Argh. You're right

84 between FF& FG would be a "good" outcome in terms of forming a new govt relatively quickly.

The totals don't add up as the probables & possibles overlap (due to bookies margins).

But it will be interesting to see who wins what seats from each pot.

▪︎ FG’s lack of returning TDs hurts them in the “nailed” category and they’ll be open to any swing in those final seat battles.

▪︎ GP & LAB are in for a long weekend fighting with everyone for those final seats (3/3)

It’s a simple exercise but you can start to see the various parties’ weaknesses (and/or openness to variance).

▪︎ SF are your atypical “stars and scrubs” team coming out on top for the number of candidates nailed on. But the back up bench is weak.

▪︎ FF are just solid across the board. (2/3)

Kerry will love Clifford being able to use space with the 3v3. Roscommon have a number of longvrange shooters for the 2pt arc. Donegal coming in waves off consistent long kickouts.

On the flipside

• Wall doesn't have Bacik on his - probably fair. I'd guess Wall is better known than Bacik down here!
• Similar for O'Gorman on the Greens. Though Sood is new and completely unknown
• Byrne gets her picture!
• SF go with both Pearse *&* Mary Lou