Daniel McDowell
@danielmcdowell.bsky.social
Family man | Professor @Syracuse | Sr. Fellow @Atlantic Council | Fmr. China Fellow @TheWilsonCenter | Geoeconomics, Finance, & Cleveland sports | www.danielmcdowell.org
Evidence that new US sanctions on Russian oil are starting to bite:
"China's state oil companies and some Indian refiners are avoiding buying Russian oil due to concerns about falling foul of secondary sanctions."
Link: www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
"China's state oil companies and some Indian refiners are avoiding buying Russian oil due to concerns about falling foul of secondary sanctions."
Link: www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
November 12, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Evidence that new US sanctions on Russian oil are starting to bite:
"China's state oil companies and some Indian refiners are avoiding buying Russian oil due to concerns about falling foul of secondary sanctions."
Link: www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
"China's state oil companies and some Indian refiners are avoiding buying Russian oil due to concerns about falling foul of secondary sanctions."
Link: www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
ALCS games should never be aired on FS1
October 17, 2025 at 10:59 PM
ALCS games should never be aired on FS1
The claim that certain central banks started hoarding gold only after Russian assets were blocked (yellow line in figures) is often made, but inaccurate. The big buyers were active for years before 2022. CBs have been net buyers for almost two decades. This is a long-term development.
October 16, 2025 at 6:56 PM
The claim that certain central banks started hoarding gold only after Russian assets were blocked (yellow line in figures) is often made, but inaccurate. The big buyers were active for years before 2022. CBs have been net buyers for almost two decades. This is a long-term development.
you guys. my kids are gonna be so jacked.
October 14, 2025 at 6:05 PM
you guys. my kids are gonna be so jacked.
In case you're interested in the history of US bailouts, I once wrote a book about the subject:
Link: academic.oup.com/book/5313
Link: academic.oup.com/book/5313
October 9, 2025 at 9:15 PM
In case you're interested in the history of US bailouts, I once wrote a book about the subject:
Link: academic.oup.com/book/5313
Link: academic.oup.com/book/5313
We're covering the basics of financial sanctions in my class today.
October 9, 2025 at 1:15 PM
We're covering the basics of financial sanctions in my class today.
Central bank gold purchases driving up the metal's price, but what good is bullion these days? A paper I wrote in 2023 explores how Russian gold reserves helped the Kremlin weather the first wave of financial sanctions in 2022.
Link: drive.google.com/file/d/1FXdm...
Link: drive.google.com/file/d/1FXdm...
October 9, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Central bank gold purchases driving up the metal's price, but what good is bullion these days? A paper I wrote in 2023 explores how Russian gold reserves helped the Kremlin weather the first wave of financial sanctions in 2022.
Link: drive.google.com/file/d/1FXdm...
Link: drive.google.com/file/d/1FXdm...
We had a rousing conversation about the future of the dollar, the euro, and more at the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
Transatlantic Forum on GeoEconomics in Brussels earlier this week. Thanks to Josh Lipsky for leading us.
Watch the full panel here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6k6w...
Transatlantic Forum on GeoEconomics in Brussels earlier this week. Thanks to Josh Lipsky for leading us.
Watch the full panel here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6k6w...
October 2, 2025 at 2:41 PM
We had a rousing conversation about the future of the dollar, the euro, and more at the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
Transatlantic Forum on GeoEconomics in Brussels earlier this week. Thanks to Josh Lipsky for leading us.
Watch the full panel here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6k6w...
Transatlantic Forum on GeoEconomics in Brussels earlier this week. Thanks to Josh Lipsky for leading us.
Watch the full panel here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6k6w...
depressing graph of the day
September 27, 2025 at 8:08 PM
depressing graph of the day
What should I put on my new mixtape?
September 22, 2025 at 5:54 PM
What should I put on my new mixtape?
As we say around these parts: fall leaves, winter longs.
September 20, 2025 at 6:20 PM
As we say around these parts: fall leaves, winter longs.
🗓️Sept 30 |⏰3:30pm CEST
Amid questions over the US dollar's global role, can the Euro seize the moment?
Join us, in person or online, for a discussion about the future of the global monetary system later this month.
Register⤵️
bit.ly/4owDHBn
Amid questions over the US dollar's global role, can the Euro seize the moment?
Join us, in person or online, for a discussion about the future of the global monetary system later this month.
Register⤵️
bit.ly/4owDHBn
September 9, 2025 at 8:41 PM
🗓️Sept 30 |⏰3:30pm CEST
Amid questions over the US dollar's global role, can the Euro seize the moment?
Join us, in person or online, for a discussion about the future of the global monetary system later this month.
Register⤵️
bit.ly/4owDHBn
Amid questions over the US dollar's global role, can the Euro seize the moment?
Join us, in person or online, for a discussion about the future of the global monetary system later this month.
Register⤵️
bit.ly/4owDHBn
Distinguished economists Michael Bordo & Bob McCauley with a stern warning to the Senate regarding the potential for new appointments to the Fed's Board of Governors to undermine the central bank's international liquidity role & threaten the dollar
Link: www.ft.com/content/6485...
Link: www.ft.com/content/6485...
September 8, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Distinguished economists Michael Bordo & Bob McCauley with a stern warning to the Senate regarding the potential for new appointments to the Fed's Board of Governors to undermine the central bank's international liquidity role & threaten the dollar
Link: www.ft.com/content/6485...
Link: www.ft.com/content/6485...
Here's why we think this could be important:
8/8
8/8
September 2, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Here's why we think this could be important:
8/8
8/8
The results hold up to multivariate analysis with demographic controls. Moreover, the magnitude of the Trump treatment effect increases among strong partisans, as support for immigration rises the most among strong Rs and falls the most among strong Ds.
6/8
6/8
September 2, 2025 at 11:20 PM
The results hold up to multivariate analysis with demographic controls. Moreover, the magnitude of the Trump treatment effect increases among strong partisans, as support for immigration rises the most among strong Rs and falls the most among strong Ds.
6/8
6/8
Here’s what we found: Among those receiving no info about Trump (control group), support for more immigration is 5.3 among Ds and 3.0 among Rs on an 11-pt scale (where high #s = more support).
Among those "treated" with Trump info, support among Ds and Rs is virtually the same (~4.3).
5/8
Among those "treated" with Trump info, support among Ds and Rs is virtually the same (~4.3).
5/8
September 2, 2025 at 11:20 PM
Here’s what we found: Among those receiving no info about Trump (control group), support for more immigration is 5.3 among Ds and 3.0 among Rs on an 11-pt scale (where high #s = more support).
Among those "treated" with Trump info, support among Ds and Rs is virtually the same (~4.3).
5/8
Among those "treated" with Trump info, support among Ds and Rs is virtually the same (~4.3).
5/8
We also asked subjects who they thought immigrants were likely to vote for in the '24 election.
Those who received no info about support for Trump overwhelmingly assumed immigrants would support Harris. Those "treated" with Trump info were more likely to believe otherwise.
3/8
Those who received no info about support for Trump overwhelmingly assumed immigrants would support Harris. Those "treated" with Trump info were more likely to believe otherwise.
3/8
September 2, 2025 at 11:17 PM
We also asked subjects who they thought immigrants were likely to vote for in the '24 election.
Those who received no info about support for Trump overwhelmingly assumed immigrants would support Harris. Those "treated" with Trump info were more likely to believe otherwise.
3/8
Those who received no info about support for Trump overwhelmingly assumed immigrants would support Harris. Those "treated" with Trump info were more likely to believe otherwise.
3/8
We asked 3k Americans their level of support for more immigration from Vietnam OR Venezuela, two countries with US communities that lean right.
1/2 of our subjects were told immigrants from their assigned country were likely to vote for Trump, 1/2 were told nothing about Trump.
2/8
1/2 of our subjects were told immigrants from their assigned country were likely to vote for Trump, 1/2 were told nothing about Trump.
2/8
September 2, 2025 at 11:16 PM
We asked 3k Americans their level of support for more immigration from Vietnam OR Venezuela, two countries with US communities that lean right.
1/2 of our subjects were told immigrants from their assigned country were likely to vote for Trump, 1/2 were told nothing about Trump.
2/8
1/2 of our subjects were told immigrants from their assigned country were likely to vote for Trump, 1/2 were told nothing about Trump.
2/8
The hot dogs in Cleveland are better (but this place is pretty awesome).
Knotted up after 3.
Knotted up after 3.
September 1, 2025 at 6:48 PM
The hot dogs in Cleveland are better (but this place is pretty awesome).
Knotted up after 3.
Knotted up after 3.
We still fail to appreciate how significant an event the 2008 global financial crisis was for the trajectory of the world economy.
August 27, 2025 at 5:22 PM
We still fail to appreciate how significant an event the 2008 global financial crisis was for the trajectory of the world economy.
Here's the record breaker. Jose is something special. What a joy to watch him play the game.
August 13, 2025 at 3:41 AM
Here's the record breaker. Jose is something special. What a joy to watch him play the game.
How I coped with the agony that time I assembled my kids' basketball hoop.
August 6, 2025 at 12:06 PM
How I coped with the agony that time I assembled my kids' basketball hoop.
New pinned post.
August 6, 2025 at 12:08 AM
New pinned post.