Alan H.
@demandside.bsky.social
Covid began in 2020. Trump bungled it into a deep recession. Biden had the economy humming again on January 19, 2025. Trump Crash 2.0 might be two Covids deep. When the panic comes, there can be no bailouts.
Well put. Juvenile, and enforcing the no-truth zone they are trying to push out on the rest of us.
January 7, 2026 at 1:11 PM
Well put. Juvenile, and enforcing the no-truth zone they are trying to push out on the rest of us.
They could trade the Virgin Islands back. Somebody (Steven "the Zombie" Miller) was asking by what right Denmark owns Greenland. A 1917 treaty, which also gave the Danish West Indies to the US.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_...
Treaty of the Danish West Indies - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
January 7, 2026 at 11:17 AM
They could trade the Virgin Islands back. Somebody (Steven "the Zombie" Miller) was asking by what right Denmark owns Greenland. A 1917 treaty, which also gave the Danish West Indies to the US.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_...
This is in the Kurdish area of NW Iran. It's on the latitude of Tehran, but in the mountains. ("Kurds have no friends but the mountains.") Long oppressed in Iran, they are natural partners in any pan-Iran resistance.
January 7, 2026 at 10:35 AM
This is in the Kurdish area of NW Iran. It's on the latitude of Tehran, but in the mountains. ("Kurds have no friends but the mountains.") Long oppressed in Iran, they are natural partners in any pan-Iran resistance.
Trump SAYS he will sell 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil. Trump says a lot of things.
January 7, 2026 at 3:57 AM
Trump SAYS he will sell 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil. Trump says a lot of things.
Update your info, Senator. Trump is the only one who said he gave Big Oil a heads up. Trump lies with every breath, and he did so this time. There are no profits in rebuilding a dilapidated oil infrastructure in a conflict zone, in the context of $55 bbl and a country with history of nationalizing.
January 7, 2026 at 3:48 AM
Update your info, Senator. Trump is the only one who said he gave Big Oil a heads up. Trump lies with every breath, and he did so this time. There are no profits in rebuilding a dilapidated oil infrastructure in a conflict zone, in the context of $55 bbl and a country with history of nationalizing.
Absolutely essential. Contempt for Bondi, as well. The Epstein files need to be released under court supervision. You don't get to cover up criminality by breaking another law. (At the risk, of course, of the military invasion of another country.)
January 7, 2026 at 3:42 AM
Absolutely essential. Contempt for Bondi, as well. The Epstein files need to be released under court supervision. You don't get to cover up criminality by breaking another law. (At the risk, of course, of the military invasion of another country.)
Be clear, Trump has not taken over anything. He does not run anything. He is delusional and delerious. Not capable of running anything. There is no regime change in Venezuela, and the US is on the wrong side of any likely outcome.
January 7, 2026 at 3:01 AM
Be clear, Trump has not taken over anything. He does not run anything. He is delusional and delerious. Not capable of running anything. There is no regime change in Venezuela, and the US is on the wrong side of any likely outcome.
Once again, with respect, Senator. Big Oil does not WANT Venezuelan crude at the cost of rebuilding the infrastructure in a conflict zone, with the price below $60, and plenty of the same quality of oil coming from Canada. Trump may try to bribe or coerce them, but we'll see how that works out.
January 7, 2026 at 2:57 AM
Once again, with respect, Senator. Big Oil does not WANT Venezuelan crude at the cost of rebuilding the infrastructure in a conflict zone, with the price below $60, and plenty of the same quality of oil coming from Canada. Trump may try to bribe or coerce them, but we'll see how that works out.
Ridiculous. Imaginary. A presidential proclamation which will never happen in this or any parallel universe. The US president is delerious. Illegality is the least of the obstacles. The man has lost all tether to reality.
January 7, 2026 at 2:53 AM
Ridiculous. Imaginary. A presidential proclamation which will never happen in this or any parallel universe. The US president is delerious. Illegality is the least of the obstacles. The man has lost all tether to reality.
There are people in MAGA today who are realizing that prices are not down, forever wars are back, and there was never a 'great' America with masked thugs in the streets sponsored by the government. They made a mistake, a big mistake. Their shame is now a barrier to their honesty. We need them.
January 7, 2026 at 2:05 AM
There are people in MAGA today who are realizing that prices are not down, forever wars are back, and there was never a 'great' America with masked thugs in the streets sponsored by the government. They made a mistake, a big mistake. Their shame is now a barrier to their honesty. We need them.
Sorry, Andrew, American oil companies are not interested in Venezuela's oil. The rebuild is too expensive for $55 oil, particularly in a war zone or with threat of sabotage and nationalization. Besides, Canada has plenty of that same oil. Trump is an idiot; you should stop listening to him.
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 PM
Sorry, Andrew, American oil companies are not interested in Venezuela's oil. The rebuild is too expensive for $55 oil, particularly in a war zone or with threat of sabotage and nationalization. Besides, Canada has plenty of that same oil. Trump is an idiot; you should stop listening to him.
Thank you for the treatment here. The train is heading for the bridge and it is too late to stop it. We'll hope it's strong enough to hold this extemely heavy load.
Sorry to leave such a long response, but the comment function on the original site was not working for me.
Sorry to leave such a long response, but the comment function on the original site was not working for me.
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 AM
Thank you for the treatment here. The train is heading for the bridge and it is too late to stop it. We'll hope it's strong enough to hold this extemely heavy load.
Sorry to leave such a long response, but the comment function on the original site was not working for me.
Sorry to leave such a long response, but the comment function on the original site was not working for me.
it is too complicated and too big to be carried by the real economy, that the structures absent in previous periods of stability are present in this one, or that the self-reinforcing dynamics of a rising market -- debt or credit -- are inherently unstable and inevitably must reverse.
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 AM
it is too complicated and too big to be carried by the real economy, that the structures absent in previous periods of stability are present in this one, or that the self-reinforcing dynamics of a rising market -- debt or credit -- are inherently unstable and inevitably must reverse.
periodic banking collapses is one which separates commercial banks from investment banks and insurance. That is not in place.
Can macro economists anticipate or predict a crash? I would say yes. Simply put, we do not need to understand its complicated inner workings to understand that Finance
Can macro economists anticipate or predict a crash? I would say yes. Simply put, we do not need to understand its complicated inner workings to understand that Finance
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 AM
periodic banking collapses is one which separates commercial banks from investment banks and insurance. That is not in place.
Can macro economists anticipate or predict a crash? I would say yes. Simply put, we do not need to understand its complicated inner workings to understand that Finance
Can macro economists anticipate or predict a crash? I would say yes. Simply put, we do not need to understand its complicated inner workings to understand that Finance
private debt and opaque financing are involved.
To be brief, a crash in stocks likely means a failure of financing. These companies are in a race only one or two can win, for revenues that are not clearly articulable, much less certain. The only structure proven to prevent
To be brief, a crash in stocks likely means a failure of financing. These companies are in a race only one or two can win, for revenues that are not clearly articulable, much less certain. The only structure proven to prevent
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 AM
private debt and opaque financing are involved.
To be brief, a crash in stocks likely means a failure of financing. These companies are in a race only one or two can win, for revenues that are not clearly articulable, much less certain. The only structure proven to prevent
To be brief, a crash in stocks likely means a failure of financing. These companies are in a race only one or two can win, for revenues that are not clearly articulable, much less certain. The only structure proven to prevent
again" have been rescinded. Leverage ratios are hidden, but likely enormous.
As you say, a stock market crash would in itself not be lethal to the financial system or the economy. This is essentially the Dot-Com bust. AI, unfortunately, combines the Dot-Com experience with the GFC, in that lots of
As you say, a stock market crash would in itself not be lethal to the financial system or the economy. This is essentially the Dot-Com bust. AI, unfortunately, combines the Dot-Com experience with the GFC, in that lots of
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 AM
again" have been rescinded. Leverage ratios are hidden, but likely enormous.
As you say, a stock market crash would in itself not be lethal to the financial system or the economy. This is essentially the Dot-Com bust. AI, unfortunately, combines the Dot-Com experience with the GFC, in that lots of
As you say, a stock market crash would in itself not be lethal to the financial system or the economy. This is essentially the Dot-Com bust. AI, unfortunately, combines the Dot-Com experience with the GFC, in that lots of
Banks, shadow banks (now called private credit), asset backed securities, derivatives, and the other elements of the financing of the housing boom are all present in the current AI bubble. At least in the US, the measures taken after the GFC crash to "make sure it never happens
January 6, 2026 at 10:49 AM
Banks, shadow banks (now called private credit), asset backed securities, derivatives, and the other elements of the financing of the housing boom are all present in the current AI bubble. At least in the US, the measures taken after the GFC crash to "make sure it never happens
I remember Musk bought Twitter and gutted it. You could gut CBS, and it looks like they did it quickly, but it still does not dominate nightly news like Twitter dominated its medium. Trump will be disappointed in the Ellisons.
January 6, 2026 at 5:55 AM
I remember Musk bought Twitter and gutted it. You could gut CBS, and it looks like they did it quickly, but it still does not dominate nightly news like Twitter dominated its medium. Trump will be disappointed in the Ellisons.