Claire Hartnell
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cjhartnell.bsky.social
Claire Hartnell
@cjhartnell.bsky.social
Mostly systems thinking, complexity, organisational anthropology but also far too much amygdala hijack stuff

Substack: https://clairejhartnell.substack.com/
Reposted by Claire Hartnell
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil said it was “very mistaken and very irresponsible” of Trump to “threaten other [countries] on social media”.

“The world has changed. We don’t want an emperor. We are sovereign countries”
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri...
July 10, 2025 at 3:13 AM
It’s why social science never replicates. Because they are trying to measure moving systems.
November 22, 2025 at 9:11 AM
You can’t run experiments on complex systems. That’s the point. If you run your lab experiment 1,000 times with a computer it will produce predictable output. But the rat & the sourdough are always interacting with other systems. On the 999th instance they might do something novel …
November 22, 2025 at 9:11 AM
I suppose another example would be using reinforcement on a rat vs a machine. The machine will outcompete the rat v quickly. But the rat is a sneaky fucker. While the machine is getting its sugar for turning on the light, the rat will gnaw through the door to the sugar cupboard. It can do novelty.
fucker.it
November 21, 2025 at 12:04 PM
You’re assuming that reinforcement learning is sufficient for creativity. It isn’t. Creativity is a *leap*. Sentience is a multi factor emergent state that comes from nested layers. That’s why Gary Marcus et al talk about building symbolic models rather than just reinforcement. It’s not enough.
November 21, 2025 at 12:01 PM
I would say it’s the difference between a food processor & a sourdough starter. The food processor can have things added that are turned into new things. But the sourdough self-organises to a new state. Machines cannot self-organise. Hence - no singularity. Clever stuff but no animus.
November 21, 2025 at 6:35 AM
They can only know what they know. They are the sum of their parts but not greater than that. My point is that true emergence is fractal. There is literally no end to it. Machines can do lots of brilliant clever things but they can’t self-organise like a complex adaptive system.
November 20, 2025 at 8:22 PM
My brother was talking about the ‘Communist’ government at the weekend. This must be coming from the rightwing rags because 6 months ago, the same brother was saying they should put a penny on interest tax. When our currency collapses, I hope these people will be held accountable.
November 20, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Low interest rates to protect the banks, high interest rates when we try & offload the debt they ran up.
November 20, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Well what they’re trying to do is move from pattern learning to symbolic representation. What Gary Marcus has been saying (although I see he has *thoughts* on the LeCun venture). You’ll never get the singularity from patterns + noise. But building a fractal model with machines is also😵‍💫😵‍💫 stupid.
November 20, 2025 at 8:08 AM
The right thing to do would be this👇 But we need a government with enormous moral courage to do it:

open.substack.com/pub/clairejh...
7. Project 2029
I have spent the last 6 essays building up my case to explain why I think the global system has taken the wrong path.
open.substack.com
November 19, 2025 at 7:37 AM
No, I was wrong actually - pulled up by another poster on my grammar. I am suitably contrite.
November 18, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Yes, you are right! Serves me right for being a pedant.
November 18, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Oxford comma. Take another look.
November 18, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Looks good - I wasn't aware of it but that is very much my view of the world.
November 18, 2025 at 1:33 PM
I think this translates as: extremely severe marital bollocking followed by brief period of shame, leading to (inevitably) an autobiography with mea culpa, published just in time for him to re-emerge as spokesman for the defence when the banks break the global economy again.
November 18, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Yes. This could happen. But the real question is whether the $$ can sustain another bailout. It probably can - just, at the moment. But that is what Trump's trade strategy is about. Keeping the $$ as the unit for global trade, getting allies to pay down US trade deficit, trying to cut China out.
November 18, 2025 at 12:20 PM