Doug Analytics
@doug-analytics.bsky.social
NFL Analytics & Graphics | wAtCh tHe FiLm
Strength of Schedule Comparison
Games against Top 10 teams*
• Patriots: 2 (Bills x2)
• Texans: 8
Games against Bottom 10 teams*
• Patriots: 10
• Texans: 4
*based on 10k season simulations
Games against Top 10 teams*
• Patriots: 2 (Bills x2)
• Texans: 8
Games against Bottom 10 teams*
• Patriots: 10
• Texans: 4
*based on 10k season simulations
November 14, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Strength of Schedule Comparison
Games against Top 10 teams*
• Patriots: 2 (Bills x2)
• Texans: 8
Games against Bottom 10 teams*
• Patriots: 10
• Texans: 4
*based on 10k season simulations
Games against Top 10 teams*
• Patriots: 2 (Bills x2)
• Texans: 8
Games against Bottom 10 teams*
• Patriots: 10
• Texans: 4
*based on 10k season simulations
Rushing Success Rates
(weeks 1-10)
The Rams run Outside Zone on just 20% of their rushes (21st most) but are successful on 65%, the highest success rate for any team by 18%(!) (2nd: DEN — 47%).
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
(weeks 1-10)
The Rams run Outside Zone on just 20% of their rushes (21st most) but are successful on 65%, the highest success rate for any team by 18%(!) (2nd: DEN — 47%).
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
November 14, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Rushing Success Rates
(weeks 1-10)
The Rams run Outside Zone on just 20% of their rushes (21st most) but are successful on 65%, the highest success rate for any team by 18%(!) (2nd: DEN — 47%).
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
(weeks 1-10)
The Rams run Outside Zone on just 20% of their rushes (21st most) but are successful on 65%, the highest success rate for any team by 18%(!) (2nd: DEN — 47%).
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
How often do defenses rush or drop unexpected players?
(weeks 1-7)
If I were a defensive coordinator I would simply be in the top right
(weeks 1-7)
If I were a defensive coordinator I would simply be in the top right
October 24, 2025 at 7:41 PM
How often do defenses rush or drop unexpected players?
(weeks 1-7)
If I were a defensive coordinator I would simply be in the top right
(weeks 1-7)
If I were a defensive coordinator I would simply be in the top right
Rate and EPA/Play for QBs out of the pocket
• Joe Flacco does not like being outside the pocket
• Dart & Maye with some elite QBs 👀
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
• Joe Flacco does not like being outside the pocket
• Dart & Maye with some elite QBs 👀
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
October 24, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Rate and EPA/Play for QBs out of the pocket
• Joe Flacco does not like being outside the pocket
• Dart & Maye with some elite QBs 👀
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
• Joe Flacco does not like being outside the pocket
• Dart & Maye with some elite QBs 👀
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
Average # of Pass Rushers
(by pre-snap alignment)
The Chiefs average 4.97 pass rushers per play and send a DB every ~6 plays, both the highest rates in the league.
(by pre-snap alignment)
The Chiefs average 4.97 pass rushers per play and send a DB every ~6 plays, both the highest rates in the league.
October 23, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Average # of Pass Rushers
(by pre-snap alignment)
The Chiefs average 4.97 pass rushers per play and send a DB every ~6 plays, both the highest rates in the league.
(by pre-snap alignment)
The Chiefs average 4.97 pass rushers per play and send a DB every ~6 plays, both the highest rates in the league.
Rushing Success Rates (Weeks 1–7)
League average success rates:
• Man/Duo — 41.2%
• Outside Zone — 37.6%
• Inside Zone — 38.9%
• Power — 38.4%
• Counter — 43.1%
• QB Sneak — 72.1%
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
League average success rates:
• Man/Duo — 41.2%
• Outside Zone — 37.6%
• Inside Zone — 38.9%
• Power — 38.4%
• Counter — 43.1%
• QB Sneak — 72.1%
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
October 23, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Rushing Success Rates (Weeks 1–7)
League average success rates:
• Man/Duo — 41.2%
• Outside Zone — 37.6%
• Inside Zone — 38.9%
• Power — 38.4%
• Counter — 43.1%
• QB Sneak — 72.1%
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
League average success rates:
• Man/Duo — 41.2%
• Outside Zone — 37.6%
• Inside Zone — 38.9%
• Power — 38.4%
• Counter — 43.1%
• QB Sneak — 72.1%
Data: @ftnfantasy.com
Time to Throw DEEP and SHORT
(weeks 1-7 pre-MNF)
Every QB has a higher average Time to Throw on attempts 20+ air yards than <10 air yards.
Caleb Williams TTT
• 20+ air yards: 4.60s
• <10 air yards: 2.72s
(weeks 1-7 pre-MNF)
Every QB has a higher average Time to Throw on attempts 20+ air yards than <10 air yards.
Caleb Williams TTT
• 20+ air yards: 4.60s
• <10 air yards: 2.72s
October 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Time to Throw DEEP and SHORT
(weeks 1-7 pre-MNF)
Every QB has a higher average Time to Throw on attempts 20+ air yards than <10 air yards.
Caleb Williams TTT
• 20+ air yards: 4.60s
• <10 air yards: 2.72s
(weeks 1-7 pre-MNF)
Every QB has a higher average Time to Throw on attempts 20+ air yards than <10 air yards.
Caleb Williams TTT
• 20+ air yards: 4.60s
• <10 air yards: 2.72s
Giants Big 4 Snap Combinations
(weeks 1-5)
• All 4 together: 25% of snaps
• At least 3 of 4: 69%
• At least 2 of 4: 93%
Burns, Thibodeaux, Carter
- All 3 on field: 46% pressure rate
- 2 of 3 on field: 32%
(weeks 1-5)
• All 4 together: 25% of snaps
• At least 3 of 4: 69%
• At least 2 of 4: 93%
Burns, Thibodeaux, Carter
- All 3 on field: 46% pressure rate
- 2 of 3 on field: 32%
October 9, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Giants Big 4 Snap Combinations
(weeks 1-5)
• All 4 together: 25% of snaps
• At least 3 of 4: 69%
• At least 2 of 4: 93%
Burns, Thibodeaux, Carter
- All 3 on field: 46% pressure rate
- 2 of 3 on field: 32%
(weeks 1-5)
• All 4 together: 25% of snaps
• At least 3 of 4: 69%
• At least 2 of 4: 93%
Burns, Thibodeaux, Carter
- All 3 on field: 46% pressure rate
- 2 of 3 on field: 32%
The Eagles have reached the RedZone on just 24.5% of drives (26th), but have scored a TD on all but one of those trips (92.3%, 1st)
The Giants have reached the RedZone on 37.3% of drives (8th), but have scored a TD on only 31.6% of those trips (32nd)
The Giants have reached the RedZone on 37.3% of drives (8th), but have scored a TD on only 31.6% of those trips (32nd)
October 9, 2025 at 5:17 PM
The Eagles have reached the RedZone on just 24.5% of drives (26th), but have scored a TD on all but one of those trips (92.3%, 1st)
The Giants have reached the RedZone on 37.3% of drives (8th), but have scored a TD on only 31.6% of those trips (32nd)
The Giants have reached the RedZone on 37.3% of drives (8th), but have scored a TD on only 31.6% of those trips (32nd)
Play-Action % & Motion at Snap %
(weeks 1-5)
Some good offenses in the top right
Data charted by @ftnfantasy.com
(weeks 1-5)
Some good offenses in the top right
Data charted by @ftnfantasy.com
October 9, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Play-Action % & Motion at Snap %
(weeks 1-5)
Some good offenses in the top right
Data charted by @ftnfantasy.com
(weeks 1-5)
Some good offenses in the top right
Data charted by @ftnfantasy.com
Defensive Line Stunts
NYG usage (pressure % with stunts):
• Week 1: 3% (0%)
• Week 2: 7% (25%)
• Week 3: 10% (50%)
• Week 4: 23% (70%!)
• Week 5: 16% (0%)
NYG usage (pressure % with stunts):
• Week 1: 3% (0%)
• Week 2: 7% (25%)
• Week 3: 10% (50%)
• Week 4: 23% (70%!)
• Week 5: 16% (0%)
October 9, 2025 at 11:38 AM
Defensive Line Stunts
NYG usage (pressure % with stunts):
• Week 1: 3% (0%)
• Week 2: 7% (25%)
• Week 3: 10% (50%)
• Week 4: 23% (70%!)
• Week 5: 16% (0%)
NYG usage (pressure % with stunts):
• Week 1: 3% (0%)
• Week 2: 7% (25%)
• Week 3: 10% (50%)
• Week 4: 23% (70%!)
• Week 5: 16% (0%)
Offensive Rushing Success Rates
(broken down by run concept)
Klayton Adams must be pretty good huh
Run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com
(broken down by run concept)
Klayton Adams must be pretty good huh
Run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com
October 8, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Offensive Rushing Success Rates
(broken down by run concept)
Klayton Adams must be pretty good huh
Run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com
(broken down by run concept)
Klayton Adams must be pretty good huh
Run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com
Receiving Yards by Target Location
Puka Nacua leads the NFL in receiving yards down the seams (435), and only 3 WRs have more total receiving yards.
Puka Nacua leads the NFL in receiving yards down the seams (435), and only 3 WRs have more total receiving yards.
October 8, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Receiving Yards by Target Location
Puka Nacua leads the NFL in receiving yards down the seams (435), and only 3 WRs have more total receiving yards.
Puka Nacua leads the NFL in receiving yards down the seams (435), and only 3 WRs have more total receiving yards.
Despite his rate of <10 air yard attempts dropping each week, Jalen Hurts has still targeted receivers under 10 air yards at the 2nd highest rate in the NFL this season (72%).
The Giants defense has allowed the 4th fewest yards/attempt on passes under 10 air yards.
The Giants defense has allowed the 4th fewest yards/attempt on passes under 10 air yards.
October 8, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Despite his rate of <10 air yard attempts dropping each week, Jalen Hurts has still targeted receivers under 10 air yards at the 2nd highest rate in the NFL this season (72%).
The Giants defense has allowed the 4th fewest yards/attempt on passes under 10 air yards.
The Giants defense has allowed the 4th fewest yards/attempt on passes under 10 air yards.
Giants & Eagles weekly run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com
October 8, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Giants & Eagles weekly run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com
Which CBs get picked on the most?
(weeks 1-5)
Based on target rate and catch rate over expected as the nearest defender
(weeks 1-5)
Based on target rate and catch rate over expected as the nearest defender
October 8, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Which CBs get picked on the most?
(weeks 1-5)
Based on target rate and catch rate over expected as the nearest defender
(weeks 1-5)
Based on target rate and catch rate over expected as the nearest defender
Pressure % and Time to Pressure
(DT Alignment only - NGS)
(DT Alignment only - NGS)
October 8, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Pressure % and Time to Pressure
(DT Alignment only - NGS)
(DT Alignment only - NGS)
Pressure % and Time to Pressure
(EDGE Alignment only - NGS)
Abdul Carter continues to shine with the fastest time to pressure, per NextGenStats
(EDGE Alignment only - NGS)
Abdul Carter continues to shine with the fastest time to pressure, per NextGenStats
October 8, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Pressure % and Time to Pressure
(EDGE Alignment only - NGS)
Abdul Carter continues to shine with the fastest time to pressure, per NextGenStats
(EDGE Alignment only - NGS)
Abdul Carter continues to shine with the fastest time to pressure, per NextGenStats
Air Yard Differential
(completed - attempted air yards)
Jaxson Dart has averaged 8.0 air yards per attempt but only 3.1 air yards per completion, for the worst difference in the league at -4.9 air yards.
(completed - attempted air yards)
Jaxson Dart has averaged 8.0 air yards per attempt but only 3.1 air yards per completion, for the worst difference in the league at -4.9 air yards.
October 6, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Air Yard Differential
(completed - attempted air yards)
Jaxson Dart has averaged 8.0 air yards per attempt but only 3.1 air yards per completion, for the worst difference in the league at -4.9 air yards.
(completed - attempted air yards)
Jaxson Dart has averaged 8.0 air yards per attempt but only 3.1 air yards per completion, for the worst difference in the league at -4.9 air yards.
QB EPA/Play Rankings
(weeks 1-5 pre-MNF)
1) Sam Darnold: +0.37
2) Daniel Jones: +0.36
3) Jordan Love: +0.35
(weeks 1-5 pre-MNF)
1) Sam Darnold: +0.37
2) Daniel Jones: +0.36
3) Jordan Love: +0.35
October 6, 2025 at 5:05 PM
QB EPA/Play Rankings
(weeks 1-5 pre-MNF)
1) Sam Darnold: +0.37
2) Daniel Jones: +0.36
3) Jordan Love: +0.35
(weeks 1-5 pre-MNF)
1) Sam Darnold: +0.37
2) Daniel Jones: +0.36
3) Jordan Love: +0.35
Snap Weighted Team Ages
• Youngest: Packers (25.5 years old)
• Oldest: Commanders (28.4 years old)
• Youngest: Packers (25.5 years old)
• Oldest: Commanders (28.4 years old)
October 3, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Snap Weighted Team Ages
• Youngest: Packers (25.5 years old)
• Oldest: Commanders (28.4 years old)
• Youngest: Packers (25.5 years old)
• Oldest: Commanders (28.4 years old)
Skill Player Motion Frequencies
y-axis: Motion at the snap
x-axis: Pre-snap motion
y-axis: Motion at the snap
x-axis: Pre-snap motion
October 2, 2025 at 7:54 PM
Skill Player Motion Frequencies
y-axis: Motion at the snap
x-axis: Pre-snap motion
y-axis: Motion at the snap
x-axis: Pre-snap motion
It’s never too early
2026 Draft Pick Probabilities
2026 Draft Pick Probabilities
October 2, 2025 at 5:04 PM
It’s never too early
2026 Draft Pick Probabilities
2026 Draft Pick Probabilities
Target Percentage by Position
(weeks 1-4)
(weeks 1-4)
October 2, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Target Percentage by Position
(weeks 1-4)
(weeks 1-4)
October 2, 2025 at 12:02 AM