Nick Thoreson
banner
duckingthetax.bsky.social
Nick Thoreson
@duckingthetax.bsky.social
NBA salary cap projections for all 30 teams. Looking for opportunities in basketball. [email protected] for inquiries
Would expect Philly to do something with respect to their final roster spot soon, whether that is just a 10 day or a conversion. Only 2 more Under 15 games left, which would go to 0 after tomorrow’s game assuming both Walker and Barlow are active.
January 23, 2026 at 4:54 PM
I have a Two Way Active Tracker on the Ducking The Tax site. Wrote about it and can find the link in last week’s Waive And Stretch.

open.substack.com/pub/duckingt...
December 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Wrote about this dilution a while ago when expansion was first making the rounds. The more sales that take place the less sure I am there will be expansion. New owners buying at exorbitant prices are probably planning on holding for a while, where the cons of expansion might outweigh the pros.
NBA expansion might not be so imminent after all?

"Several owners would, at present, rather begin collecting and splitting the massive new revenues among the existing teams, rather than bringing in new partners that would also receive a cut of the financial pie."

www.nytimes.com/athletic/649...
As NBA’s board of governors meets Tuesday, is it ready to move forward on expansion?
The appetite for adding new NBA teams might not be as strong as previously believed.
www.nytimes.com
July 15, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Reposted by Nick Thoreson
As @duckingthetax.bsky.social noted, $250M is *not* the full 30% figure that Chet could have received if he wins MVP/DPOY or makes All-NBA.

Based on the current $165M cap projection for 2026-27, that would have been around $287M.
FROM SHAMS:

Breaking: Oklahoma City Thunder star and NBA champion Chet Holmgren has agreed to a fully guaranteed five-year maximum rookie contract extension that could reach $250 million, agent Bill Duffy of WME Basketball told ESPN. https://t.co/PsdxZq275C
Tweet
FROM SHAMS: Breaking: Oklahoma City Thunder star and NBA champion Chet Holmgren has agreed to a fully guaranteed five-year maximum rookie contract extension that could reach $250 million, agent Bill Duffy of WME Basketball told ESPN. https://t.co/PsdxZq275C
twitter.com
July 9, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Could reach $250 mil is interesting. Would imply All NBA/DPOY escalator but not the full 30%. Looks like close to 26%?
FROM SHAMS:

Breaking: Oklahoma City Thunder star and NBA champion Chet Holmgren has agreed to a fully guaranteed five-year maximum rookie contract extension that could reach $250 million, agent Bill Duffy of WME Basketball told ESPN. https://t.co/PsdxZq275C
Tweet
FROM SHAMS: Breaking: Oklahoma City Thunder star and NBA champion Chet Holmgren has agreed to a fully guaranteed five-year maximum rookie contract extension that could reach $250 million, agent Bill Duffy of WME Basketball told ESPN. https://t.co/PsdxZq275C
twitter.com
July 9, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Reposted by Nick Thoreson
New Waive and Stretch is out! Discussed the Nets/Lakers trade and the upcoming decisions around the Jan 7th guarantee deadline.
open.substack.com/pub/duckingt...
The Waive and Stretch: Nets Continue The Fire Sale, The Upcoming Guarantee Deadline, And More
Welcome back to another edition of The Waive and Stretch Newsletter.
open.substack.com
December 30, 2024 at 12:20 AM
New Waive and Stretch is out! Discussed the Nets/Lakers trade and the upcoming decisions around the Jan 7th guarantee deadline.
open.substack.com/pub/duckingt...
The Waive and Stretch: Nets Continue The Fire Sale, The Upcoming Guarantee Deadline, And More
Welcome back to another edition of The Waive and Stretch Newsletter.
open.substack.com
December 30, 2024 at 12:20 AM
A DOUBLE BANG
December 26, 2024 at 3:30 AM
Did we get a court rusher before that commercial?
December 20, 2024 at 3:32 AM
This game flipped quickly. Brutal second quarter for the Wolves.
December 20, 2024 at 3:29 AM
Pistons are announcing themselves as the “third team” this trade deadline. You need wiggle room to get under the apron(s) to get a deal done or a team to take some unwanted salary? Call Detroit. They now have $14 mil in cap space and another $7.98 million in the Room MLE.
December 14, 2024 at 8:25 PM
They are short about $1.42 million of the salary floor. They have until the end of day tomorrow to hit it per the CBA.
By my math, the Pistons might actually have to guarantee a little more than what his dead cap hit would be to get to the salary floor. But DET will have 2 roster spots and ~$14 mil in cap space.
FROM SHAMS:

The Detroit Pistons are waiving center Paul Reed, sources tell ESPN. In 12 games, Reed has averaged 4.8 points and 2.3 rebounds in 10 minutes. The move was made to give Detroit roster and salary flexibility with the NBA trade deadline less than two months away. https://t.co/93AOdymJXP
December 14, 2024 at 8:20 PM
By my math, the Pistons might actually have to guarantee a little more than what his dead cap hit would be to get to the salary floor. But DET will have 2 roster spots and ~$14 mil in cap space.
FROM SHAMS:

The Detroit Pistons are waiving center Paul Reed, sources tell ESPN. In 12 games, Reed has averaged 4.8 points and 2.3 rebounds in 10 minutes. The move was made to give Detroit roster and salary flexibility with the NBA trade deadline less than two months away. https://t.co/93AOdymJXP
Tweet
FROM SHAMS: The Detroit Pistons are waiving center Paul Reed, sources tell ESPN. In 12 games, Reed has averaged 4.8 points and 2.3 rebounds in 10 minutes. The move was made to give Detroit roster and salary flexibility with the NBA trade deadline less than two months away. https://t.co/93AOdymJXP
twitter.com
December 14, 2024 at 8:19 PM
A foul???
December 12, 2024 at 5:09 AM
Will be in the gym tonight for the Bucks Magic quarterfinal tonight.
December 10, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Special 4th quarter last night from Jalen Suggs. Terrific on both ends, but especially on offense given the offensive load he’s had to take on with no Franz/Paolo.
December 9, 2024 at 6:38 PM
Khris Middleton, still good at basketball
December 7, 2024 at 1:05 AM
Reposted by Nick Thoreson
New Waive and Stretch! Took a look at the play Dalano Banton, the Magic leaning on their size without Paolo, and added a Trade Bonus Tracker to the site.
open.substack.com/pub/duckingt...
The Waive and Stretch: Dalano Banton Earning Minutes, The Orlando Magic's Size Advantage, Trade Bonus Tracker, And More
Welcome back to another edition of The Waive and Stretch Newsletter.
open.substack.com
December 2, 2024 at 4:35 PM
New Waive and Stretch! Took a look at the play Dalano Banton, the Magic leaning on their size without Paolo, and added a Trade Bonus Tracker to the site.
open.substack.com/pub/duckingt...
The Waive and Stretch: Dalano Banton Earning Minutes, The Orlando Magic's Size Advantage, Trade Bonus Tracker, And More
Welcome back to another edition of The Waive and Stretch Newsletter.
open.substack.com
December 2, 2024 at 4:35 PM
Just so hard to score on Orlando. Especially with this Bitadze/Carter frontcourt starting lineup. So much size everywhere.
December 1, 2024 at 8:59 PM
Tough fall for Austin Reaves there, didn’t look good.
November 30, 2024 at 3:59 AM