Brian McNoldy
@bmcnoldy.bsky.social
Univ. of Miami hurricane researcher 🌀 living in New Mexico 🏜.
Husband and dog dad. 🏳️🌈
https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/
Husband and dog dad. 🏳️🌈
https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/
The periodic reminder that #Christmas week is typically hot, warm, or at least above freezing for the large majority of the inhabited world.
Many Christmas songs & carols would have you think otherwise.
Many Christmas songs & carols would have you think otherwise.
December 6, 2025 at 1:42 PM
The periodic reminder that #Christmas week is typically hot, warm, or at least above freezing for the large majority of the inhabited world.
Many Christmas songs & carols would have you think otherwise.
Many Christmas songs & carols would have you think otherwise.
It's not much, but it's our first snow at this house, and it's Rocco's first snow ever!
December 4, 2025 at 3:49 PM
It's not much, but it's our first snow at this house, and it's Rocco's first snow ever!
The temperature averaged over the first 11 months of the year has been the warmest on record in #Albuquerque... will the year end as the warmest? It'll be close! 🧐
December 2, 2025 at 5:09 PM
The temperature averaged over the first 11 months of the year has been the warmest on record in #Albuquerque... will the year end as the warmest? It'll be close! 🧐
Rocco's first Christmas tree in New Mexico, and our first 12-foot Christmas tree.
December 2, 2025 at 12:39 AM
Rocco's first Christmas tree in New Mexico, and our first 12-foot Christmas tree.
How warm has this Fall been in the Albuquerque area?
It's December 1 and we have blooming lavender, geraniums, petunias, yarrow, and roses.
It's December 1 and we have blooming lavender, geraniums, petunias, yarrow, and roses.
December 1, 2025 at 8:49 PM
How warm has this Fall been in the Albuquerque area?
It's December 1 and we have blooming lavender, geraniums, petunias, yarrow, and roses.
It's December 1 and we have blooming lavender, geraniums, petunias, yarrow, and roses.
It FINALLY happened: #Albuquerque had its first freeze of the season on November 30, breaking the previous latest first freeze date by a huge *8 days*!
December 1, 2025 at 1:12 PM
It FINALLY happened: #Albuquerque had its first freeze of the season on November 30, breaking the previous latest first freeze date by a huge *8 days*!
It was the warmest Fall in #Albuquerque history by a huge 1.1°F margin. Records go back to 1892.
The Sep-Oct-Nov period had an average temperature of 62.6°F; the previous record warmest was 61.5°.
Breaking it down by month, it was the 20th warmest Sep, 4th warmest Oct, and 1st warmest Nov.
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The Sep-Oct-Nov period had an average temperature of 62.6°F; the previous record warmest was 61.5°.
Breaking it down by month, it was the 20th warmest Sep, 4th warmest Oct, and 1st warmest Nov.
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December 1, 2025 at 1:09 PM
It was the warmest Fall in #Albuquerque history by a huge 1.1°F margin. Records go back to 1892.
The Sep-Oct-Nov period had an average temperature of 62.6°F; the previous record warmest was 61.5°.
Breaking it down by month, it was the 20th warmest Sep, 4th warmest Oct, and 1st warmest Nov.
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The Sep-Oct-Nov period had an average temperature of 62.6°F; the previous record warmest was 61.5°.
Breaking it down by month, it was the 20th warmest Sep, 4th warmest Oct, and 1st warmest Nov.
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Happy Thanksgiving!
November 28, 2025 at 2:29 AM
Happy Thanksgiving!
It finally happened: #Albuquerque just had its first freeze of the season, breaking the previous latest first freeze date by a huge *4 days*!
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
November 26, 2025 at 2:59 PM
It finally happened: #Albuquerque just had its first freeze of the season, breaking the previous latest first freeze date by a huge *4 days*!
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
Rocco after a haircut... sweater, blankie, and a fire to stay cozy.
November 22, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Rocco after a haircut... sweater, blankie, and a fire to stay cozy.
On the same scale as the original (+/- 30 m):
November 18, 2025 at 8:57 PM
On the same scale as the original (+/- 30 m):
During the core months of hurricane season (Aug-Sep-Oct), fairly persistent anomalous "troughiness" was centered over the southeast U.S., which resulted in anomalous counter-clockwise steering flow around it.
This helps explain why hurricanes generally turned northward well before reaching the U.S.
This helps explain why hurricanes generally turned northward well before reaching the U.S.
November 18, 2025 at 8:36 PM
During the core months of hurricane season (Aug-Sep-Oct), fairly persistent anomalous "troughiness" was centered over the southeast U.S., which resulted in anomalous counter-clockwise steering flow around it.
This helps explain why hurricanes generally turned northward well before reaching the U.S.
This helps explain why hurricanes generally turned northward well before reaching the U.S.
It is also quite possible that 2025 will set a new record for the latest first freeze. There has still not been a freezing temperature this Fall, and none are in the seven-day forecast. The current record latest is November 22.
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November 17, 2025 at 6:00 PM
It is also quite possible that 2025 will set a new record for the latest first freeze. There has still not been a freezing temperature this Fall, and none are in the seven-day forecast. The current record latest is November 22.
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With just two weeks remaining in meteorological Fall (Sep-Oct-Nov), it still looks like this will be the warmest Fall in #Albuquerque 's 133-year-long record. The current warmest had an average temperature of 61.5° (2024), and this year may come in around 62.0°F.
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November 17, 2025 at 6:00 PM
With just two weeks remaining in meteorological Fall (Sep-Oct-Nov), it still looks like this will be the warmest Fall in #Albuquerque 's 133-year-long record. The current warmest had an average temperature of 61.5° (2024), and this year may come in around 62.0°F.
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5 years ago today:
Hurricane season was likely over this year before November, but that's not always the case... Iota was the 30th and strongest named storm of the 2020 season. It was an upper-end Category 4 hurricane (operationally it was a Category 5, but downgraded in the post-season reanalysis).
Hurricane season was likely over this year before November, but that's not always the case... Iota was the 30th and strongest named storm of the 2020 season. It was an upper-end Category 4 hurricane (operationally it was a Category 5, but downgraded in the post-season reanalysis).
November 16, 2025 at 1:05 PM
5 years ago today:
Hurricane season was likely over this year before November, but that's not always the case... Iota was the 30th and strongest named storm of the 2020 season. It was an upper-end Category 4 hurricane (operationally it was a Category 5, but downgraded in the post-season reanalysis).
Hurricane season was likely over this year before November, but that's not always the case... Iota was the 30th and strongest named storm of the 2020 season. It was an upper-end Category 4 hurricane (operationally it was a Category 5, but downgraded in the post-season reanalysis).
Furthermore, it will also very likely be the warmest Fall on record (Sep-Oct-Nov) here. I'm projecting a Fall-average of around 62.0°F. The current record warmest is 2024 at 61.5°F.
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November 16, 2025 at 12:20 AM
Furthermore, it will also very likely be the warmest Fall on record (Sep-Oct-Nov) here. I'm projecting a Fall-average of around 62.0°F. The current record warmest is 2024 at 61.5°F.
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This has been the warmest first half of November on record in #Albuquerque, by a hefty 1.5°F margin. The average temperature was 56.9°F, compared to the 1991-2020 average of 49.0°F.
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November 16, 2025 at 12:20 AM
This has been the warmest first half of November on record in #Albuquerque, by a hefty 1.5°F margin. The average temperature was 56.9°F, compared to the 1991-2020 average of 49.0°F.
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#Albuquerque still has not hit the freezing mark (32°F) yet this season, and today is the 90th percentile date for first freeze -- meaning that the first freeze has occurred in 90% of years by now.
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November 11, 2025 at 12:36 PM
#Albuquerque still has not hit the freezing mark (32°F) yet this season, and today is the 90th percentile date for first freeze -- meaning that the first freeze has occurred in 90% of years by now.
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With the first nine days of November in the books, and the unseasonably warm days ahead, the first two weeks of November will end up the warmest on record in #Albuquerque, going back to 1892.
The exact value for 2025 will come into focus day by day, but should be very close to 56.0°F. Stay tuned!
The exact value for 2025 will come into focus day by day, but should be very close to 56.0°F. Stay tuned!
November 10, 2025 at 4:38 PM
With the first nine days of November in the books, and the unseasonably warm days ahead, the first two weeks of November will end up the warmest on record in #Albuquerque, going back to 1892.
The exact value for 2025 will come into focus day by day, but should be very close to 56.0°F. Stay tuned!
The exact value for 2025 will come into focus day by day, but should be very close to 56.0°F. Stay tuned!
The first week of November was the warmest on record in #Albuquerque by a big margin.
The average temperature from Nov 1-7 was 59.0°F, cruising well above the previous record of 57.8°F set in 2020. Records go back to 1892.
I also plotted the trend line, and *shocker*, it's been warming!
The average temperature from Nov 1-7 was 59.0°F, cruising well above the previous record of 57.8°F set in 2020. Records go back to 1892.
I also plotted the trend line, and *shocker*, it's been warming!
November 7, 2025 at 10:15 PM
The first week of November was the warmest on record in #Albuquerque by a big margin.
The average temperature from Nov 1-7 was 59.0°F, cruising well above the previous record of 57.8°F set in 2020. Records go back to 1892.
I also plotted the trend line, and *shocker*, it's been warming!
The average temperature from Nov 1-7 was 59.0°F, cruising well above the previous record of 57.8°F set in 2020. Records go back to 1892.
I also plotted the trend line, and *shocker*, it's been warming!
Here is this year's closest full moon setting above our house... taken just one hour before it's technically 100% full (which is at 6:19am MST), but still above the horizon.
This was taken at 5:19am. It'll have to do for a quick phone photo.
#supermoon #newmexico
This was taken at 5:19am. It'll have to do for a quick phone photo.
#supermoon #newmexico
November 5, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Here is this year's closest full moon setting above our house... taken just one hour before it's technically 100% full (which is at 6:19am MST), but still above the horizon.
This was taken at 5:19am. It'll have to do for a quick phone photo.
#supermoon #newmexico
This was taken at 5:19am. It'll have to do for a quick phone photo.
#supermoon #newmexico
My attempt at photos (from my phone) of this year's largest, closest, and brightest full moon.
#supermoon
#supermoon
November 5, 2025 at 12:39 AM
My attempt at photos (from my phone) of this year's largest, closest, and brightest full moon.
#supermoon
#supermoon