"Black, Hispanic and Asian adults are more likely than White adults to say they’d choose to live in the near or distant future."

Of the scenarios below, the authors already see the US as having entered soft authoritarianism, with oscillations between the first 2 scenarios in coming years.

In 2008 I put the US on the list of potential future opponents of Canada in conflict. This was what I said back then. (I saw probability rising starting in 2016, with the US or with successor portions of it.)

"While Canada publicly emphasizes potential challenges to its Arctic sovereignty from Russia or China, many analysts (and many northerners) believe that the United States ... is perhaps the larger threat."