Critical Threats Project
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The LAF has continued to reject Israeli and US statements about its lack of progress in disarming Hezbollah, claiming that the LAF has made significant progress in its disarmament plan.
November 28, 2025 at 10:09 PM
The LAF has continued to reject Israeli and US statements about its lack of progress in disarming Hezbollah, claiming that the LAF has made significant progress in its disarmament plan.
during which the defense officials presented operational plans to continue “enforcement activities” and prevent Hezbollah reconstitution
November 28, 2025 at 10:09 PM
during which the defense officials presented operational plans to continue “enforcement activities” and prevent Hezbollah reconstitution
Israel has simultaneously continued to prepare for a potential operation in Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a “special discussion” with Israeli defense officials on November 27,
November 28, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Israel has simultaneously continued to prepare for a potential operation in Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a “special discussion” with Israeli defense officials on November 27,
An Israeli Channel 13 journalist reported on November 28 that the LAF has until after Pope Leo XIV and US Deputy Special Envoy Morgan Ortagus’s upcoming visits to Beirut to show unspecified progress on its disarmament plan.
November 28, 2025 at 10:09 PM
An Israeli Channel 13 journalist reported on November 28 that the LAF has until after Pope Leo XIV and US Deputy Special Envoy Morgan Ortagus’s upcoming visits to Beirut to show unspecified progress on its disarmament plan.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Hulyaipole. Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Hulyaipole. Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman.
Russia’s long-range strike campaign is increasingly killing and injuring civilians.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Russia’s long-range strike campaign is increasingly killing and injuring civilians.
Russia continues setting conditions to deploy active reservists to combat against Ukraine.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Russia continues setting conditions to deploy active reservists to combat against Ukraine.
Recent Ukrainian counterattacks may further delay Russian forces’ seizure of Pokrovsk, though the situation in Pokrovsk remains serious and dynamic at this time.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Recent Ukrainian counterattacks may further delay Russian forces’ seizure of Pokrovsk, though the situation in Pokrovsk remains serious and dynamic at this time.
The Kremlin is reportedly concerned that the United States will correctly interpret Russia as unwilling to meaningfully engage in negotiations and accept any peace deal that compromises its ability to achieve its maximalist claims.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
The Kremlin is reportedly concerned that the United States will correctly interpret Russia as unwilling to meaningfully engage in negotiations and accept any peace deal that compromises its ability to achieve its maximalist claims.
Kremlin officials continue setting conditions to reject any peace deal that does not concede to all of Russia’s maximalist demands.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Kremlin officials continue setting conditions to reject any peace deal that does not concede to all of Russia’s maximalist demands.
Ukrainian forces have proven effective at constraining Russian advances and conducting successful counteroffensives, particularly when well-staffed and well-equipped.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Ukrainian forces have proven effective at constraining Russian advances and conducting successful counteroffensives, particularly when well-staffed and well-equipped.
Recent Russian advances elsewhere on the frontline have largely been opportunistic and exploited seasonal weather conditions.
November 27, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Recent Russian advances elsewhere on the frontline have largely been opportunistic and exploited seasonal weather conditions.
Iran has made minimal progress in repairing its three main nuclear sites that were damaged during the 12-Day War but has conducted “extensive” clean-up efforts at several nuclear weaponization sites, according to satellite imagery analyzed by the Institute for Science and International Security.
November 27, 2025 at 12:31 AM
Iran has made minimal progress in repairing its three main nuclear sites that were damaged during the 12-Day War but has conducted “extensive” clean-up efforts at several nuclear weaponization sites, according to satellite imagery analyzed by the Institute for Science and International Security.
Weapons Smuggling in Iran: Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Ground Forces interdicted a shipment of explosive devices, weapons, and ammunition reportedly smuggled by Kurdistan Workers’ Party-linked fighters into northwestern Iran on November 25. (5/5)
November 26, 2025 at 12:51 AM
Weapons Smuggling in Iran: Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Ground Forces interdicted a shipment of explosive devices, weapons, and ammunition reportedly smuggled by Kurdistan Workers’ Party-linked fighters into northwestern Iran on November 25. (5/5)
The Syrian Ministry of Interior’s characterization of the cell in Latakia Province indicates that the cell was part of Salafi-jihadi group Saraya Ansar al Sunnah rather than ISIS. (4/5)
November 26, 2025 at 12:51 AM
The Syrian Ministry of Interior’s characterization of the cell in Latakia Province indicates that the cell was part of Salafi-jihadi group Saraya Ansar al Sunnah rather than ISIS. (4/5)
ISIS-affiliates in Syria: Syrian authorities dismantled an Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS)-affiliated cell in Latakia Province, indicating that ISIS-affiliated groups may seek to conduct clandestine activities or attacks in coastal Syria. (3/5)
November 26, 2025 at 12:51 AM
ISIS-affiliates in Syria: Syrian authorities dismantled an Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS)-affiliated cell in Latakia Province, indicating that ISIS-affiliated groups may seek to conduct clandestine activities or attacks in coastal Syria. (3/5)
The Iranian officials mischaracterized Iran’s relationship with the Houthis and Iraqi militias by misrepresenting how the Axis of Resistance functions. They probably cast the Houthis as an “independent” actor to encourage Saudi-mediated negotiations with the United States to move forward. (2/5)
November 26, 2025 at 12:51 AM
The Iranian officials mischaracterized Iran’s relationship with the Houthis and Iraqi militias by misrepresenting how the Axis of Resistance functions. They probably cast the Houthis as an “independent” actor to encourage Saudi-mediated negotiations with the United States to move forward. (2/5)
CTP-ISW assesses that Hezbollah may also launch a small-scale symbolic attack targeting uninhabited areas of northern Israel, but considers this a less probable course of action.
November 25, 2025 at 2:14 PM
CTP-ISW assesses that Hezbollah may also launch a small-scale symbolic attack targeting uninhabited areas of northern Israel, but considers this a less probable course of action.
Any Hezbollah retaliatory attack targeting Israel or Israeli forces would prompt a large Israeli response, which would possibly disrupt Hezbollah’s current efforts to regenerate its forces and replenish its weapons stocks.
November 25, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Any Hezbollah retaliatory attack targeting Israel or Israeli forces would prompt a large Israeli response, which would possibly disrupt Hezbollah’s current efforts to regenerate its forces and replenish its weapons stocks.
CTP-ISW assesses that Hezbollah likely will not conduct a retaliatory attack on Israel.
November 25, 2025 at 2:14 PM
CTP-ISW assesses that Hezbollah likely will not conduct a retaliatory attack on Israel.