Brian McNoldy
banner
bmcnoldy.bsky.social
Brian McNoldy
@bmcnoldy.bsky.social
Univ. of Miami hurricane researcher 🌀 living in New Mexico 🏜.
Husband and dog dad. 🏳️‍🌈
https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/
Yes... after the last few years, the Gulf coast deserved a break!
November 20, 2025 at 6:57 PM
On the same scale as the original (+/- 30 m):
November 18, 2025 at 8:57 PM
It is also quite possible that 2025 will set a new record for the latest first freeze. There has still not been a freezing temperature this Fall, and none are in the seven-day forecast. The current record latest is November 22.
[2/2]
November 17, 2025 at 6:00 PM
They did... and while some of the specific rates were exceptional, I think it's pretty common for Category 4 and 5 hurricanes to reach that level through RI (hurricanes rarely get that strong through "gradual" intensification).
November 17, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Sadly, that isn't a stretch. 🙄
November 17, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Thank you Philippe! I won't even ask how old you were in 1996. 😉
I like writing them, but at some point it needs to come to a graceful end.
November 16, 2025 at 10:52 PM
Wonder when the CO2 433 mark will come... I was born at 333.
November 16, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Furthermore, it will also very likely be the warmest Fall on record (Sep-Oct-Nov) here. I'm projecting a Fall-average of around 62.0°F. The current record warmest is 2024 at 61.5°F.
[2/2]
November 16, 2025 at 12:20 AM
Thanks for the kind message!
November 15, 2025 at 7:48 PM
This post marks the end of my 30th year writing these updates on tropical Atlantic activity. During that time, I have written approximately 1470 posts spanning 488 tropical cyclones including 228 hurricanes, 107 major hurricanes, and 56 retired storm names.
November 14, 2025 at 5:02 PM
It's definitely an anomaly. The trend is decidedly warming.
November 12, 2025 at 2:14 PM