% [3.5–4.5]
II: 3.5% [3–4.5]
AÚ: 3.5% [2.5–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2.5–3]
➡️ pollingindicator.com
SF: 24% [22.5–25.5]
FF: 22% [21–23]
FG: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Oth: 11.5% [10–13]
SD: 7% [6.5–8]
LAB: 4% [3.5–4.5]
II: 3.5% [3–4.5]
AÚ: 3.5% [2.5–4.5]
SPBP: 3% [2.5–3.5]
GP: 2.5% [2.5–3]
➡️ pollingindicator.com
The @theguardian.com summarised party support over the past three years based on the Irish Polling Indicator ⤵️
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/n...
#GE24
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/n...
#GE24
November 22, 2024 at 2:02 PM
The @theguardian.com summarised party support over the past three years based on the Irish Polling Indicator ⤵️
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/n...
#GE24
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/n...
#GE24
The article by @stefanmueller.bsky.social on RTÉ News from Sunday features the latest estimates and outlines the goal of the Irish Polling Indicator: to provide context for new polls rather than attempting to “compete” with pollsters or predict election outcomes.
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
#GE24
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
#GE24
November 19, 2024 at 2:21 PM
The article by @stefanmueller.bsky.social on RTÉ News from Sunday features the latest estimates and outlines the goal of the Irish Polling Indicator: to provide context for new polls rather than attempting to “compete” with pollsters or predict election outcomes.
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
#GE24
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
#GE24
Latest estimates after adding the new @thetimes.com/Opinions poll. ⤵️
Fine Gael: 22.5%–26%
Fianna Fáil: 19%–22%
Independents/Others: 17.5%–21.5%
Sinn Féin: 17.5%–20%
Social Democrats: 4%–6%
Labour: 3.5%–5%
Green Party: 3%–4.5%
Aontú: 2%–3%
Solidarity-PBP: 1.5%–2.5%
pollingindicator.com
Fine Gael: 22.5%–26%
Fianna Fáil: 19%–22%
Independents/Others: 17.5%–21.5%
Sinn Féin: 17.5%–20%
Social Democrats: 4%–6%
Labour: 3.5%–5%
Green Party: 3%–4.5%
Aontú: 2%–3%
Solidarity-PBP: 1.5%–2.5%
pollingindicator.com
November 18, 2024 at 1:52 PM
Latest estimates after adding the new @thetimes.com/Opinions poll. ⤵️
Fine Gael: 22.5%–26%
Fianna Fáil: 19%–22%
Independents/Others: 17.5%–21.5%
Sinn Féin: 17.5%–20%
Social Democrats: 4%–6%
Labour: 3.5%–5%
Green Party: 3%–4.5%
Aontú: 2%–3%
Solidarity-PBP: 1.5%–2.5%
pollingindicator.com
Fine Gael: 22.5%–26%
Fianna Fáil: 19%–22%
Independents/Others: 17.5%–21.5%
Sinn Féin: 17.5%–20%
Social Democrats: 4%–6%
Labour: 3.5%–5%
Green Party: 3%–4.5%
Aontú: 2%–3%
Solidarity-PBP: 1.5%–2.5%
pollingindicator.com
Updated estimates following the Ipsos B&A @irishtimes.bsky.social poll:
Fine Gael: 24% [22–26]
Fianna Fáil: 20.5% [18.5–22]
Independents/Oth: 19% [17–21]
Sinn Féin: 19% [17.5–20]
Soc Dems: 5% [4–6]
Labour: 4.5% [3.5–5]
Greens: 4% [3–4.5]
Aontú: 3% [2–3.5]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2.5]
pollingindicator.com
Fine Gael: 24% [22–26]
Fianna Fáil: 20.5% [18.5–22]
Independents/Oth: 19% [17–21]
Sinn Féin: 19% [17.5–20]
Soc Dems: 5% [4–6]
Labour: 4.5% [3.5–5]
Greens: 4% [3–4.5]
Aontú: 3% [2–3.5]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2.5]
pollingindicator.com
November 15, 2024 at 10:51 AM
Updated estimates following the Ipsos B&A @irishtimes.bsky.social poll:
Fine Gael: 24% [22–26]
Fianna Fáil: 20.5% [18.5–22]
Independents/Oth: 19% [17–21]
Sinn Féin: 19% [17.5–20]
Soc Dems: 5% [4–6]
Labour: 4.5% [3.5–5]
Greens: 4% [3–4.5]
Aontú: 3% [2–3.5]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2.5]
pollingindicator.com
Fine Gael: 24% [22–26]
Fianna Fáil: 20.5% [18.5–22]
Independents/Oth: 19% [17–21]
Sinn Féin: 19% [17.5–20]
Soc Dems: 5% [4–6]
Labour: 4.5% [3.5–5]
Greens: 4% [3–4.5]
Aontú: 3% [2–3.5]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2.5]
pollingindicator.com
Just in time for #GE24, say hi to @irishpollingind.bsky.social. 👋
Latest estimates:
Fine Gael 23.5% [22–25]
Fianna Fáil: 22.5% [20.5–24]
Sinn Féin: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Others: 18.5% [17–20]
Soc Dems: 4.5% [4–5.5]
Greens: 4%. [3.5–5]
Labour: 4% [3.5–4.5]
Aontú: 2.5% [1.5–3]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2]
Latest estimates:
Fine Gael 23.5% [22–25]
Fianna Fáil: 22.5% [20.5–24]
Sinn Féin: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Others: 18.5% [17–20]
Soc Dems: 4.5% [4–5.5]
Greens: 4%. [3.5–5]
Labour: 4% [3.5–4.5]
Aontú: 2.5% [1.5–3]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2]
November 13, 2024 at 9:28 PM
Just in time for #GE24, say hi to @irishpollingind.bsky.social. 👋
Latest estimates:
Fine Gael 23.5% [22–25]
Fianna Fáil: 22.5% [20.5–24]
Sinn Féin: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Others: 18.5% [17–20]
Soc Dems: 4.5% [4–5.5]
Greens: 4%. [3.5–5]
Labour: 4% [3.5–4.5]
Aontú: 2.5% [1.5–3]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2]
Latest estimates:
Fine Gael 23.5% [22–25]
Fianna Fáil: 22.5% [20.5–24]
Sinn Féin: 18.5% [17.5–20]
Ind/Others: 18.5% [17–20]
Soc Dems: 4.5% [4–5.5]
Greens: 4%. [3.5–5]
Labour: 4% [3.5–4.5]
Aontú: 2.5% [1.5–3]
S-PBP: 2% [1.5–2]