People aren't focussed then. It takes proximity to the election to get their attention. Many of them you never get.

Mt Stapylton radar working normally. Storms did pop up suddenly, almost out of nowhere.

I think people re-evaluated Dutton in the light of newly inaugurated Trump, and didn't like what they saw. 'It was the great Labor campaign (and terrible Dutton one),' Savva. Partly, but hardly entirely. The LNP support crash started long before the campaign did.

Or something other than Karenia is (also?) involved.

Point: If you ask people why they voted the way they did, after the event, and give them a menu of political wonk 'likely reasons' to choose from, you're probably not going to get to the nub. Something major changed in #Auspol, quite suddenly, and they appear to have missed it.

Single month CPI changes, by themselves, are almost meaningless. But the *trend* isn't.

Both can be true ... oh, wait.

Land use change flat ... how was that measured?

(YIK, that one is actually measured, but the methodology has been widely criticised. Anything improved?)

Energy fugitive emissions down ... how was that "measured"?

So we'd be largely back to two party preferred, where Ms Ley really isn't doing all that bad, comparatively.

Would a new leader and a couple of years of high inflation and high interest rates be enough to give the LNP a chance in 2028? Everyone's already written them off; not obvious to me why.

If Hanson peaks below 20% (likely) that'd only be worth a handfull of seats.

Thanks for your work, again.

Some car brake pads in Australia still contained asbestos as late as 2003. One-time state asbestos regulator colleague once told me that was all brown asbestos (amosite), so 'not a problem'. Wrong, and wrong. (He was wrong rather often. Worryingly so.)

(This case is white asbestos -- chrysotile.)

I guess maybe given the play-sand asbestos 'scare' (not quite beat-up), another asbestos detection is of interest. But this is a minor use, in infrequently operated access lifts, which, if anything like the rack-and-pinion maintenance lifts I've ridden, don't even regularly use the brakes.

Even if we had voting for 16 year olds (which the UK is moving to implement), this challenge might have a better chance. Perhaps if there were again a bill before parliament to implement that, the High Court might be inclined to injuct, awaiting its outcome.

More.
bsky.app/profile/josh...

Seems to me the challenge likely fails, on the time interval between 15 years old and first direct involvement in our democracy at 18, and perhaps separately on a carve-out for reasonable government action for unrelated (i.e. not political communication) reasons.

But if, just say, it had been…