Evan Rosenman
@evanrosenman.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Statistics @ Claremont McKenna
Socialist bros: look, all that terrorizing minority communities and crippling state capacity and destroying public health wasn't *great* but have you considered that when Trump praised Mamdani it made us feel anti-establishment warm & fuzzies?
bsky.app/profile/corn...
bsky.app/profile/corn...
November 22, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Socialist bros: look, all that terrorizing minority communities and crippling state capacity and destroying public health wasn't *great* but have you considered that when Trump praised Mamdani it made us feel anti-establishment warm & fuzzies?
bsky.app/profile/corn...
bsky.app/profile/corn...
LA Fire Department doing its part to solve the fertility crisis.
November 15, 2025 at 6:30 PM
LA Fire Department doing its part to solve the fertility crisis.
I don’t think it was wise to end the shutdown, and I also think anyone who wants to primary Cortez-Masto and Rosen does not actually want to wield power.
November 10, 2025 at 6:36 AM
I don’t think it was wise to end the shutdown, and I also think anyone who wants to primary Cortez-Masto and Rosen does not actually want to wield power.
Calamitous.
Consider the consternation over redistricting in MD. This is likely worth the same # of seats in expectation.
bsky.app/profile/the-...
Consider the consternation over redistricting in MD. This is likely worth the same # of seats in expectation.
bsky.app/profile/the-...
Democratic Rep. Jared Golden, facing a primary challenge from state Auditor Matt Dunlap, says he won't seek reelection in #ME02
Jared Golden: I won’t seek reelection. Here’s why.
"What I could accomplish in this increasingly unproductive Congress pales in comparison to what I could do in that time as a husband, a father and a son."
www.bangordailynews.com
November 5, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Calamitous.
Consider the consternation over redistricting in MD. This is likely worth the same # of seats in expectation.
bsky.app/profile/the-...
Consider the consternation over redistricting in MD. This is likely worth the same # of seats in expectation.
bsky.app/profile/the-...
Not normally one to dunk on Matt Yglesias, but points (2) and (3) seem to have been written before the election and are predicated on thinking there is a large distinction between Spanberger's 14.6 point win and Sherrill's 13 point win?
November 5, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Not normally one to dunk on Matt Yglesias, but points (2) and (3) seem to have been written before the election and are predicated on thinking there is a large distinction between Spanberger's 14.6 point win and Sherrill's 13 point win?
Rather insane that Dems went from 34/100 seats in the VA HoD in 2016 to 63 seats in 2025.
Dems are also leading in 57/80 seats in the NJ General Assembly, which would be their biggest majority in half a century.
Dems are also leading in 57/80 seats in the NJ General Assembly, which would be their biggest majority in half a century.
November 5, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Rather insane that Dems went from 34/100 seats in the VA HoD in 2016 to 63 seats in 2025.
Dems are also leading in 57/80 seats in the NJ General Assembly, which would be their biggest majority in half a century.
Dems are also leading in 57/80 seats in the NJ General Assembly, which would be their biggest majority in half a century.
There will be 14 incumbent female governors next year (10D, 4R), tying the all-time record set for a few weeks in late 2024.
November 5, 2025 at 2:45 AM
There will be 14 incumbent female governors next year (10D, 4R), tying the all-time record set for a few weeks in late 2024.
All of the gay bars in Palm Springs have transformed into sports bars due to Game 7.
November 2, 2025 at 4:11 AM
All of the gay bars in Palm Springs have transformed into sports bars due to Game 7.
A Democratic party rising to the moment is one that redistricts Maryland. But it's also one that forces out Matt Dunlap.
November 1, 2025 at 12:52 AM
A Democratic party rising to the moment is one that redistricts Maryland. But it's also one that forces out Matt Dunlap.
This seems like a pretty reasonable analysis of their data, so naturally it's yielding a deranged response.
bsky.app/profile/laks...
bsky.app/profile/laks...
October 24, 2025 at 10:35 PM
This seems like a pretty reasonable analysis of their data, so naturally it's yielding a deranged response.
bsky.app/profile/laks...
bsky.app/profile/laks...
Reposted by Evan Rosenman
yeah it is not “liberal censoriousness” to think that you shouldn’t nominate the guy without the sense to not get a nazi tattoo and then not remove it
October 21, 2025 at 1:27 PM
yeah it is not “liberal censoriousness” to think that you shouldn’t nominate the guy without the sense to not get a nazi tattoo and then not remove it
One can want a less censorious Democratic party -- and one that runs a more ideologically heterogeneous candidate slate -- while still thinking *some things* are disqualifying.
October 21, 2025 at 8:08 PM
One can want a less censorious Democratic party -- and one that runs a more ideologically heterogeneous candidate slate -- while still thinking *some things* are disqualifying.
Notable that Dems are keeping pace with Republicans in ballot return rates for Prop 50 so far. Mail vote is D+23. It was D+19 at the end of EV in 2024.
October 17, 2025 at 10:47 PM
Notable that Dems are keeping pace with Republicans in ballot return rates for Prop 50 so far. Mail vote is D+23. It was D+19 at the end of EV in 2024.
A record 96 Democratic women will soon simultaneously be serving in the House.
bsky.app/profile/tani...
bsky.app/profile/tani...
RESULT: Adelita Grijalva is heading to Congress.
The Democrat has won the #AZ07 special election very easily, and she will replace her father Raúl Grijalva. AP just called it.
Among other things, Grijalva is expected to be the 218th person to sign the Epstein discharge position.
The Democrat has won the #AZ07 special election very easily, and she will replace her father Raúl Grijalva. AP just called it.
Among other things, Grijalva is expected to be the 218th person to sign the Epstein discharge position.
September 24, 2025 at 3:19 AM
A record 96 Democratic women will soon simultaneously be serving in the House.
bsky.app/profile/tani...
bsky.app/profile/tani...
Has anyone figured out which polling weights contribute to G. Elliott Morris's Trump approval tracker being consistently 3-4 points to the left of Nate Silver's tracker?
September 23, 2025 at 8:06 PM
Has anyone figured out which polling weights contribute to G. Elliott Morris's Trump approval tracker being consistently 3-4 points to the left of Nate Silver's tracker?
Jeff Hiller beat Harrison Ford?!
September 15, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Jeff Hiller beat Harrison Ford?!
Lord save us:
"Paramount is on the verge of acquiring Bari Weiss’s The Free Press and tossing her the keys to CBS News. The deal is on the 1-yard line, I’m told."
"Paramount is on the verge of acquiring Bari Weiss’s The Free Press and tossing her the keys to CBS News. The deal is on the 1-yard line, I’m told."
The Bari Market
With Paramount securely in his pocket, David Ellison is on the verge of acquiring Bari Weiss’s The Free Press and tossing her the keys to CBS News. The deal is on the 1-yard line, I’m told.
puck.news
September 4, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Why is it that progressives support upzoning and moderates oppose it on the LA City Council, but the dynamic is typically the inverse on the SF Board of Supervisors?
August 20, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Why is it that progressives support upzoning and moderates oppose it on the LA City Council, but the dynamic is typically the inverse on the SF Board of Supervisors?
Buffy rewatch was an excellent idea.
August 17, 2025 at 7:52 PM
Buffy rewatch was an excellent idea.
I'm thrilled he is running, but it's a little excessive that I have received 17 Roy Cooper fundraising emails in the past 9 hours.
July 28, 2025 at 9:27 PM
I'm thrilled he is running, but it's a little excessive that I have received 17 Roy Cooper fundraising emails in the past 9 hours.
Reposted by Evan Rosenman
The impossible has become possible: we've passed a clean CEQA infill exemption. This is probably the most important thing California has done on housing in the present YIMBY moment.
July 1, 2025 at 12:32 AM
The impossible has become possible: we've passed a clean CEQA infill exemption. This is probably the most important thing California has done on housing in the present YIMBY moment.
Reposted by Evan Rosenman
"Abundance"--aka getting big shit built quicker--and fighting oligarchs and corporate power are not in opposition.
This is just an exceedingly stupid position that some have taken up, honestly mostly to preserve their own sources of funding or klout.
This is just an exceedingly stupid position that some have taken up, honestly mostly to preserve their own sources of funding or klout.
June 10, 2025 at 4:51 PM
"Abundance"--aka getting big shit built quicker--and fighting oligarchs and corporate power are not in opposition.
This is just an exceedingly stupid position that some have taken up, honestly mostly to preserve their own sources of funding or klout.
This is just an exceedingly stupid position that some have taken up, honestly mostly to preserve their own sources of funding or klout.
I believe my state senator, @senatorsrp.bsky.social just said on the senate floor that she is voting yes on #SB79!
June 4, 2025 at 2:34 AM
I believe my state senator, @senatorsrp.bsky.social just said on the senate floor that she is voting yes on #SB79!