Danny Crichton
@dannycrichton.com
Write and design Riskgaming scenarios on tech, science and politics. Partner, Research at Lux Capital.
A former FBI agent just spent years tracking down a North Korean hacker who ransomed a Kansas hospital. Then he offered them a job building a crypto casino.
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
November 24, 2025 at 12:03 AM
A former FBI agent just spent years tracking down a North Korean hacker who ransomed a Kansas hospital. Then he offered them a job building a crypto casino.
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
Check out Brian Moore's new project: Every minute, nine different AI models are asked to generate a new analog clock showing the current time. The results have me puzzling over what, exactly, makes this exercise so complicated.
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
November 23, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Check out Brian Moore's new project: Every minute, nine different AI models are asked to generate a new analog clock showing the current time. The results have me puzzling over what, exactly, makes this exercise so complicated.
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
www.riskgaming.com/i/179468812...
Internet writing needs more feedback. If you’re an intellectual and someone tells you you’re wrong, it galvanizes you, it goads you.
www.riskgaming.com/p/how-to-be...
www.riskgaming.com/p/how-to-be...
November 20, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Internet writing needs more feedback. If you’re an intellectual and someone tells you you’re wrong, it galvanizes you, it goads you.
www.riskgaming.com/p/how-to-be...
www.riskgaming.com/p/how-to-be...
Lessons from a new wargame: By forcing players to take on the Chinese perspective, the exercise exposed a blind spot in U.S. military planning — we neglect China’s incentive to pursue coercive strategies that exploit American political hesitancy
www.riskgaming.com/i/178807966...
www.riskgaming.com/i/178807966...
November 16, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Lessons from a new wargame: By forcing players to take on the Chinese perspective, the exercise exposed a blind spot in U.S. military planning — we neglect China’s incentive to pursue coercive strategies that exploit American political hesitancy
www.riskgaming.com/i/178807966...
www.riskgaming.com/i/178807966...
Fascinating new war game from Syracuse University: What would happen if you were forced to inhabit the Chinese calculus on Taiwan. www.riskgaming.com/i/178807966...
November 16, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Fascinating new war game from Syracuse University: What would happen if you were forced to inhabit the Chinese calculus on Taiwan. www.riskgaming.com/i/178807966...
My latest interview: Kirby Ferguson and Ale Matamala Ortiz on the economics of the film industry and the recession in Los Angeles; why filmmaking would have changed even without the rise of AI; how to think about remixing; and the future of art.
open.spotify.com/episode/13V...
open.spotify.com/episode/13V...
November 15, 2025 at 9:50 PM
My latest interview: Kirby Ferguson and Ale Matamala Ortiz on the economics of the film industry and the recession in Los Angeles; why filmmaking would have changed even without the rise of AI; how to think about remixing; and the future of art.
open.spotify.com/episode/13V...
open.spotify.com/episode/13V...
The transition from sci-fi to sci-fact is underway with xenotransplantation. This is what happens when you bring the best scientists in the world to bear on the problem: human-made magic becomes possible. NYT on the optimism for 100,000s of patients: www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/...
Scientists Grow More Hopeful About Ending a Global Organ Shortage
At an international conference, researchers at the forefront of animal-human transplantation compared notes and allowed themselves the first real optimism in decades.
www.nytimes.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:21 PM
The transition from sci-fi to sci-fact is underway with xenotransplantation. This is what happens when you bring the best scientists in the world to bear on the problem: human-made magic becomes possible. NYT on the optimism for 100,000s of patients: www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/...
Reposted by Danny Crichton
Chatted EU-China ties & future of intl science collab w/ old friend & @dannycrichton.com on Lux Capitol’s latest podcast.
#foresight #science #China #EU #geopolitics #wargaming #strategy
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
#foresight #science #China #EU #geopolitics #wargaming #strategy
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
Europe, China and the future of open borders in science
Podcast Episode · Riskgaming · 11/05/2025 · 41m
podcasts.apple.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Chatted EU-China ties & future of intl science collab w/ old friend & @dannycrichton.com on Lux Capitol’s latest podcast.
#foresight #science #China #EU #geopolitics #wargaming #strategy
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
#foresight #science #China #EU #geopolitics #wargaming #strategy
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
Read more about Majestic and what they are doing here: www.cnbc.com/2025/11/10/...
November 10, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Read more about Majestic and what they are doing here: www.cnbc.com/2025/11/10/...
AI will require a much better server architecture to improve the price-performance envelope. The forcing function to make fundamental changes to old models hasn't been there – until now. That's why Lux invested behind Majestic and the future of the server: www.cnbc.com/2025/11/10/...
November 10, 2025 at 3:56 PM
AI will require a much better server architecture to improve the price-performance envelope. The forcing function to make fundamental changes to old models hasn't been there – until now. That's why Lux invested behind Majestic and the future of the server: www.cnbc.com/2025/11/10/...
November 3, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Does AI "think"? Robin Sloan says we cheapen the term when we say it does.
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
November 2, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Does AI "think"? Robin Sloan says we cheapen the term when we say it does.
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
Christopher Leonard's deeper dive on the problems in the U.S. defense manufacturing sector is a real-life version of our Riskgaming scenario “Hampton at the Cross-Roads.”
November 1, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Christopher Leonard's deeper dive on the problems in the U.S. defense manufacturing sector is a real-life version of our Riskgaming scenario “Hampton at the Cross-Roads.”
China’s Belt and Road strategy Part Deux: DeepSeek is dominating Africa’s emerging AI market by offering open-source models that are dramatically cheaper and require less computing power than American versions.
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
Losing the next war, AI "thought," DeepSeek
Lux Recommends #476
www.riskgaming.com
November 1, 2025 at 7:36 PM
China’s Belt and Road strategy Part Deux: DeepSeek is dominating Africa’s emerging AI market by offering open-source models that are dramatically cheaper and require less computing power than American versions.
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
Contra the Trump team, modern wars are won through industrial production capacity and logistics rather than battlefield valor. www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
November 1, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Contra the Trump team, modern wars are won through industrial production capacity and logistics rather than battlefield valor. www.riskgaming.com/i/177567986...
The Economist has declared “the end of the rip-off economy.” You know who is benefitting besides consumers? Sabatuers for hire and their patrons. www.riskgaming.com/p/make-gray...
October 31, 2025 at 4:58 PM
The Economist has declared “the end of the rip-off economy.” You know who is benefitting besides consumers? Sabatuers for hire and their patrons. www.riskgaming.com/p/make-gray...
The problem with aging is that you eventually become out-of-sync with the youth. Like, if you had told me that a panel on VC secondary transaction mechanics and legalities would sell out, I'd ask to see your fentanyl dealer in Washington Square Park. Secondaries are the new primaries!
October 31, 2025 at 2:23 AM
The problem with aging is that you eventually become out-of-sync with the youth. Like, if you had told me that a panel on VC secondary transaction mechanics and legalities would sell out, I'd ask to see your fentanyl dealer in Washington Square Park. Secondaries are the new primaries!
We've let our adversaries get away with too much, for too long. Time to make gray-zone war expensive again. www.riskgaming.com/p/make-gray...
Make gray-zone war expensive again
We've let our adversaries get away with too much, for too long
www.riskgaming.com
October 30, 2025 at 9:49 PM
We've let our adversaries get away with too much, for too long. Time to make gray-zone war expensive again. www.riskgaming.com/p/make-gray...
Democratic countries can’t keep taking blow after blow from adversaries with nary an attempt at a hybrid-war response. Here's what we have to do: www.riskgaming.com/p/make-gray...
October 30, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Democratic countries can’t keep taking blow after blow from adversaries with nary an attempt at a hybrid-war response. Here's what we have to do: www.riskgaming.com/p/make-gray...
More on EnduroSat via Reuters: www.reuters.com/science/sat...
October 30, 2025 at 5:47 PM
More on EnduroSat via Reuters: www.reuters.com/science/sat...
Europe deserves a cutting-edge sovereign satellite installation capability. That's why Lux and our friends are excited to invest $104 million today into EnduroSat, which will help the company build out its new space center and increase capacity. More: finance.yahoo.com/news/enduro...
EnduroSat Boosts Production Capabilities with Funding Round and Opening of New Space Center
Funding round of over $100M will be used to further scale production for EnduroSat’s modular satellite buses, as new facility offers ability to produce two ESPA-class sats per daySOFIA, Bulgaria, Oct. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- EnduroSat, a leading provider of satellite constellations-as-a-service, today announced a new investment from Riot Ventures, Google Ventures, Lux Capital, European Innovation Council Fund and Shrug Capital. The investment, totaling over $100M, marks the second funding r
finance.yahoo.com
October 30, 2025 at 5:45 PM
Europe deserves a cutting-edge sovereign satellite installation capability. That's why Lux and our friends are excited to invest $104 million today into EnduroSat, which will help the company build out its new space center and increase capacity. More: finance.yahoo.com/news/enduro...
Major partnership + $50M investment from Lockheed Martin into Saildrone, which will add $LMT's air-to-ground missile launchers onto Saildrone's unmanned surface ships. Affordable, capable, and ready-to-go – that's the future of defense. More here: breakingdefense.com/2025/10/loc...
Lockheed Martin to invest $50M into Saildrone, plans to equip USVs with missile launchers - Breaking Defense
This announcement is “transformational for us,” Saildrone CEO Richard Jenkins told Breaking Defense in an interview today.
breakingdefense.com
October 29, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Major partnership + $50M investment from Lockheed Martin into Saildrone, which will add $LMT's air-to-ground missile launchers onto Saildrone's unmanned surface ships. Affordable, capable, and ready-to-go – that's the future of defense. More here: breakingdefense.com/2025/10/loc...
Mamdani should not be denaturalized or deported. Instead, small-d democratic voters should look at his economic record and divisiveness and simply reject it. People have the power to determine the future of NYC at the ballot box, and they should use it
October 28, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Mamdani should not be denaturalized or deported. Instead, small-d democratic voters should look at his economic record and divisiveness and simply reject it. People have the power to determine the future of NYC at the ballot box, and they should use it
As American power relatively declines economically, scientifically, industrially, and technologically, we have to use our abundant resources (energy, innovation, talent) ever more effectively to compete. America's assets + credible strategy = long-term 21st century success
October 28, 2025 at 2:27 PM
As American power relatively declines economically, scientifically, industrially, and technologically, we have to use our abundant resources (energy, innovation, talent) ever more effectively to compete. America's assets + credible strategy = long-term 21st century success
It's really hard to see how America can stay the biotech superpower of the world this century against China when we can't even get Tylenol right
October 28, 2025 at 2:19 PM
It's really hard to see how America can stay the biotech superpower of the world this century against China when we can't even get Tylenol right