Guilherme Duarte
guilhermeduarte.bsky.social
Guilherme Duarte
@guilhermeduarte.bsky.social
Postdoc researcher, incoming Assistant Professor (@Harvard -- Government). PhD (@Wharton - @Penn). interests: causality, ML
I mean, without major assumptions.
October 26, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Interesting that out of the MHE's bag of tricks approach, the only design that definitely identifies a basic interventional estimand such as the ATE is SOB. Imbens & Angrist's IV identifies the CACE, RDDs identify cutoff estimands, and DID identifies ATT, but none of them identifies the ATE.
October 26, 2025 at 11:49 PM
If you have a massive disagreement on which DAGs were valid, but you don't use or get DAGs, then the work to solve those disagreement is just herculean
October 26, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Lisp is so great!
January 5, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Obrigado mesmo, Eduardo. Aprendi muito com os seus papers.
December 18, 2024 at 2:27 PM
Thank you Jacob for your words
December 18, 2024 at 2:26 PM
Thank you so much Lorena!
December 18, 2024 at 2:26 PM
Obrigado mesmo Jamil. Fiquei ausente por um tempo por causa do market. Mas logo logo vamos tomar um café
December 17, 2024 at 9:45 PM
Thank you so much Melody. And thanks a lot for your help during this process
December 17, 2024 at 9:45 PM
Thank you so much Mike. It was really great to meet you at Polmeth
December 17, 2024 at 9:44 PM
Obrigado mesmo Guilherme!!!
December 17, 2024 at 9:44 PM
Congrats Anton! This is excellent for you and for Madison!
December 17, 2024 at 4:27 PM
Just did, Claudia. Good to see you here.
December 4, 2024 at 5:16 PM
A clear example is the Russian Roulette case proposed by Anders Huitfeldt, and then studied by Pearl and Cinelli (2021). Unfortunately, Anders, Carlos Cinelli, and Pearl don't seem to be here on bsky
November 15, 2024 at 11:11 PM
In fact, no regression method can ensure external validity by itself. You need structural and sometimes functional assumptions. I feel like people in causal inference usually use the CATE invariance assumption. But in many cases this is not 100% guaranteed.
November 15, 2024 at 11:04 PM