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carl24k.bsky.social
carl24k
@carl24k.bsky.social
#DataScience & #MachineLearning - #Neuroscience & #NeuroAI - Author of Fighting Churn With Data - https://linktr.ee/carl24k
With so much talk about "Agents" these days, do you want an objective POV on what the tech can really do? TLDR: Progress has been rapid in the last year, but agents still have a long way to go! I recommend watching the Leader Board of the Carnegie Mellon "Agent Company" task completion benchmark.
December 3, 2025 at 3:50 PM
The New York Times is playing both sides of the AI bubble question this week:

First, an update opinion piece: AI Is a Bubble. Maybe That's OK
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/o...

Then, a more worrying view in business coverage:
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/t...

#AIHype #AIBubble #GenAI
November 21, 2025 at 7:21 PM
IMHO "Forward Deployed" was always just a fancy way of saying "services". Am I right? But I'm glad to see my old job is getting some respect!

www.ft.com/content/9100...

#AI #forwarddeployed #services
November 12, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Spooky savings from @manning.com ! Save half sitewide all Halloween weekend! Plus, get any liveProject and liveVideo for just $10 each. Great time to Fight Churn With Data: www.manning.com/books/fighti...
October 31, 2025 at 7:36 PM
More news from the intersection of AI and churn, my two favorite subjects: Vibe coding usage plunged after summer high.

- Lovable down 40% since its peak
- Vercel's v0 visits plunge 64%
- Bolt.new slipped 27% since June

www.businessinsider.com/ai-vibe-codi...

#AI #genai #churn #aihype
October 1, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Need some last minute reading for your Labor Day Weekend? Just in time, its @manning.com #labordaysale! Labor can meet the beach as you #learntocode or #learndatascience this weekend! www.manning.com/books/fighti...
August 29, 2025 at 8:30 PM
How much does AI REALLY speed up programmers? The answer from the latest study may surprise you: For experienced open source developers, it actually slowed them down! According to a new study from metr.org (Model Evaluation and Threat Research). #LLM #AI #codegen
July 11, 2025 at 3:26 PM
It's time for everyone's favorite annual American tradition, the Manning Publications Co. 4th of July Sale! 🎆 Now through Sunday - Great time to fight #churn with #datascience and #machine learning. www.manning.com/books/fighti...
July 4, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Are you someone who works with code? Do you want to tell the hype from reality in #LLM coding assistants? Apple created a new coding benchmark #livecodebench with help from human Olympiad medalists, preventing contamination with continuously updated problems. Top findings 🧵
June 18, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Want a new reference on subscription churn rates to benchmark against? Look no further! Stripe has entered the subscription benchmarks games with "The Stripe Guide to Churn" (Personally I can't get enough churn benchmarks 🙂 ) Highlights... #churn #churnrate #subscription
June 12, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Big news in the small world of Fighting #Churn With #DataScience The #opensource #python code for my book has been updated to support Python up to version 3.12! pypi.org/project/figh...

Shoutout to Shaolang Ai for doing all the work on this! I only helped with testing. I appreciate you!
April 30, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Check out this new compilation of #churn rates from Exploding Topics

Compiled from a number of different sources, it includes #socialmedia apps, transportation, #finance, #retail and international comparisons.

explodingtopics.com/blog/custome...
April 23, 2025 at 2:12 PM
My Favorite #Subscription report is back! The Zuora Subscription Economy index - "#Churn leveled off (in 2024) and declined slightly across industries in the SEI after spiking in 2023 due mainly to rising interest rates"

www.zuora.com/resource/sub...

#churnrate #analytics #subscriptioneconomy
April 16, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Heard about the AI 2027 forecast? I don't believe it. The least plausible part is a leap from AI coding to AI research - totally underestimates the vast spaces of plausible hypotheses that good researchers use their knowledge and understanding to prune down. #AI #aihype #GenAI #LLM #AI2027 #neuroai
April 9, 2025 at 12:19 PM
They also say: "Artificial intelligence (AI) has become indispensable. AI enables businesses to analyze subscriber behaviors, predict churn risks, and automate recovery efforts." I always said, Fight #Churn With Data!
April 2, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Recurly published their 2025 State of #Subscriptions (I missed this back in Feb) - features industry #churnrates and a data on re-signups after churn: "Return acquisition percentage" for % of new signups that were previously subscribed. go.recurly.com/2025-state-o...
April 2, 2025 at 3:26 PM
🍀 SALE from Manning Publications Co. !!! Now thru Monday.

#DataScience #machinelearning #learntocode

www.manning.com/books/fighti...
March 15, 2025 at 7:58 PM
I posted this on LI today and it’s not a joke: I would really like an LLM that would be less confident and think more.
March 15, 2025 at 1:48 AM
Seriously, I am willing to admit significant gains in my own productivity from LLM's but significant means like 10%, maybe 15%; not 1000%. So when I hear claims of 10X productivity improvement I think, what were those people doing before hand? #genai #chatgpt #llm #aihype #datascience
March 6, 2025 at 8:53 PM
Anntena Web TV has released a new "State of #Subscription Report". #Churn highlights: Churn has "settled" down after climbing since 2022 - 2024 Weighted average #SVOD monthly churn is 5%. BUT churn is less than 3% when including re-subscribers! Churn & Return lives!
February 26, 2025 at 4:21 PM
#App #Churn is so HIGH! 80% churn on day 1, 98% churn by day 30 🤯 #SaaS and #Streaming are lucky. As David Curry from Business of Apps observes, "the majority of apps being free to download... users have invested very little into the app." www.businessofapps.com/data/app-ret...
February 19, 2025 at 2:52 PM
New #churn report by Subbly, covering a variety of #subscription products (mostly physical product subscriptions.) One of the key insights: churn did not depend significantly on price! Overall 2024 churn rate of 7.4% monthly for their client companies, ~60% per year. www.subbly.co/blog/subscri...
February 6, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Made my first PR on an #OpenSource project. Before now, all the projects I worked with had everything I needed. The PR is just a small suggestion to improve memory performance in #EconML (#causalml) - we'll see what the repo maintainers think of my hackery, haha...
January 22, 2025 at 3:55 PM
I appreciate the effort in this article on customer #churn prediction in Nature Scientific Reports - and I must give some serious criticism:
January 15, 2025 at 2:54 PM
My book Fighting #Churn With #Data passed 3K copies sold in 2025! 🎉 No best seller, but I'm proud that I helped make so many other peoples' work a success! (do the math to see how NOT worth it writing a tech book is financially 😂 ) #datascience #machinelearning

www.manning.com/books/fighti...
January 8, 2025 at 1:52 PM