Geofutures
geofutures.bsky.social
Geofutures
@geofutures.bsky.social
400 followers 350 following 890 posts
Foresight in geopolitics and social issues, with an eye on science fiction
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Megamind," which came out 15 years ago today. Of the relevant supervillain technologies, only drones and brain-linked tech have advanced much in the interim.
Bill Gates -- “Although climate change will have serious consequences — particularly for people in the poorest countries — it will not lead to humanity’s demise. People will be able to live and thrive in most places on Earth for the foreseeable future.” www.nytimes.com/2025/10/28/c...
Bill Gates Says Climate Change ‘Will Not Lead to Humanity’s Demise’
www.nytimes.com
And once again, an ominous tech activity named after something in Tolkien.
I glimpsed them going by this time -- it is the Blue Angels
I wouldn't characterize the Stratcom leader as "competent," given that he gives terrible advice about preemption that would cause the US to be destroyed.
"Perhaps the most terrifying aspect of Mr. Farage in power is peculiar to Britain. Unlike Mr. Trump, he would have no formal constitution — no rigorous system of checks and balances — to stand in his way. He does not even have a political party to constrain him." www.nytimes.com/2025/10/27/o...
Opinion | Could This Unserious, Mischievous, Frightening Man Be Britain’s Next Prime Minister?
www.nytimes.com
I mean, the Secretary of Defense doesn’t even warn his daughter in Chicago when they talk on the phone, when this absolutely could save her life.
Also, everyone acts like a nuclear weapon makes a city disappear, but most people in Chicago would live if you set off a typical nuclear weapon there. Warning people to take cover would make a significant difference, preventing hundreds of thousands of deaths and injuries.
Main problem: the President gets terrible advice, as the only sensible tactical and strategic course is to see what the strike on Chicago is, then see what happens. As characters note, launching a general counterstrike strongly increases the danger that the US will be destroyed.
Futurist at the movies microreview: "A House of Dynamite." This is the second-best futurist film of 2025 so far, despite the present-day focus and some problems I spell out in this thread.
Futurist at the movies microreview: "Coherence" (2013).
"The risks of violence in any post-Maduro scenario should not be downplayed. Many senior military officers could resist regime change. Even with a deal on the terms of a transition, it is not inconceivable that parts of the security forces could rebel."
"Any incoming post-Maduro government will have to deal with a dysfunctional, politicised bureaucracy; a major economic and humanitarian crisis; and collapsed infrastructure. It would be hard-pressed to maintain stability if it is simultaneously subjected to a campaign of political violence."
Futurist at the movies microreview: “The Quiet Earth,” a New Zealand film that came out 40 years ago, in which an exotic energy project appears to eliminate everyone who was not dying at the moment of activation.
The new White House Christmas snow globe just dropped.
Futurist at the movies microreview: "The Angry Red Planet" (1959). A woman scientist is harassed by a hairy creature on the first voyage to Mars -- but that's just her commander. Then they get to Mars and encounter aliens etc.
I could not stand that level of annual exposure to bananas.
I wonder how that compares with the vast amounts of radiation we put into the atmosphere in 20th century nuclear tests.